forkyfork Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 the EPS originally showed this event as a cold dump but the WAR turned it into a storm instead vs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Current temp is 72, a nice evening out there. High for the day was 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 The 18z GEFS mean has 2"+, I think the ops will trend wetter over the next two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Some models are hinting at the possibility of convection Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 40 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Some models are hinting at the possibility of convection Saturday afternoon. It's still pretty far out but both Saturday and Sunday to me don't look great for instability. I think anything Saturday is mostly showers and Sunday the only convection may be on the boundary back across WRN PA and OH. The stuff with the surface low and warm front over CNY and Upstate may be mostly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 I can see the thunderstorm tower going up over Western Rockland County from my office window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 73 beautiful degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Ambrose jet event beginning at the beach with strong southerly winds increasing past 20 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2017 Author Share Posted June 2, 2017 The convection this afternoon looks great on the new GOES 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Just had a sun shower in SW Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Cfa said: Just had a sun shower in SW Nassau. Having a sun downpour right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 0.01" in the Park for June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Dew point of 32 in the Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 2, 2017 Share Posted June 2, 2017 Abrosse jet event stopped at the beach almost as quickly as it started. It went from 25 knots straight onshore with sand blowing to Sw at about 15 knots. Very interesting local Phenomenon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 Raining here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2017 Author Share Posted June 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Raining here. Officially the 8th weekend in a row since mid-April with at least some rainfall around the region. But most of the events like today were light nuisance rather than wash outs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 Was it suppose to rain today? I thought today was supposed to be a decent day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2017 Author Share Posted June 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Was it suppose to rain today? I thought today was supposed to be a decent day. Yeah, the Euro had these showers coming through for several days now. The good news it that it trended faster instead of coming during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 On 6/2/2017 at 7:33 AM, bluewave said: Newark is on track for the first 5/25-6/7 since 2009 without reaching 85 degrees. It will be only the 10th time since 1950. 8 out of the 9 previous summers went on to have fewer 90 degree days than the 2010's average of 33. The only hot summer in the bunch was 1983 with 40 days. 2010's average number of 90 degree or higher days at Newark 33 5/25-6/7 max temps not reaching 85 and number of summer 90 degree days 2017...82 max so far 2009...84...14 2003...81....20 2001...79....22 1997...78...20 1996...84...9 1983...82...40 1982...80...12 1976...84...15 1964...84...26 2010's 2010...54 2011...31 2012...33 2013...25 2014...15 2015...35 2016...40 Interesting stats, as always BW. I could see this year bucking the trend or being in the 28 - 32 range. You wonder with enough sun on Mon it may get closer to 85 (doubtful) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 Clearing in next 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Was it suppose to rain today? I thought today was supposed to be a decent day. It was supposed to shower early in the morning, but today should be beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2017 Author Share Posted June 3, 2017 48 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Interesting stats, as always BW. I could see this year bucking the trend or being in the 28 - 32 range. You wonder with enough sun on Mon it may get closer to 85 (doubtful) Yeah, it will be interesting to see what happens since the 2010's climo has found ways to deviate from the past analogs. Looks like the next 90 degree potential per EPS in about 8-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Yeah, it will be interesting to see what happens since the 2010's climo has found ways to deviate from the past analogs. Looks like the next 90 degree potential per EPS in about 8-10 days. That period 10 - 14 does look to offer potential based off the longer range maps. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 Picked up 0.09" of rain earlier this morning. Current temp up to 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 GFS nears record for 850mb temperatures on the 13th with 22C, and 500mb heights over 5900m. Sounds like a 95 degree day if other factors lineup. Record highs.are 93 to 99 during period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 Three consecutive nights in the 40s; not bad for June. 44.8F this morning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 4, 2017 Author Share Posted June 4, 2017 Another weekend day in a long streak going back to mid-April where we cloud up with showers. Looks like we have a few more hours of sun this morning before clouds and showers arrive. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 Looks like an earlier arrival of rain based on current radar trends. Leading edge around Binghamton and moving ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Another weekend day in a long streak going back to mid-April where we cloud up with showers. Looks like we have a few more hours of sun this morning before clouds and showers arrive. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/rloop.html Happened allot faster then that. Wall to wall clouds at jones beach right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 4, 2017 Author Share Posted June 4, 2017 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Happened allot faster then that. Wall to wall clouds at jones beach right now Everything sped up this weekend. The showers came in quicker yesterday and led to a nicer afternoon than expected. Today is the same with showers coming in during the afternoon instead of waiting until tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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