yoda Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Not going to get back to the 80s till weekend... at least no blazing heat till Monday/Tuesday of next week per 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 HEAT STINKS! HATE IT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I actually like the heat signal in the EPS and GEFS. Anyone who thinks that's what's coming doesn't understand nwp...(not directed at anyone) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 22 minutes ago, BTRWx said: Anyone who thinks that's what's coming doesn't understand nwp... What do you mean? the h5 pattern would support it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, yoda said: What do you mean? the h5 pattern would support it You know how I feel about the goofus at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, BTRWx said: You know how I feel about the goofus at range. Well Day 6 and Day 7 aren't really "range" IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Well Day 6 and Day 7 aren't really "range" IMO This year's guidance has been as bad as can be considering the progress being made otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Well I used the ensembles of the GFS and Euro and 500h rather than temp/temp anomalies for a reason. I don't even know what the op models are spitting out for next week. With that kind of 500 pattern on the ensembles, a legit shot at big heat seems possible. 12z Tuesday below. Sure it's possible, but ensembles haven't been as friendly either as far as verification goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Sure. I'm not saying this verifies verbatim, but I'd find it hard to see a complete opposite h5 pattern occur. Strength of the ridging and ridge/trough orientation are always at play I think. Despite how rough a time the models have had, I still don't think we could ever toss all of them completely. Would a Russian hack change your mind? #banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Euro and Ukie teasing us with a strong low lurking off shore.. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Actually Eps has a cluster of hits. Some models have that system become a strong March-like noreaster, especially for parts of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Probably still good to trust the globals for this kind of storm, but I will note that that 06z NAM has an dramatic sensible weather difference between the resolutions. The 12km NAM is a rainy, cold mess on Thursday with daytime temps struggling to 60. The 3km NAM has a nice afternoon with highs in the 70s, at least for DC N&W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Probably still good to trust the globals for this kind of storm, but I will note that that 06z NAM has an dramatic sensible weather difference between the resolutions. The 12km NAM is a rainy, cold mess on Thursday with daytime temps struggling to 60. The 3km NAM has a nice afternoon with highs in the 70s, at least for DC N&W. A bit of convergence at 12z, the 12km is drier and mid-60s, while the 3km has the precip closer and stays near 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 12z GFS bringing some heat for next week... looks like low 90s for highs and DP's around 65 or so... so not terribly oppressive, but the usual summer heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looks like some nice summer weather coming after a couple dreary days tomorrow/Thursday. How would you like to be in Boston right now -- 2:30 pm ob is light rain, 46 degrees, wind gusting to 21 mph. YUCK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said: Looks like some nice summer weather coming after a couple dreary days tomorrow/Thursday. How would you like to be in Boston right now -- 2:30 pm ob is light rain, 46 degrees, wind gusting to 21 mph. YUCK! Sign me up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said: Looks like some nice summer weather coming after a couple dreary days tomorrow/Thursday. How would you like to be in Boston right now -- 2:30 pm ob is light rain, 46 degrees, wind gusting to 21 mph. YUCK! Yeah, that's pretty awful for early June. Good grief. Turned into a nice day here with the sun out now. Heading to the O's game tonight, looks like a great late spring evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 I don't think I have ever seen the greater LWX region without a watch, warning, advisory, or hazardous weather outlook. It seems so empty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 bring on the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 I'd rather have 46, windy and rainy than 90+ and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Today was really nice. Much better than anything in our crappy May. Early June can be good sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 56 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: I'd rather have 46, windy and rainy than 90+ and sunny. so no to drugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 High of 65 today. We don't get below 65 all next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 A pop up shower surprised me on a run this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Heavy mist almost rainlike cool 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 35 minutes ago, Sparky said: Heavy mist almost rainlike cool 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Are we sure this thread is labeled correctly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 06z GFS likes 90s from Sunday-Wed... looks like a backdoor front around on Thursday (76 near BWI and 90s near EZF)... 90s return for Fri-Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Closing in on .50" of rain this afternoon here in western Loudoun County. 57 degrees with a breeze makes it feel legit chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 3 hours ago, yoda said: 06z GFS likes 90s from Sunday-Wed... looks like a backdoor front around on Thursday (76 near BWI and 90s near EZF)... 90s return for Fri-Sat 12z GFS not as hot... and Wed looks backdoorish with 70s as well as on Thursday... Friday back into the 90 or so. LR h5 shows an interesting -2 SD height anomaly in the GOM by Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Hi 64 here today. Only one June day got to 80+ so far at my station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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