bobbutts Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 1:05 AM, eekuasepinniW said: On the way home from Lowes, I could see the top of the super distant storms in N VT. Once home, I realized it was mostly hidden behind the hill but I'm posting this intense photo of it anyways. Expand Pretty sure I was looking at the same thing from CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 12, 2017 Author Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:17 PM, Typhoon Tip said: west wind at 850 doesn't mean much. look at the design/evolution of the mid level heights up N of Maine...They are in a confluent structure...which means surface pressures are positively differentiating because of the synoptic scaled DVM. The +PP then sends a mass-continuity restoration wave (atmospheric tsunamis of cold misery) air back SW underneath the more apparent environmental flow. Expand my worry with the west 850 wind was advecting in drier air and with strong mixing it would mix dews but I checked the 850 dews and they remain quite high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Storm near TAN even better now, tops to 55 kft from kgyx. 50 dBZ to 45 kft. Big boy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Storm over Rehobeth blowing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:39 PM, OceanStWx said: Storm near TAN even better now, tops to 55 kft from kgyx. 50 dBZ to 45 kft. Big boy storm. Expand Ima put my big boy pants on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:40 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Storm over Rehobeth blowing up. Expand MRMS MESH saying 1.6" hail, I find it's usually pretty accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Scratch that, a few pixels of 2" hail now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Nam as usual is way too aggressive with its push. Euro much more realistic keeping it near Pike till Fri am 50's for highs on Fri with water temps in mid - upper 60's lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:43 PM, OceanStWx said: Scratch that, a few pixels of 2" hail now. Expand Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:42 PM, OceanStWx said: MRMS MESH saying 1.6" hail, I find it's usually pretty accurate. Expand I sometimes find it weird though when the warning is in complete opposite to what MESH says... like the STW for Rehoboth says hail to the size of quarters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nam as usual is way too aggressive with its push. Euro much more realistic keeping it near Pike till Fri am Expand NAM typically handles backdoors better, and the Euro agrees with a NYC push by Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:45 PM, yoda said: I sometimes find it weird though when the warning is in complete opposite to what MESH says... like the STW for Rehoboth says hail to the size of quarters Expand I've seen enough over the last year or so to be totally fine using MRMS as a first guess hail size in the warning. At least for our area, spotter reports have typically been within 0.25-0.5" of MESH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:39 PM, bobbutts said: Pretty sure I was looking at the same thing from CON. Expand Looks like you took that from my go-to parking space at Best Buy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:48 PM, OceanStWx said: NAM typically handles backdoors better, and the Euro agrees with a NYC push by Friday. Expand Nam is always too aggressive. If it's 56 in BOS on Friday at noon I'll send you 6 TH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Core coming down near Rehoboth. Velocity even showing some signs of a nice downburst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Wish I was home when this looks like this over my town 30 miles North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Just missed out on the good stuff. Not even a drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:50 PM, dendrite said: Looks like you took that from my go-to parking space at Best Buy. Expand figured you would park by the Geek sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nam is always too aggressive. If it's 56 in BOS on Friday at noon I'll send you 6 TH Expand Well the NAMnest says 63, but whatever. Meteorology not modelology, the front will most likely make it through your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:53 PM, OceanStWx said: Well the NAMnest says 63, but whatever. Meteorology not modelology, the front will most likely make it through your backyard. Expand Yes it will make it to NNJ My point is it's too fast tomorrow and it's too cold with 50's for highs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Looks like a storm at home on SBF. Hope to get a good soaking. My 4.5 yr old is begging for one..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:50 PM, dendrite said: Looks like you took that from my go-to parking space at Best Buy. Expand Yup, I decided to pick up an Oculus Rift + Touch since they dropped the price. Pretty cool toy so far, not the most comfortable thing though. Google earth is great. Someone needs to make a radar product for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 That Dighton storm is a beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 12, 2017 Author Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:42 PM, OceanStWx said: MRMS MESH saying 1.6" hail, I find it's usually pretty accurate. Expand Is that product what basically what display's the hail icon/size on gr lvl 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 7:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yes it will make it to NNJ My point is it's too fast tomorrow and it's too cold with 50's for highs Expand That's pretty much the speed it has anyway. I'm not sure where you get this stuff sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 8:05 PM, weatherwiz said: Is that product what basically what display's the hail icon/size on gr lvl 2? Expand I believe GR has their own internal algorithm. Our MRMS is using data from OKX, GYX, BOX, etc to give a best guess max hail size. Like this storm is too close to kbox to see the top of the storm so MRMS will use data from OKX and GYX to fill it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Tomorrow looks absolutely wild Pike south with storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 Intense storm at home. Son is happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 12, 2017 Share Posted July 12, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 8:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Intense storm at home. Son is happy! Expand Just wait until he grows up and realizes what disappointment feels like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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