H2O Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Say it in banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Well, things sure got quiet here after MA was not involved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Well, things sure got quiet here after MA was not involved Pssst - check the storm specific thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Pssst - check the storm specific thread! DOH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Jose at the end of the 12z GFS LOL Would wreck the outer banks of NC if it verified. Entertainment of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 That one quiet person you occasionally meet... 000 WTNT32 KNHC 051454 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017 ...10TH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 39.1W ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Re. Jose, never seen a hurricane make a beeline SE like that at that longitude (GFS, hrs 162-222). Seems to be hooking back though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 Sneaky little systems... 000 WTNT33 KNHC 052035 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 400 PM CDT Tue Sep 05 2017 ...DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.4N 96.7W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 Jose slowing strengthening. 000 WTNT32 KNHC 052031 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 PM AST Tue Sep 05 2017 ...JOSE GAINING STRENGTH IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 40.6W ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 05 2017 ...JOSE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 41.7W ABOUT 1330 MI...2140 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the future progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 41.7 West. Jose is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slightly faster west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Jose is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 060236 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 05 2017 ...DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO, COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 96.4W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Mexican state of Veracruz should monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen was located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 96.4 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 2 mph (4 km/h), and the system should drift eastward and southward during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to remain offshore of Mexico through late Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a hurricane on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Keeping a low profile. ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Katia Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 400 AM CDT Wed Sep 06 2017 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KATIA... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.1N 96.3W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES ........................ Forecaster Roberts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Jose steadily strengthens. ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 ...JOSE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 42.8W ABOUT 1255 MI...2020 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 42.8 West. Jose is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A slightly faster west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Jose is expected to become a hurricane by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 11/4/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Jose is closing in on hurricane status. 000 WTNT32 KNHC 061433 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 ...JOSE IS CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 44.5W ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 44.5 West. Jose is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued gradual trengthening is forecast and Jose is expected to become a hurricane by later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecasters CARBIN/BANN/LAMERS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Katia wanders around in her comfort zone for now. 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061432 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Katia Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 06 2017 ...KATIA MOVING LITTLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 95.9W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. A Hurricane Watch could be required for portions of the Mexican state of Veracruz later today. .................. Forecaster Avila Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 6, 2017 Author Share Posted September 6, 2017 Recon into Katia. This is NOT rain containminated this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Someone was asking about David's effects on the area, so I figured re-posting this research might be a good idea. Below are all the events I could find that brought frequent TS-force gusts across the area. The asterisk indicates a storm that brought hurricane-force gusts to the DC area. Most of the data came from Washington Post archives stretching back into the late 1800's, with the earliest hits based on other research. 1870-1879 1876- September hurricane brought heavy rain and high storm surge *1878- October hurricane undergoing ET transition brought probably the most severe conditions to DC until Hazel 1880-1889 1885-strong winds and heavy rain in August storm 1888-August hurricane making landfall in Louisiana sped NE'ward, bringing 40 mph sustained/60 mph gust to DC 1890-1899 1893 (1)- August major hurricane brought 42 mph five-minute sustained winds to DC with significant telegraph/telephone line damage 1893 (2)-October major hurricane brought a substantial storm surge and TS conditions to the city with even more damage to windows/wires *1896-violent late September hit with significant structural damage in DC- 66 mph five-minute wind/80 mph gust 1899- Late October "gale" 1900-1909 1904- questionable- TS winds along coast, but DC? 1910-1919 None 1920-1929 1928- Lake Okeechobee hurricane- TS squalls in DC metro/60 mphs+ gusts near the bay 1929- Late September/October hurricane- TS conditions up the entire coast during ET transition 1930-1939 1933-Of course, infamous Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane. 50 mph gusts and record storm surge until Isabel 1940-1949 1944- August hurricane (not the Great Atlantic Hurricane) swept in from NC and left 5.2" rain in DC. It downed powerlines, uprooted trees, and left numerous fallen branches, especially in the western suburbs 1949- August FL hurricane brings down trees and powerlines in DC with 52 mph gusts 1950-1959 1952- Able- neat storm with a few hours of sustained TS winds region-wide. 60+mph gusts in DC, tornadoes around the region, and 3-4" of