SACRUS Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 YEsterdays 6/24 (Highs) 6/24 PHL: 88 New Brunswick: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 87 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 86 ISP: 86 NYC: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Lol. From sunny to this: NJZ106-252015- Eastern Essex- 205 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017 .THIS AFTERNOON...Showers likely. Near steady temperature in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent And 10 minutes after they updated the showers died out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Just had nearly an hour of fairly heavy rain. Sky is getting lighter now though. Back to a nice summer afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Pretty heavy rain for about 20 minutes. Enough to ruin the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Days like these remind us why the summer season is the hardest to predict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 The HRRR had these showers as early as the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Wtf are these dark ominous clouds and temps falling into the 70s. What happen to the perfect day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, dWave said: Wtf are these dark ominous clouds and temps falling into the 70s. What happen to the perfect day. Calm down. It's literally 20 minutes of showers. It's already mostly sunny here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 20 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Calm down. It's literally 20 minutes of showers. It's already mostly sunny here again. I demand a refund. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrapin8100 Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Heavy rain with sunshine in Yonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Picked up 0.13" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Heavy rain here SE of JFK. Small cell overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 90's return later in the week as the WAR builds in and 850's surge to around +18C. Since we don't have a tropical system like Cindy in the mix, perhaps we'll get enough sun to make another run on 95 or greater. But if clouds and convection get in the way, then low 90's may do it. We''ll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: 90's return later in the week as the WAR builds in and 850's surge to around +18C. Since we don't have a tropical system like Cindy in the mix, perhaps we'll get enough sun to make another run on 95 or greater. But if clouds and convection get in the way, then low 90's may do it. We''ll see... Looks like there is a good chance of storms beginning Friday (possibly Thursday night) and lasting through the weekend and possibly beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Looks like there is a good chance of storms beginning Friday (possibly Thursday night) and lasting through the weekend and possibly beyond. Yeah, we look to continue the theme of most weekends since mid-April featuring at least some measurable rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Davis back home hit 57*. Chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Today is a perfect day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 6/25 highs PHL: 86 New Brunswick: 86 EWR: 86 TTN: 85 ACY: 84 LGA: 84 TEB: 84 NYC: 83 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 The 1981-2010 June monthly temperature and average...coolest to warmest...as of yesterday June is averaging 71.8...it could get greater than 72.0 by months end...this would put June 2017 in the average category... 67.5 in 2009...#1 68.3 in 2003 68.6 in 1982 68.6 in 1985 69.2 in 1998 70.3 in 1992 70.9 in 1997 71.0 in 2006 71.2 in 2004 71.3 in 2000 71.4 in 1996 71.4 in 2002 71.4 in 2007 71.6 in 1986 71.8 in 1988...#15 ..................30 year average is 71.85... 71.8 in 1995 72.0 in 1989 72.1 in 1990 72.8 in 1987 72.9 in 2001 73.0 in 1981 73.2 in 1999 73.3 in 1993 73.4 in 1983 74.0 in 2005 74.0 in 2008 74.1 in 1991 74.5 in 1984 74.7 in 2010 75.2 in 1994...#30 ...................... since 2010... 72.3 in 2011 71.0 in 2012 72.7 in 2013 72.5 in 2014 71.2 in 2015 72.3 in 2016 ...................average 72.0...average since 1981 is 71.9... 71.8 as of 6/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Statistically which period is the hottest week for Central Park? Is it July 10-17 timeframe or earlier? I found this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Statistically which period is the hottest week for Central Park? Is it July 10-17 timeframe or earlier? I think it's July 16th-22nd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 The highest average temperature at LGA is between July 13-28. But the record highest temperature for each of the local stations is between 7/3 and 7/22. EWR....7-22-11...108....NYC....7-9-36...106....LGA....7-3-66....107....JFK....7-3-66...104...BDR...7-22-11....103...ISP....7-3-66...104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Newark New Jersey June average temperature...June average temperature is 73.0...I listed the ten year averages...the coolest is 1982 at 67.9...hottest is 77.8 in 1994...June could be close to average at Newark also... 1981-90.....72.83... 1991-00.....73.40 2001-10.....72.83 average.....73.02 ............................... 2017..........72.4 as of 6/25... 2016..........72.9 2015..........72.0 2014..........72.8 2013..........73.3 2012..........72.4 2011..........74.5 2011-16.....73.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 40 minutes ago, uncle W said: Newark New Jersey June average temperature...June average temperature is 73.0...I listed the ten year averages...the coolest is 1982 at 67.9...hottest is 77.8 in 1994...June could be close to average at Newark also.. The current +0.8 at Newark is in line with June having the least top 10 warmth of the summer during the 2010's. Newark top 10 warmest months on record during the 2010's: Jun...2010...#2....2011....#10 Jul....2011...#1....2010....#3....2013...#5....2012...#6.....2016....#10 Aug..2016...#2....2015...#7.....2010...#10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The current +0.8 at Newark is in line with June having the least top 10 warmth of the summer during the 2010's. Jun...2010...#2....2011....#10 Jul....2011...#1....2010....#3....2013...#5....2012...#6.....2016....#10 Aug..2016...#2....2015...#7.....2010...#10 it's not really plus 0.8...it's closer to plus 0.3...noaa has 72.4 as the June mean... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 1 minute ago, uncle W said: it's not really plus 0.8...it's closer to plus 0.3...noaa has 72.4 as the June mean... NOAA adjusts the raw 30 year means to take out any errors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Just now, bluewave said: NOAA adjusts the 30 year means to take out any errors. what errors?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, uncle W said: what errors?... The NCDC sets the 30 year average after they correct for any bad data in the raw numbers. That's why the 30 year means might not be an exact average of the 30 years of raw numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 Just now, bluewave said: The NCDC sets the 30 year average after they correct for any bad data in the raw numbers. That's why the 30 year means might not be an exact average of the 30 years of raw numbers. don't they correct the monthly average as well?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2017 Author Share Posted June 26, 2017 11 minutes ago, uncle W said: don't they correct the monthly average as well?... This paper describes how they do it. https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/normals/1981-2010/documentation/temperature-methodology.pdf This report describes the methodology used to compute daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual normals for numerous temperature-related variables at about 7,500 weather stations for the 1981-2010 Normals period. A climate normal is typically defined as a 30-year average of an atmospheric quantity, such as maximum temperature. However, advanced statistical techniques are used to account for missing data values, inhomogeneities, station moves, etc. and therefore the normals presented here are much more than 30-year averages. This report offers a preliminary description of all procedures used to compute the new normals for temperature-related variables. We intend to submit a journal article on this matter which, if and when accepted, would replace this report as the authoritative reference for the computations done on temperature-related variables for the 1981-2010 Normals. For information regarding precipitation-related normals or hourly normals (including hourly temperature normals), please review the accompanying documentation. As described by Menne and Williams (2009) and Menne et al. (2009), NCDC provides monthly temperature data values that have undergone robust quality control and standardization at the monthly timescale. For the 1981-2010 Normals, the approaches described in these papers were applied to monthly maximum and minimum temperature values that were in turn computed from GHCN-Daily values. Monthly values were computed for station-months for which no more than nine missing or suspect daily values were present in GHCN-Daily. The standardization procedures account for both documented and undocumented station moves and other changes in observing practices. Therefore, we give precedence to normals computed from monthly temperature data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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