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June 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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8 hours ago, JerseyWx said:

That's incredibly bad.  Our upstsairs easily hits the upper 90's with that kind of heat, but I could never sleep up there.

If our central AC goes bad we can always go to the basement where it never gets above 65 degrees no matter what's up outside.  It's below grade but with an on grade driveway door.  Winters when the ground freezes deep it gets pretty cold down there though.

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3 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

If our central AC goes bad we can always go to the basement where it never gets above 65 degrees no matter what's up outside.  It's below grade but with an on grade driveway door.  Winters when the ground freezes deep it gets pretty cold down there though.

We have that same setup....also have 2nd floor CAC and 1st CAC which are separate units-so we always have one floor that works.    

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LGA and EWR are in 2nd and 3rd place for the most 90 degree days between May 15 and June 14 on record. 

LGA

7..1959

6...2017,1991,1987,1984

EWR

9...1991,1986

7...2005,1987,1959,1914

6...2017,1988,1984,1899

 

 

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1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Looks like we are just going to miss those heavy showers here in SE Nassau. Let's see what happens later with the showers further to the west. But it's looking scattered at the moment 

I'll let you know how it is. Right in the bullseye

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2 hours ago, gravitylover said:

If our central AC goes bad we can always go to the basement where it never gets above 65 degrees no matter what's up outside.  It's below grade but with an on grade driveway door.  Winters when the ground freezes deep it gets pretty cold down there though.

Our basement stays pretty cool too.  We don't have central AC though, so parts of the house tend to run warmer than others.  Downstairs stays comfortable though.

Looks like a shower heading this way soon, but besides that the radar is pretty empty.

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Nothing unexpected thus far. We have an ephemeral pulse of heat circa Father's day, followed by a cool down, another warm pulse around the 23rd, and then subsequently a very significant pool of cold envelops Canada through the end of June. Ecmwf ensembles are quite impressive with much of the NA continent near or cooler than normal for the last week of June. I think it will be warmer in the South, but the AK ridging will force the suppression of the mean jet.

 

Could be an active convective pattern for us with the steep latitudinal height gradient.

 

No protracted heat through Jul 1 looks good. I thought July would be the warmest month, so we will see how the pattern evolves. Should see lower heights retrograde off the west coast eventually.

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15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Amazing-mid 90's on Monday to mid 60's on Friday....

Same back and forth pattern since the spring as temps look to rebound back near 90 on Sunday. Quite a dueling +PDO/+AMO pattern.

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23 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

also the day 10 eps was too cold with the pattern modeled for next weekend 

 

Even the EPS has been underestimating the influence of those near record SST's of the East Coast. A stronger WAR/SE Ridge has been verifying.

 

midatl_oisst_anom_current.thumb.png.de16ce45b31aa272206753c4dcc6c42b.png

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 That's a lot of words to say mostly cloudy with a chance of showers

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly
sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of
thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers with patchy drizzle in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Humid with highs
in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent. 

 

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