cae Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 The frame before landfall is 890 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Hazel on steroids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Even I'm blushing on this. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, yoda said: I mean that's...damn. Gimme some of dat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, tim123 said: Hazel on steroids I was going to say Fran on steroids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 That windfield is sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: I was going to say Fran on steroids Fran was a Sept 10th landfall, right? Happy anniversary Fran. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 It's cute to look at, but the GFS is clearly on crack WRT intensity, which probably means it's track is bunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 CMC is west Palm Beach landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: It's cute to look at, but the GFS is clearly on crack WRT intensity, which probably means it's track is bunk. I don't see how intensity messed with the track. It went south early because the war flexed. Then it had nowhere to go because of the block and hp over the top. Any storm would have followed a similar track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: I don't see how intensity messed with the track. It went south early because the war flexed. Then it had nowhere to go because of the block and hp over the top. Any storm would have followed a similar track. I'm trying to keep a level head and not get excited. But man, I'm starting to believe the EC threat might be legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, Amped said: CMC is west Palm Beach landfall CMC is an entire east coast of Florida landfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 The 0z UKMET is located near Little Inagua in the SE Bahamas by day 6. Substantial south shift this cycle, joining CMC and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Probally not the final solution. But you get the idea that the east coast is looking at a cat 4 or 5. Can't wait to see euro and all the ensambles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 All the way to IL. Lol. Well, if you want to know how hurricane remnants from the atlantic can end up in the midwest...just loop h5 and have fun. 18z Gefs had a number of these. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 So GFS ends up tracking to Wrigley Field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: All the way to IL. Lol. Well, if you want to know how hurricane remnants from the atlantic can end up in the midwest...just loop h5 and have fun. 18z Gefs had a number of these. Crazy. We somehow manage to miss the the storm so this is plausible. Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Yes Wayyyyyyyyy inland is correct It encapsulates the low dead center under the ridge. Going to stall over Ohio until it dies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We somehow manage to miss the the storm so this is plausible. Heh. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 This is like that midwinter GFS run that suddenly smokes SNE. Euro will come back with a midatlantic killer and we'll be back on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We somehow manage to miss the the storm so this is plausible. Heh. No. this storm misses up here. Not much happening north of the MD/PA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Huh? Most of this sibforum is only brushed by precip this run. North of CHO this is meh...north of Potomac it's a heart breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 29 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Monster hit coming 26 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Dat pressure gradient 23 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Even I'm blushing on this. Wow. 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I mean that's...damn. Gimme some of dat. 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We somehow manage to miss the the storm so this is plausible. Heh. Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Let's see ensambles. I bet this may be the op the western outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Still 8 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Places like Philly/NYC mostly get spared on the GFS run with the exception of some rain after if makes landfall from what I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Stray tornado risk pa ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Still 8 days out... Yes... but that's what we said a few days ago lol. This is almost like winter practice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Things should become much clearer as storm gets close to islands. I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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