dmillz25 Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 Looks like we warm up in a big way after we get through this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: That looks like our next chance to get near or over 90. The really long range stuff following the warm up settles into a +PDO/+AMO pattern during the second half of June. That is a ridge near the PAC NW and East Coast. Looks like the persistent trough that has been stuck over the NE this spring shifts west back to the GL and Plains. So the current pattern will probably be the coolest relative to the means or departures for this month. Hopefully that means we'll have our chances for thunderstorms with the upcoming pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Hopefully that means we'll have our chances for thunderstorms with the upcoming pattern It will probably be hot and dry, we are due! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 Looks like three consecutive days with highs in the upper 50s on the 12z Euro for this week -- Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday -- overcast and upper 50s. That's pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 every time this pattern shows up in the 2010's we break records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: every time this pattern shows up in the 2010's we break records Make it go away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 5 hours ago, Isotherm said: Looks like three consecutive days with highs in the upper 50s on the 12z Euro for this week -- Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday -- overcast and upper 50s. That's pretty impressive. Looks similar to May where we have a significant negative departure before the heat comes in...remains to be seen how long it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 216 hours out. Moderation is a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 7 hours ago, Isotherm said: Looks like three consecutive days with highs in the upper 50s on the 12z Euro for this week -- Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday -- overcast and upper 50s. That's pretty impressive. Could be one of the coolest starts to June in years. After a very cold May minus three blazing days mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, nzucker said: Could be one of the coolest starts to June in years. After a very cold May minus three blazing days mid month. Reminds me of the start to June 2015, which had some really cool days here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 19 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Reminds me of the start to June 2015, which had some really cool days here. Highs in the 50s will be 2003 and 2009 like. 2003 has late month heat 2009 not so much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 50 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Highs in the 50s will be 2003 and 2009 like. 2003 has late month heat 2009 not so much at all. Yeah, 2015 only had a few cool days in the 50's to start out, and then it stayed fairly mild for the rest of the month, despite finishing slightly BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 59 in the park just before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Heavy thundershower and 59F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Picked up 0.65" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 14 hours ago, forkyfork said: every time this pattern shows up in the 2010's we break records honk honk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Dirty warm up alert on the 0Z Euro as it leaves a piece of the UL stuck under the ridge next week. If that energy underneath verifies, then we won't be able to rival the heat experienced around May 18th when LGA hit 97. That has afternoon thunderstorm look too it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 that earlier heat wave was a dry heat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 5 hours ago, bluewave said: Dirty warm up alert on the 0Z Euro as it leaves a piece of the UL stuck under the ridge next week. If that energy underneath verifies, then we won't be able to rival the heat experienced around May 18th when LGA hit 97. Thats fine..I'd be happy to get into the 80s for a stretch. Really 75+ and at least partly cloudy on a consistent basis would be a great accomplishment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 4 hours ago, dmillz25 said: That has afternoon thunderstorm look too it 57 minutes ago, dWave said: Thats fine..I'd be happy to get into the 80s for a stretch. Really 75+ and at least partly cloudy on a consistent basis would be a great accomplishment The 12z lost the piece of the UL and is all systems go for 90's heat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The 12z lost the piece of the UL and is all systems go for 90's heat next week. it has this issue where it amplifies every wave after day 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 I am honestly looking forward to some hot weather, low to mid 90's would be fine with me even if it is a bit humid. This cool and dreary weather that we have been having has to go, I would also like to see some afternoon/evening convection thrown in as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 57 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it has this issue where it amplifies every wave after day 4 The EPS generally does a good job filtering out the spurious waves that the OP has. It's a pretty remarkable system where the ensembles correct the OP errors post 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 I'm good with transitioning over to a more Summery pattern. It's been pretty remarkable how we've managed to nickle and dime ourselves to a well above average rainfall Spring without any major deluges or flooding. I can only recall one event with widespread 3"+ totals. We've also managed to walk the line with a lot of cutoff lows that dropped extreme rainfall to our South and Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 5, 2017 Author Share Posted June 5, 2017 21 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I'm good with transitioning over to a more Summery pattern. It's been pretty remarkable how we've managed to nickle and dime ourselves to a well above average rainfall Spring without any major deluges or flooding. I can only recall one event with widespread 3"+ totals. We've also managed to walk the line with a lot of cutoff lows that dropped extreme rainfall to our South and Southwest. Almost 3 years since the last big 10 inch+ deluge event or month around the area. It was quite a run from June 2003 to August 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Major increase in winds and drop in temps the last hour here at jones beach. Definitely a back door front type feel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 5, 2017 Share Posted June 5, 2017 Saturated 62/62 here. Yet no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 66 today. 59 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 58 in the park before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 Today could be one of the last days this summer that we see a high in the 50's before the 90 degree heat returns next week. We actually saw a similar warm up in June 2015 following the cool start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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