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July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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LQQkS like July 16-20 may end up being the hottest period of this summer. But after that it should cool off drastically. August is going to average a bit below in my opinion because this year could be a historically early winter. Because of the extremes of different types of weather all over the world, I believe that we will keep getting those extreme weather conditions. A big cool down around August 1st or even earlier. 

This is what this model (CanSIPS) depicts.

IMG_0076.PNG

 

Fresh of the press from the MAM model.IMG_0081.PNG

I believe we get a cool beginning to August, than finally it'll warm up a bit by the 15th. Remember, the summer peaked earlier in July.

July should end up around -0.50 degree while August should be around average when you add up the big cool down around July 30th or so

 

By the way the MAM model comes up on the 3rd of the month. It'll summarize the current month and it'll depict the next months outlook.

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Looks one more day of upper 80's to low 90's ahead of the cold front later today. Very comfortable stretch of summer beginning on the 4th tomorrow for the next several days. Marginal scattered severe threat later today with the inverted V soundings and steep low level lapse rates.

 

595a33deedd22_2017070306_GFS_015_40.79-74.28_severe_ml.thumb.png.618ece1fa58fa61a915955bac1d809d3.png

 

 

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July 21st has six years that reached 100 degrees and four more hitting 98...The most above 98 and 100 for any date...the peak of the summer...1966 was aver 100 on this date...second of three heat waves with at least one 100 degree day...1953 had three...I believe 1955 had three also...maybe 1944 too...from 1944 to 1966 the city got at least two 100 degree heat waves five times...1953-55 had at least two 100 degree heat waves each...

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NYC's hottest weeks...one olden days made the list...1896...I lived thru them all except 1944 and 1896...1953 has the most extraordinary heat wave for so late in the season...June 28th-July 4th, 1966 came in at 95.3/74.3/84.8...just missing the cut...

.....average.....

max..min..ave...max...dates.......

98.0 76.9 87.4 102 7/07-7/13 1993

98.4 76.3 87.4 104 7/15-7/21 1977

98.3 76.0 87.1 102 8/29-9/04 1953

95.1 78.9 87.0 .98. 8/05-8/11 1896

95.7 77.9 86.8 104 7/18-7/24 2011

94.6 79.0 86.8 .98. 7/14-7/20 2013

95.3 78.0 86.7 .99. 8/09-8/15 1988

96.6 75.1 85.9 102 8/11-8/17 1944

96.1 75.2 85.7 100 8/01-8/07 1955

95.3 75.9 85.6 103 8/04-8/10 2001

94.9 76.1 85.5 102 7/16-7/22 1980

97.3 73.6 85.4 102 7/17-7/23 1991

95.7 75.1 85.4 .98. 8/28-9/03 1973

94.1 76.7 85.4 .96. 7/12-7/18 1981

94.3 76.4 85.4 103 7/04-7/10 2010

95.4 75.1 85.3 100 7/17-7/23 1955

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Just now, uncle W said:

NYC's hottest weeks...one olden days made the list...1896...I lived thru them all except 1944 and 1896...1953 has the most extraordinary heat wave for so late in the season...June 28th-July 4th, 1966 came in at 95.3/74.3/84.8...just missing the cut...

.....average.....

max..min..ave...max...dates.......

98.0 76.9 87.4 102 7/07-7/13 1993

98.4 76.3 87.4 104 7/15-7/21 1977

98.3 76.0 87.1 102 8/29-9/04 1953

95.1 78.9 87.0 .98. 8/05-8/11 1896

95.7 77.9 86.8 104 7/18-7/24 2011

94.6 79.0 86.8 .98. 7/14-7/20 2013

95.3 78.0 86.7 .99. 8/09-8/15 1988

96.6 75.1 85.9 102 8/11-8/17 1944

96.1 75.2 85.7 100 8/01-8/07 1955

95.3 75.9 85.6 103 8/04-8/10 2001

94.9 76.1 85.5 102 7/16-7/22 1980

97.3 73.6 85.4 102 7/17-7/23 1991

95.7 75.1 85.4 .98. 8/28-9/03 1973

94.1 76.7 85.4 .96. 7/12-7/18 1981

94.3 76.4 85.4 103 7/04-7/10 2010

95.4 75.1 85.3 100 7/17-7/23 1955

Let's hope Mother Nature spares us this Summer. I think we're due for a cool Summer.

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