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July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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15 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

quite the gradient between here and VA/DC...should keep us in the battleground for showers and T-storms from time to time.

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edit-Euro is downright chilly for next week...of course it's day 7+ on an op model, but still impressive...

Yeah, we'll be in the active convection zone north of the Midatlantic 100's. The very storm pattern will again limit our high temperature potential. So this should be the first summer since 2008 where the June 101 max at LGA beats the July max.

 

ecmwf_t2max_12_neng_21.thumb.png.12afb1abc93461d4b98212d13f17ef69.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

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19 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

Hottest time of the year this week!

NWS point forecast has a decent heat wave here.  87 today, then 90, 92, 93, 88, 90, 90. 

and basically 75-77 at night.  In terms of consistency the hottest so far. I wouldn't count out all of Aug though.

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24 minutes ago, dWave said:

NWS point forecast has a decent heat wave here.  87 today, then 90, 92, 93, 88, 90, 90. 

and basically 75-77 at night.  In terms of consistency the hottest so far. I wouldn't count out all of Aug though.

Yea, we are quietly working our way towards an above normal July.

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July's - on our way to a 2015/16ish June dep-wise

EWR

2010:  +4.9
2011: +5.3
2012: +3.5
2013:  +3.5
2014:  -0.3
2015:  +1.6
2016:  +2.6

so far: +0.6

 

LGA:

 

2010: +5.4
2011:  +3.0
2012:  +3.0
2013: +3.8
2014:  -0.4
2015:  +1.8
2016: +3.7

so far:  +1.8

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17 hours ago, Rock888 said:

What's the % chance any of that convection in North Jersey makes it into NYC/Queens area? .0000001%? As much as I love the ocean, the marine influence really sucks when it comes to getting any decent storms.  

They fizzled incredibly fast. Not even a drop of rain made it to manhattan. 

Lets see what today brings as far as convection. It's possible the front offshore robs our instability and prevents anything near the coast. Definitly has a the feel of a convection day 

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3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

They fizzled incredibly fast. Not even a drop of rain made it to manhattan. 

Lets see what today brings as far as convection. It's possible the front offshore robs our instability and prevents anything near the coast. Definitly has a the feel of a convection day 

We have plenty of instability to work with today but shear is very weak and so are mid-level lapse rates.

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