Amped Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Still haven't seen one TOG from a chaser or definitive TDS on radar. LCL or lack of low level shear maybe causing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 552 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN WHEELER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 552 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF ALLISON, OR 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHAMROCK, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...NWS EMPLOYEE CONFIRMED TORNADO. damage reports 3 miles SE of wheeler..looks like went just south of town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 So that couplet on the tor warned storm in Wisconsin is pretty strong. Forgot about that thing up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 553 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 OKC009-055-057-162315- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0021.000000T0000Z-170516T2315Z/ GREER OK-HARMON OK-BECKHAM OK- 553 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN GREER...NORTHWESTERN HARMON AND SOUTHWESTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES... AT 552 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MADGE OKLAHOMA, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND SOFTBALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN GREER...NORTHWESTERN HARMON AND SOUTHWESTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES... At 552 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 10 miles northwest of Madge Oklahoma, moving east-northeast at 25 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and softball size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Erick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 555 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT * AT 555 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF ALLISON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...NWS EMPLOYEE CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Another one The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Roger Mills County in western Oklahoma... * Until 645 PM CDT * At 555 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 5 miles south of Allison, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...NWS Employee confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Cheyenne, Reydon, Roll and Dempsey. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3566 10000 3584 9972 3575 9965 3559 9963 3544 10000 TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 234DEG 30KT 3553 10007 TORNADO...OBSERVED HAIL...1.75IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, pbrussell said: So that couplet on the tor warned storm in Wisconsin is pretty strong. Forgot about that thing up there 535 PM TORNADO 4 NW CHETEK 45.36N 91.71W 05/16/2017 BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: 535 PM TORNADO 4 NW CHETEK 45.36N 91.71W 05/16/2017 BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. Yup. Looks like it's getting stronger too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 storms firing further south now MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0737 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0529 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WEST AND SOUTHWEST TX CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 162229Z - 170030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...A WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE REQUIRED WITHIN 1-2 HOURS. VERY LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE GUSTS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF WEAK UPDRAFTS AND THE INITIAL STAGES OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION TRYING TO OCCUR ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AS A POTENT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST PIVOTS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S DEGREES F EAST OF THE DRYLINE AND CONSIDERABLE MIXING HAS OCCURRED WITH DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 50S NEAR I-20 TO THE UPPER 60S NEAR THE RIO GRANDE. VERY STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR 60-80 KT AND 2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE WILL SUPPORT RAPID STORM ORGANIZATION INTO SUPERCELLS ONCE STORMS DEVELOP. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES THIS EVENING AND ASCENT STRENGTHENS FURTHER, A CONVECTIVE BAND IS FORECAST TO EVOLVE. HAIL AND WIND WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY RISKS ONCE THIS TRANSITION OCCURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Heading a little more south but I am looking golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Was about to mention the supercell south of DDC... Nice TVS on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 WI(lake severe forum dead) BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 601 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 601 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BRUCE, OR 10 MILES WEST OF LADYSMITH, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Very substantial low-level inflow into all these supercells across W/SW OK... Area OBS show SE winds sustained at 30+ mph with gusts nearing 50mph. DPs 63-68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Also notable that both the 18Z GFS and NAM continued with the idea of a potentially significant/high-end day on Thursday across Southern KS/OK/N TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 613 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN GREER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHERN BECKHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 610 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF ERICK, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE PRIMARY TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN BECKHAM COUNTY AND NORTHERN GREER COUNTY. LARGE HAIL WILL AFFECT ERICK, SAYRE, AND INTERSTATE 40. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HAIL LARGER THAN BASEBALLS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Tornado still in progress in Beckham Co... Also report of 3.5 inch hail 5 miles south-southwest of Erick with the same storm, obviously quite an intense supercell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted May 16, 2017 Author Share Posted May 16, 2017 Probably a strong tornado South of Roydon, OK. Impressive radar presentation via Frederick, OK radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 617 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 OKC009-055-170000- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/ GREER OK-BECKHAM OK- 617 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN GREER AND SOUTHERN BECKHAM COUNTIES... AT 615 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF ERICK, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. IN ADDITION, SOFTBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED SOUTHWEST OF ERICK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Destabilization is certainly occurring across W OK now as upper 60s dewpoints are present feeding into those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY... At 622 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Reydon, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Cheyenne, Reydon and Roll. They just keep going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 and WI 25 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTY... AT 624 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER CONRATH, OR NEAR LADYSMITH, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Supercell in far southwestern OK is definitely strengthening. Developing mid-level rotation ATTM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 632 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 OKC129-162345- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-170516T2345Z/ ROGER MILLS OK- 632 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL ROGER MILLS COUNTY... AT 631 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROLL, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL BECKHAM COUNTY... At 629 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Delhi, moving northeast at 40 mph. The tornado threat will move from near Delhi to near Carter. Large hail is expected in Sayre and along Interstate 40. Grapefruit size hail has been reported with this storm south of Erick. HAZARD...Tornado and grapefruit size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Sayre, Carter and Delhi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 It's been awhile since we have had a 994 mb low over se CO and western OK panhandle co located with an incoming 110 knot 300 mb jet nosing into the TX panhandle, upper 60's dews, se surface winds, and 350-400 helicity now appearing across sw OK with favorable CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 WI MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0739 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0625 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN/CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND THE SOUTHERN UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 222... VALID 162325Z - 170030Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 222 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A CONSIDERABLE TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA, INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH A CELL CURRENTLY OVER RUSK COUNTY, WI. DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF STRONG ROTATION, SIGNIFICANT HAIL, AND TORNADOES, HAS EVOLVED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS IN NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY HAS MATURED WEST OF THIS CLUSTER FROM NEAR DLH SOUTHWARD TO ABOUT 25 SSE OF MSP. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT SEVERE POTENTIAL (INCLUDING TORNADOES) OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS, WHERE RECENT OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE 2000+ J/KG MUCAPE AND 300-400 M2/S2 EFFECTIVE SRH DOWNSTREAM OF THIS COMPLEX OF STORMS WITHIN AN UNDISTURBED PRECONVECTIVE AIRMASS. BASED ON THE EVOLVING SEVERE THREAT, A NEW TORNADO WATCH AND/OR SPATIAL EXTENSIONS TO THE EXISTING WATCH MAY BE NEEDED AROUND/JUST AFTER 00Z. RUSK WI- 632 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTY... AT 631 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TONY, OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LADYSMITH, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Tornado reported near Bucklin KS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Near Carter, Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomp2mp Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 too bad that area of WI is a dead zone for the nexrad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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