MattPetrulli Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 Right now it's standing at 30/80. Models diverge from a Mexico landfall to a FL landfall for a weak but wet tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 Coldest cloud tops at minus ninety Celsius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 Looking good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 1 hour ago, bkviking said: Looking good... Satellite imagery vs NHC X is quite different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 Well there is no stacked MLC with a LLC. But the cyclonic look is undeniable. Sheer obvious issue I believe until a window opens up for something more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 24 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, the center of the low pressure area is to the west of the best convection. Still think it's probably worth the HH checking out today. Hopefully they don't cancel the flight. Will a new center of LP reconfigure itself under the flare up? That would change the whole game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 Quote CANCELLED RECON TEAL 71 17/6 17:30-23:30 Recon has been cancelled considering the overall system is still quite disorganized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 If the 12z ECMWF is right, this upcoming tropical storm, which would be named, "Bret," would affect much of the same Texas coastline as major Hurricane Bret of 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Pulled the below from current recon, do we have Cindy? ( * ) Denotes suspect data Time: 15:52:30Z Coordinates: 27.783N 89.067W Acft. Static Air Press: 769.9 mb Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 2,304 m (7,559 ft) Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1005.6 mb (29.70 inHg) Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 153° at 53 kts (From the SSE at 61.0 mph) Air Temp: 12.9°C (55.2°F) Dew Pt: 12.8°C (55.0°F) Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 57 kts (65.6 mph) SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 49 kts (56.4 mph) SFMR Rain Rate: 9 mm/hr (0.35 in/hr) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted June 20, 2017 Author Share Posted June 20, 2017 KGRY buoy has sustained winds at 52 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Well hello Cindy! As per the NHC 1pm CDT advisory.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Agreement in the HRRR and 3km NAM (yes, I know neither are particularly great at tropics) in the 18hr range of a strengthening storm have me wondering if this thing might have a shot at getting to a higher-end TS, wind wise at least, before landfall. Obs from HH and the bouy referenced above tend to support this general idea of localized stronger sustained winds/gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted June 20, 2017 Author Share Posted June 20, 2017 1 hour ago, jojo762 said: Agreement in the HRRR and 3km NAM (yes, I know neither are particularly great at tropics) in the 18hr range of a strengthening storm have me wondering if this thing might have a shot at getting to a higher-end TS, wind wise at least, before landfall. Obs from HH and the bouy referenced above tend to support this general idea of localized stronger sustained winds/gusts. I can see a 50-60 MPH storm before landfall. Still got time over water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 The 200-850mb shear over the north side of T.S. Cindy is 50 kt + on this map. I call it 1/2-tropical, 1/2-shear-o-rama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Man that's about as hostile of a basin as you can get. I'm surprised Brett and Cindy are even able to hold their own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 Nasty little spin up on the FL Panhandle!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 11pm EDT advisory has Cindy as a higher-end 60mph TS... probably could've upped the winds at the last advisory too. Seen quite a few pics on twitter of coastal inland flooding in Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 Cindy is literally streaking naked across the GOM...moving WNW now. Shear and dry air have done a number on her... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 Just got back to Navarre from Disney. Breezy & soup conditions. 6+" here at the house. Here is a pic of the tornado that touched down in Ft Walton Beach this am.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanBarg Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 zzzz why is the tropical section so dead and can we get a title change on the thread? Cindy was kinda a dud but I thought there may have been a little more discussion about her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 13 minutes ago, SeanBarg said: zzzz why is the tropical section so dead and can we get a title change on the thread? Cindy was kinda a dud but I thought there may have been a little more discussion about her. It gets more active when we get a significant system, just look at the 130+ pages for Hurricane Matthew. Not really much to discuss other than rain in regards to Cindy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 Having an MCV in the bands of a Tropical Storm is just plain silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 Tropical Storm Cindy, although very asymmetric now, is still kicking up some 49mph wind gusts tonight. Last night, there was 58mph, different wind vector, same offshore rig location. Probably 10-12 ft waves/seas in the Gulf the whole time. KNEW (New Orleans Lakefront Airport) had 49mph gusts last night last night tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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