rain *1954-Hazel- 98 mph all-time record gust w/ sustained hurricane-force winds, but not much rain (probably already ET by the time we experienced our peak winds) 1955- Connie- gust to 58 mph (same as Isabel) well before the closest approach of the center; sustained TS winds and ~6" rain 1960-1969 None 1970-1979 1972- Agnes- besides the rain, 43 mph sus/49 mph gust at DCA with numerous power outages and phone disruptions 1979- David- frequent TS gusts through most of the area (but somehow none at DCA) with 3-8" of rain; massive power outages all throughout the Northeast metropolis (this was NYC's big-time power outage, more than Irene) 1980-1989 1985- Bob-remants brought borderline TS conditions in squalls to DC with significant power outages (1985- Gloria did bring borderline TS conditions to the eastern suburbs and Baltimore, but not to the immediate DC area) 1990-1999 1996- Fran--slightly less significant for wind damage than David with frequent TS gusts in many parts of the region;~100,000 power outages area-wide and a signifcant storm surge with a high tide/surge combo flooding lower Alexandria and parts of DC (Earlier in July, Bertha brought borderline TS conditions to especially the eastern suburbs; DCA gusted above 40 mph) 1999- Floyd- frequent gusts above TS threshold from DC eastward with similar power disruptions to Fran; more rain, but of course less surge than Fran 2000-2009 2003- Isabel- longest duration of TS conditions in region since Connie with 12 hours of frequent TS gusts at DCA; record storm surge (not freshwater flooding) in DC, Annapolis, and Baltimore; by far the largest power outages ever with ~5/7 of Pepco customers out (>530,000) and more than 1 million customer out in DC metro 2006- Ernesto- a few hours of frequent TS gusts and more rain than Isabel (2008- Hannah barely gusted at TS threshold in the area, but did bring more rain than Isabel, again) 2010-current 2011- Irene- more-or-less matched Isabel's wind gusts in the area with somewhat lower sustained winds; significantly less power outages in the DC region because of several factors (220,000 Pepco outages at peak, for example), but still the most significant TS conditions for our area- aside from Isabel- since Connie 2012- Sandy- surpassed Isabel at least in terms of gusts at all three airports, exceeded sustained winds at IAD; frequent TS-force gusts for a good 7-10 hours; also a lot more rain than Isabel; like Irene, relatively fewer power disruptions for how high the winds were because of several factors including wind direction and the Derecho's pruning of weaker limbs/trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 GFS develops another low behind Jose which would be Lee. Very active Atlantic basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: @gymengineer your posts on our climo and history add so much value to this subforum. Thanks for sharing! Thanks so much. As you can see from that list (and we've discussed this ad nauseum), we really suck at tropical. There are entire decades we go without widespread TS gusts from a tropical system. Whatever was happening climate-wise from the late 1870's through the late 1890's, yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 06 2017 ...JOSE CONTINUES INTENSIFYING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 47.5W ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 47.5 West. Jose is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Landsea NNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Katia Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 06 2017 ...KATIA STRENGTHENING SLOWLY... ...HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 94.8W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Watch northward along the coast of Mexico to Cabo Rojo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cabo Rojo to Laguna Verde A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. ....... Forecaster Blake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 11/6/3 000 WTNT32 KNHC 072033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 500 PM AST Thu Sep 07 2017 ...JOSE BECOMES 3RD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2017 ATLANTIC SEASON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 52.4W ABOUT 590 MI...955 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Antigua and Barbuda A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis * Saba and St. Eustatius A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in St. Martin and Sint Maarten beginning on Saturday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. ....... Forecaster Lamers/Carbin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Meanwhile in SNE... This is after more loop the loops than I can recall ever seeing a hurricane complete - and it's trending westward over the last 3 runs, though still faaaar out on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, eurojosh said: Meanwhile in SNE... This is after more loop the loops than I can recall ever seeing a hurricane complete - and it's trending westward over the last 3 runs, though still faaaar out on the gfs. Euro also has Jose near the U.S Interesting times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 meanwhile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 8, 2017 Author Share Posted September 8, 2017 24 minutes ago, mappy said: meanwhile... And Jose has been going slightly south of its forecast points for the past 12-24 hours... The islands really need to be ready for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 8, 2017 Author Share Posted September 8, 2017 Jose update. ZCZC MIATCUAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Hurricane Jose Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1000 AM AST Fri Sep 08 2017 ...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS JOSE IS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds in Jose have increased to near 150 mph (240 km/h), making Jose an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane. This intensity change will be reflected in the upcoming 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC) advisory. SUMMARY OF 1000 AM AST...1400 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 56.9W ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 8, 2017 Author Share Posted September 8, 2017 Katia strengthens. ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Katia Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1000 AM CDT Fri Sep 08 2017 ...KATIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 95.8W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Rojo to Laguna Verde A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco * South of Laguna Verde to Puerto Veracruz A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 to 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. ....... Forecaster Carbin/Bann Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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