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June Obs/Disco Thread


George BM

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19 minutes ago, mappy said:

 


91, 91, 96! Here. Pool is 84 ;)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

May soon start supporting mini waterspouts/mini tropical cyclones during cooler nights with the instability above the pool surface ;).  

 

BTW, 91, 91, 95 for IAD.

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56 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Gefs insistent on wet times ahead.... through day 8 gefs mean qpf is a Stout 2.5". ( lots of members 3- 4.5")Hope it's on to something. Sunny/ dry and 85-90 gets old and boring after a while imo.

Unless you've  got a giant pool like Mappy:lol:

GFS is basing a lot of the rain for the EC off the potential tropical action coming out of the GOMEX.   The GEFS is really the only suite hinting at this, since I don't even bother looking at the Canadian for tropical weather...it's a poor performer.  The EURO shreds the system apart which should give a prudent forecaster pause about a wet pattern developing over the EC.

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There's no need to get excited about rain in Dale City tomorrow or at anytime in the next 135 days.

Dale City will turn out dry and hotter tomorrow, with a side of choking humidity.

The mountains will get drowned, and so will the southern states which are already getting waterboarded.

Every storm will split over Dale City into midwinter 2017-2018. Period. You can take that one straight to the bank.

The super drought of 2017 has begun in northern Virginia, except for the mountains. Those damned mountains HOG everything. They HOG all the rain then they HOG all the snow in the winter.

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9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Really hard to imagine any heavy rain today given how stable everything is.  

Its gotten sunny here. It would take some differential heating and/or bay/ sea breezes to initiate something other than scattered light showers..

No real mechanism other than that.

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