CIK62 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 My guess of 200B in damages for Harvey, remains in play as estimates go north of 120B officially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Anyone else having problems loading the local radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Lol. Good lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Rjay said: Lol. Good lord I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 30 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I like Why like this man people would die! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Why like this man people would die! It's an offshore track for us limiting winds and surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 18z GEFS loves the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It's an offshore track for us limiting winds and surge. Dude people would die with that recurving track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 23 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Dude people would die with that recurving track! People die in almost every major weather event. I don't want to start that debate. Let this thing play out. Anything from Central America to a full recurve is still on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 The 0z GFS tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 3 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said: The 0z GFS tho Euro just trended towards the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Euro just trended towards the GFS. And gfs just went OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: And gfs just went OTS. Well that's what usually happens with these storms, but one of the analogs being thrown around because of a similar early track was August 1893- now that would be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 11 hours ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Dude people would die with that recurving track! Dude if you didn't die in Sandy you ain't dying in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: And gfs just went OTS. Barely but many more runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Barely but many more runs to go That strong WAR will limit how far offshore this can go. Basically the storm might get trapped between that WAR to the east and a strong trough to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 8 hours ago: "OMG look at this GFS! East Coast in trouble! This pattern is incredible for an EC hit!" Now: "It's definitely going OTS." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Wow September 1st, where did the summer go? The decline into the fall/winter months begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 3 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said: 8 hours ago: "OMG look at this GFS! East Coast in trouble! This pattern is incredible for an EC hit!" Now: "It's definitely going OTS." OTS will be the favored option, probably a 70 percent chance it does so, which would normally be 90-95 percent given the time of year and its very far north starting point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: OTS will be the favored option, probably a 70 percent chance it does so, which would normally be 90-95 percent given the time of year and its very far north starting point. U just jinxed it now it will hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: OTS will be the favored option, probably a 70 percent chance it does so, which would normally be 90-95 percent given the time of year and its very far north starting point. Typically maximum rainfall is 100 miles to the west of the core, maximum winds to the east of course. Saw this with Bob, which had maximum rainfall at our latitude in eastern portions of the city and western LI, while Gloria had maximum rainfall at our latitude in western parts of the city. Floyd, which made landfall up here near Jones Beach had maximum rainfall over NJ and E PA (Scranton got 10") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Summer isn't over. There, I said it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 how can anyone want it to be over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 8 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said: 8 hours ago: "OMG look at this GFS! East Coast in trouble! This pattern is incredible for an EC hit!" Now: "It's definitely going OTS." It's easy to hug climo, which in this case overwhelmingly points to an OTS solution. It's like calling for rain at the forks during a Noreaster inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 101 deg at 2 pm in downtown #SanFrancisco - a record high for Sept 1 and ties the record high for entire month of Sept. #CAheatwave#CAwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 1, 2017 Author Share Posted September 1, 2017 57 minutes ago, bluewave said: 101 deg at 2 pm in downtown #SanFrancisco - a record high for Sept 1 and ties the record high for entire month of Sept. #CAheatwave#CAwx 104 now. All time record high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 California should roast. They get to keep the ridge, we the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 You guys should take a peek at the GFS. That's a crazy solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Meh. Seeing some desparation swings in actually makes me think OTS is more likely imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: You guys should take a peek at the GFS. That's a crazy solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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