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June 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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June decade averages...the 2010's have the warmest average so far despite the lowest decade max of 95...minimums are up and is tied with the 1890's for the warmest min. average...last year averaged 72.3 with a max/min of 88/52...
1870's.....70.4.......na.....na.....na.....na
1880's.....70.5.......96.....48.....91.0.....51.5
1890's.....70.9.......97.....48.....93.6.....53.4
1900's.....70.0.......95.....48.....91.1.....52.7
1910's.....69.0.......95.....47.....90.9.....51.1
1920's.....70.1.......99.....45.....92.7.....51.0
1930's.....71.6.....101.....47.....93.7.....52.4
1940's.....71.5.......99.....44.....93.9.....51.1
1950's.....71.2.....100.....48.....94.2.....51.9
1960's.....72.0.....101.....48.....95.5.....52.7
1970's.....71.0.......95.....46.....91.1.....52.0
1980's.....71.7.......98.....47.....92.7.....52.6
1990's.....72.2.......98.....49.....92.8.....52.6
2000's.....71.3.......96.....49.....91.4.....52.5
2010's.....72.4.......95.....50.....91.6.....53.4...2010-16
1870/1880-
2009 ave 70.9.....101.....44.....92.7.....52.1
1980-
2009 ave 71.7.......98.....47.....92.3.....52.6

JUNE CLIMATE STATS...
warmest average temperature and year.
76.2 1943
75.4 1966
75.2 1994
74.7 2010
74.5 1984
74.3 1925
74.3 1949
74.3 1957
74.2 1971
74.1 1991
74.1 1899

coolest
64.2 1903
65.2 1881
65.7 1916
66.8 1926
66.8 1902
67.2 1958
67.3 1927
67.4 1928
67.5 2009
67.5 1897


wettest June and year
10.27 2003

10.10 2013
10.06 2009
9.78 1903
9.30 1972
8.79 1989
8.55 2006
7.76 1887
7.58 1975
7.13 1938
7.05 1871
7.04 1928
6.88 1922

driest
0.02 1949
0.59 1999
0.98 1894
1.00 1901
1.14 1880
1.17 1966
1.25 1898
1.26 1906
1.27 1965
1.27 1908

warmest max. temperature and year
101 1966
101 1934
100 1952
99 1925
99 1943
99 1956
99 1964
Coolest max. temperature and year
81 1903
84 2009
84 1886
84 1916
85 1985
86 1928
86 1972
coolest min. temperature and year
44 1945...6/1
45 1929...6/3
46 1972...6/11
47 1938...6/1
47 1946...6/3
47 1945...6/6
47 1945...6/5
47 1879...6/7
47 1915...6/3
47 1932...6/8
47 1980...6/9
warmest min. temp. and year.
58 1892
58 1911
58 1952
58 1981
58 1989
.......................................................................

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10 hours ago, marsplex said:

If you are like me and spend all winter and spring dreaming of summer then you will be extremely disappointed. If you are some sort of freak, depressing misanthrope you are going to LOVE IT!

It's only for the first half of June, it's guaranteed to warm up eventually and even during the cool spell I bet we'll pick up a few 80s along the way. 

It's no big deal if June ends up cooler, Beach weather and summer doesn't really get going until late June/July anyway. 

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there have been hot summers with a cool June...similar to a cold winter with a mild December...

year.....June July temp...

2015.....71.2...78.8...

2002.....71.4...78.8

1995.....71.8...79.2

1988.....71.8...79.3

1980.....70.3...79.3

1977.....70.2...79.0

1955.....68.9...80.9

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2 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

Halfway through the year. June feeling like April the next 10 days?

The temps are blending the months together like I've never seen before.  Certainly won't feel like June in terms of highs for the next couple of weeks.  Today through Saturday looks beautiful.

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1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

The Euro backed off a bit on Sunday and early next week in terms of heavy rain. Still a wet 2-3 day period. 

Models look like they are slowing down the onset of rain for sunday-might be able to eek out a dry or most dry day...

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1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

Models look like they are slowing down the onset of rain for sunday-might be able to eek out a dry or most dry day...

Yeah the Euro looks like most of the rain would fall after noon, but rain tends to always move in faster than modeled. 

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48 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a potential 2-4 inch event for the spots around the NE where the best overrunning and convection sets up. Models will probably jump around with the axis of heaviest rains next few days. But the 0z Euro and EPS had heaviest focused north of us. But that could easily change since cutoff lows often have surprises especially when convection is involved.

 

Quite the gradient on the 0z Euro.   Goes from almost nothing in the waters south of LI to close to 3 inches up by Hartford.    12z yesterday was further south so we'll see if the drift north continues.

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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

12z euro continues with the slower onset of rain sunday and has the jackpot over SE NE.   An inch or less NYC S and W, 1-2 inches NYC N and E. (through 132)

Looks like the EPS mean is wetter than the OP for our area.

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6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The EPS is actually less progressive with the cutoff that the OP. It's usually the other way around. In any event, a slow moving cutoff+ convection  equals heavy rain potential. We'll probably have to wait and see where the warm front and best overrunning sets up.

 

ps2png-atls03-a82bacafb5c306db76464bc7e824bb75-99v6EZ.thumb.png.d6b806e96f68e338428b8bf662992de3.png

 

 

 

 

Like I said, the EPS is wetter than the OP, by a decent margin.

 

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