RCNYILWX Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/14/2017 at 10:54 PM, cyclone77 said: Nah, when has that ever happened? We'll see what the 00z Euro run shows tonight but the 12z run slightly trended toward the GFS and Canadian which have been consistently showing the more active ring of fire type setup being farther south into IA, IL and IN. It's all about the strength and position of the ridge, which looking at Thursday's 12z Euro vs Friday's, Friday's run showed a bit weaker and farther southwest mid level ridge position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 5:53 AM, RCNYILWX said: We'll see what the 00z Euro run shows tonight but the 12z run slightly trended toward the GFS and Canadian which have been consistently showing the more active ring of fire type setup being farther south into IA, IL and IN. It's all about the strength and position of the ridge, which looking at Thursday's 12z Euro vs Friday's, Friday's run showed a bit weaker and farther southwest mid level ridge position. Expand Now the 12z GFS got a bit stronger with the ridge midweek. Maybe we will get a happy medium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/14/2017 at 10:18 PM, cyclone77 said: Better enjoy this cool weather, as it looks like mid 90s start next Tueday for several days. Expand Yeah, it looks pretty warm, especially with the 12z GFS shifting north. However, back in June the Euro consistently had mid to upper 90s here for multiple days and the best we could do was low 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 5:09 PM, hawkeye_wx said: Yeah, it looks pretty warm, especially with the 12z GFS shifting north. However, back in June the Euro consistently had mid to upper 90s here for multiple days and the best we could do was low 90s.It seems to have a warm bias in warmest areas. It did the same thing this past week.Likely will be the same for the upcoming period as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 One thing's for sure, if the heat doesn't build in too strong it still looks humid as hell lol. Sure hope the GFS is overdoing moisture, as this would be pretty awful lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/14/2017 at 6:05 AM, Torchageddon said: I've been fine with this summer thus far. I look at it as being "unsettled" and there has been a ton of rain but it hasn't gotten in my way too much. I do have a problem with the lack of sunshine (last 2 days its been very dark overcast). Last summer was the warmest on record. Expand This upcoming week doesn't look to bad. Besides tomorrows rain showers, it should be sunny and warm till atleast Wednesday. About time! Can you believe it hasn't rained in Vancouver in a month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 At 6am this morning the dewpoint was 53. Now, it's 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 6:52 PM, cyclone77 said: One thing's for sure, if the heat doesn't build in too strong it still looks humid as hell lol. Sure hope the GFS is overdoing moisture, as this would be pretty awful lol. Expand I started sweating just looking at that map. I sure hope that it has a high dew bias as well as a warm one. EDIT: Regarding the Euro/GEM vs. GFS ridge placement battle, I had to lol at Todd at North Webster in his discussion: Blended pop guidance remains an unmitigated disaster and will continue with significant targeted adjustments Wed-Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 6:52 PM, cyclone77 said: One thing's for sure, if the heat doesn't build in too strong it still looks humid as hell lol. Sure hope the GFS is overdoing moisture, as this would be pretty awful lol. Expand Probably overdone, but it will undoubtedly be muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 6:52 PM, cyclone77 said: One thing's for sure, if the heat doesn't build in too strong it still looks humid as hell lol. Sure hope the GFS is overdoing moisture, as this would be pretty awful lol. Expand Would be like walking through JELLO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 8:03 PM, IWXwx said: I started sweating just looking at that map. I sure hope that it has a high dew bias as well as a warm one. EDIT: Regarding the Euro/GEM vs. GFS ridge placement battle, I had to lol at Todd at North Webster in his discussion: Blended pop guidance remains an unmitigated disaster and will continue with significant targeted adjustments Wed-Fri. Expand By far, the most accurate forecast I've ever seen from a Meteorologist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 For the sky watchers, might have a shot at the northern lights tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 Damaging Mesoscale Convective System tonight moving south of Green Bay, Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 11:14 PM, Stebo said: Would be like walking through JELLO Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 7:46 PM, hawkeye_wx said: At 6am this morning the dewpoint was 53. Now, it's 72. Expand Yeah it definitely feels a lot more muggy out there compared to earlier. Could see some thunderheads on the northwestern horizon at sunset from those developing storms in northeast IA. On 7/16/2017 at 12:53 AM, Hoosier said: For the sky watchers, might have a shot at the northern lights tomorrow night. Expand Yeah I'm hoping to head out for this. Gonna bring a full can of Deep Woods Off with me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 On 7/16/2017 at 3:21 AM, cyclone77 said: Expand Oh lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 .25 inches of rain last night here in south central Wisconsin. Feels very humid this AM so tonight's lower temps will be welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 Picked up 0.17" from an isolated cell that popped up early this morning. Up to 1.46" for July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 12z GFS has unrelenting tropical humidity starting Tuesday, and lasting until Thursday the 27th. Dews in the 75-82 degree range that whole stretch for the late afternoon/evening period for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 58 for a high so far today with gorgeous blue skies. Cool tonight with a low in my point of 40. MQT's record low tonight is 40, so that could be broken. Also possible that Spincich Lake, Doe Lake, and Baraga plains could see temps low enough for a light frost. Happens about once or twice a summer in those locations. Looks like excellent viewing of the northern lights tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 12z Euro has widespread 105-107 degree heat from west-central IL through southeastern Iowa Saturday. 850s above 25°C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 16, 2017 Share Posted July 16, 2017 On 7/16/2017 at 8:39 PM, cyclone77 said: 12z Euro has widespread 105-107 degree heat from west-central IL through southeastern Iowa Saturday. 850s above 25°C. Expand Makes sense if 850's are actually that warm and there's good mixing. But that's the question, isn't it. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/15/2017 at 6:54 PM, Snowstorms said: This upcoming week doesn't look to bad. Besides tomorrows rain showers, it should be sunny and warm till atleast Wednesday. About time! Can you believe it hasn't rained in Vancouver in a month! Expand That's crazy, I didn't know that. It was another terrible day of weather after Saturday's mostly clear weather (except evening). Got some rain and a couple loud booms. Can't stand this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/16/2017 at 3:24 AM, cyclone77 said: Yeah it definitely feels a lot more muggy out there compared to earlier. Could see some thunderheads on the northwestern horizon at sunset from those developing storms in northeast IA. Yeah I'm hoping to head out for this. Gonna bring a full can of Deep Woods Off with me lol. Expand Not looking good now for the lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/17/2017 at 1:41 AM, Hoosier said: Not looking good now for the lights. Expand Yeah too many clouds here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/17/2017 at 1:41 AM, Hoosier said: Not looking good now for the lights. Expand Bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Early preview of fall in the air this morning with a low of 38. MQT tied their record low of 40, Sawyer 37, Spincich Lake 36, and Doe lake 34. Sunny and warmer today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/17/2017 at 9:49 AM, weatherbo said: Early preview of fall in the air this morning with a low of 38. MQT tied their record low of 40, Sawyer 37, Spincich Lake 36, and Doe lake 34. Sunny and warmer today! Expand At 6:54 KIND was at 70. See what you are missing down here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Possible heat burst overnight on the 16th. http://www.weather.gov/lot/2017jul16_heatburst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 On 7/17/2017 at 2:00 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: Possible heat burst overnight on the 16th. http://www.weather.gov/lot/2017jul16_heatburst Expand Good catch by whomever caught it. Speaking of the Plains, there was one recently out in Omaha where the temp jumped to around 90 overnight. Although it is less common in this part of the country, my guess is that overall these things happen more frequently than previously thought. It's easy to miss... you really have to be looking at obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.