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May 15-20th Severe Weather Event


Chicago Storm

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EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
414 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017  
  
MNC013-103-172130-  
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170517T2130Z/  
BLUE EARTH MN-NICOLLET MN-  
414 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR NORTH  
CENTRAL BLUE EARTH AND SOUTHEASTERN NICOLLET COUNTIES...  
      
AT 414 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SKYLINE, OR NEAR  
MANKATO, MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
  

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4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I think we're missing a little bit more moisture. Some dew points have mixed out into the 50s now, and I think that is enough to keep these from digging in. 

But they are in the low 60s ahead of this warned line, so things could still ramp up.

Also we'll have the near-sunset window when instability is still pretty good and diurnal mixing wanes a bit and low level shear ramps up.

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1 minute ago, Hoosier said:

Also we'll have the near-sunset window when instability is still pretty good and diurnal mixing wanes a bit and low level shear ramps up.

Yeah, winds were only supposed to keep ramping up aloft into the evening.

Just a hair off from what I've seen on radar and video.

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1 minute ago, Hoosier said:

20+ degree temp/dewpoint spreads common in eastern Iowa and into northern Illinois.  Better as you head into northeast Iowa and over into WI/MN.

il_sfc.gif.10879574daa40a3dc315f6939c1626ed.gif

Need those higher dews across MO to advect northward.

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