Voyager Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Sun is poking through the overcast up here now. ended up with 0.61" from the event. As far as Irma goes, I know we're far from any kind of track consensus, but am I the only sadistic one who got really excited yesterday when the GFS was showing tracks up the Delaware and Chesapeake Bays? Today's trends to take it into the Carolinas, and then keep a NW track into Ohio are depressing. At that rate, we might see some high cirrus and a few light breezes. I guess I suffer from severe IMBY syndrome, but just once in my lifetime I'd like to be at "ground zero" for a major weather event instead of on the periphery... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1.20" fully saturated here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, Voyager said: Sun is poking through the overcast up here now. ended up with 0.61" from the event. As far as Irma goes, I know we're far from any kind of track consensus, but am I the only sadistic one who got really excited yesterday when the GFS was showing tracks up the Delaware and Chesapeake Bays? Today's trends to take it into the Carolinas, and then keep a NW track into Ohio are depressing. At that rate, we might see some high cirrus and a few light breezes. I guess I suffer from severe IMBY syndrome, but just once in my lifetime I'd like to be at "ground zero" for a major weather event instead of on the periphery... I am with you it is a little depressing where it now appears to be headed. And another thing Harvey has ruined me with rainfall, I can't look at an 8-16" rain estimate now and feel even a little bit impressed. Must reset expectations quickly to enjoy Irma lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 34 minutes ago, RedSky said: Have a family member bitterly complaining that they have given up and are closing the pool for the season. I explained how keeping the pool open until October the last two years is NOT normal weather. Tuesday appears the last day where a pool would be needed (last warmest day) till next year. Looks like mostly 70s from there on out...maybe a pop up 80 but nothing major. Low clouds, mist / super light rain...pokes of sun. Then low clouds, mist / super light rain...pokes of sun. Then low clouds, mist / super light rain...pokes of sun. Etc.. 67.4F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 ECM sends Irma out to the fish...good times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Sun busted out about 15 minutes ago but there is still quite a bit of cumulus to the south and stratus to the north that could hide the sun at any time. Temp up to 71F. Some people are tentatively attempting to bbq (I am waiting until tomorrow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Picked up 0.85" of rain for the day. Storm total around 1.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 I gave the call to the family last night: Hatteras-- direct hit september 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 13 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: I gave the call to the family last night: Hatteras-- direct hit september 10th. 1st call :-)? trajectory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 After a crappy Sat and a half ok Sun you couldn't ask for a much better Monday. Bright clear blue skies, 74.6F....DP a tad high at 62F (rather it be in the 50s) but overall not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Broke the 70F mark half hour ago for the first time since THURSDAY. That is extraordinary! The polar opposite of the record heat last August-September. 71F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Little surprised there is no "chatter" here with a major hurricane a week away. Regardless of where it does finally go I would expect some impact here in the Philadelphia region. IF nothing else some rain or possible big waves at the shore. Maybe it goes into the gulf and never brings anything to us, but the cards are not dealt yet and there seems to be a trend toward more of an east coast impact. Could be nothing, but could also be significant, if not huge issues. aka Hazel, Floyd, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 ignoring Irma for a second, today has the potential to be one of our last severe threats of the year. will have pretty strong instability in place and a pretty strong airmass moving in, we could see a pretty decent squall line this evening. I don't see any days in the future having as much instability in place as today. looks like whatever storms we get will be low topped as compared to today which could be prolific lightning producers at the minimum. I don't expect widespread wind damage but there definitely is dynamics in place for a strong line of storms. north and west have the best chance of seeing severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 43 minutes ago, Chief83 said: Little surprised there is no "chatter" here with a major hurricane a week away. Regardless of where it does finally go I would expect some impact here in the Philadelphia region. IF nothing else some rain or possible big waves at the shore. Maybe it goes into the gulf and never brings anything to us, but the cards are not dealt yet and there seems to be a trend toward more of an east coast impact. Could be nothing, but could also be significant, if not huge issues. aka Hazel, Floyd, etc. 'Cause a bunch of folks from our forum are in the big thread on the Tropical Forum monitoring it. I expect that if there is some sort of east coast hit and we get progged to get any resultant TS or remnants from it, we could start a thread on it. I know some of the model runs over the weekend had it barreling up into the Chesapeake Bay or LI at one point. Last "warm" day of the week before the rains come and cool temps. Currently 81F & sunny here, and somewhat humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Pretty decent line moving E if it doesn't fizzle out...87.4F / DP 68F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Pretty decent line moving E if it doesn't fizzle out...87.4F / DP 68F SPC put up a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the area. There is a Tornado warning up across northern Adams and northwest York counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 25 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: SPC put up a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the area. There is a Tornado warning up across northern Adams and northwest York counties. Looks like 6:30 - 7pm before we see anything...storms only around Harrisburg or so. Hail reported. As iceman mentioned, this may be one (if not last) good chance at T-storms. And most likely our last day w/temps in the upper 80s w/high dewpoints. Let's go out w/a bang and bring on Fall with temps in 70s/60s (lows 50s/40s) for most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Latest GFS looks like Irma says don't let your guard down yet on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Looks like 6:30 - 7pm before we see anything...storms only around Harrisburg or so. Hail reported. As iceman mentioned, this may be one (if not last) good chance at T-storms. And most likely our last day w/temps in the upper 80s w/high dewpoints. Let's go out w/a bang and bring on Fall with temps in 70s/60s (lows 50s/40s) for most part. It's gotten pretty dark out there but I noticed the line is already starting to break up as it approaches. Saw some bowing earlier just south of Allentown and up in the NW corner of Bucks, but that segment is moving into New Jersey now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: It's gotten pretty dark out there but I noticed the line is already starting to break up as it approaches. Saw some bowing earlier just south of Allentown and up in the NW corner of Bucks, but that segment is moving into New Jersey now. It's definitively losing intensity...way less red echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 The streak is over I had my first legit thunderstorm in years, complete with chunky dime size chards of hail. Not very fierce but good lightning and strong gusts it was raining leaves only .30" rain very brief downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, RedSky said: The streak is over I had my first legit thunderstorm in years, complete with chunky dime size chards of hail. Not very fierce but good lightning and strong gusts it was raining leaves only .30" rain very brief downpour. I noticed it looked to be coming across you but I didn't want to say anything and jinx it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Fizzle here ... best part of the line passed to my north. Got a text from a friend in Qtown saying she lost power. Current temp 72F after a high of 84F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: I noticed it looked to be coming across you but I didn't want to say anything and jinx it. Sigh of relief it feels like I broke a 0 for 40 streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Rain has arrived. No thunder or lightning attm. Temp 78F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 The initial line gave me 0.05" but nothing since. The next band sortof dissolved. Another couple bands still to come (and may also dissolve although I think the front is supposed to slow down and it's progged to rain on and off tonight and all tomorrow). Currently 71F and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said: The initial line gave me 0.05" but nothing since. The next band sortof dissolved. Another couple bands still to come (and may also dissolve although I think the front is supposed to slow down and it's progged to rain on and off tonight and all tomorrow). Currently 71F and overcast. I had a couple big rain drops fall for a minute...didn't even cover the ground. The radar looks like some showers/light-mod rain w/no T-storms. Pretty pathetic compared to how it looked earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Got something out of the next band overnight to get a total 0.14" by midnight and currently up to 0.27" for today (so far). Currently overcast and 67F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Got under a small heavy rain cell complete with some lightning, and have just over 1/4" additional from that since my last post. Currently @ 0.44" at post time with rain & fog, and 67F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Heard a couple of loud cracks of thunder around 3:45 this morning, off and on showers since then ... 67F and muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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