bluewave Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Nor'easter may brush Eastern LI June 7-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 NAM and CMC have it directly impacting our area, but the GFS and Euro are a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Lovely, is this related to the system that brought all the rain to Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like hurricane bob track from Carolinas on North...Obviously much weaker storm.... SST anomalies off the SE coast including the Gulf Stream are running 1-2 C AN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 11 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Looks like hurricane bob track from Carolinas on North...Obviously much weaker storm.... SST anomalies off the SE coast including the Gulf Stream are running 1-2 C AN... Much above normal off the SE coast with much below normal off the NE coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Much above normal off the SE coast with much below normal off the NE coast Yea. SE coast running closer to early July norm? With tropical type impacts from 38N on north it's always a race, but especially at this time of the season. Forward speed will obviously be important for impacts, particularly in the NE quad where background flow will be additive. Right now that looks to be the Cape... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 I wonder how far West this can come since it's captured by a trough that closes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 I'm old enough to remember Agnes from June 1972...1972 was a developing el nino year with a cool start to Summer...1979 was another developing el nino year but weaker...It had a tropical wave off the se coast mid month...I think this Summer could be similar to 1979 with some very hot days and some rainy cool ones...this averaged out close to normal...I think this Summer will be close to average...TWT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 12Z NAM is stronger, big storm for the Cape. Storm track about the same as 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 25 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 12Z NAM is stronger, big storm for the Cape. Storm track about the same as 06z. SNE drencher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: SNE drencher 1-2" here hopefully that's the last of it unless it's a tropical system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 GFS says no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 CMC also jumped ship...has nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Would it at least bring us cooler weather? Looks like 80s for this weekend. Was hoping for 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like this will be a miss for the area with the exception of maybe E.LI, have to see if the next few model runs shift it west but as of now the NAM seems like an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 NAM caves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Models definitely with a left lean so far today. Several get a good amount of precip into parts of LI. The 12z ARW is far enough West to bring well over an inch to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 18z NAM is well OTS-barely clips the outer cape. Time to stick a fork in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 18z NAM is well OTS-barely clips the outer cape. Time to stick a fork in this one. It seems the 3k NAM is a little more West than the 12k NAM, but I agree, it's a complete miss for the entire metro. Even far Eastern LI only gets skimmed on the 3k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 36 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 18z NAM is well OTS-barely clips the outer cape. Time to stick a fork in this one. Agree Looks like a nice weekend coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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