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May 15-20 Severe Threat


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First severe warned popped up in SW Oklahoma in the PDS Watch -

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
119 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Jackson County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Western Kiowa County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Greer County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Southeastern Harmon County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Northwestern Hardeman County in northern Texas...

* Until 215 PM CDT

* At 119 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of
  Gould, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Mangum, Granite, Eldorado, Gould, Duke, Brinkman, Hester,
  Altus-Lugert Lake and McQueen.
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Pretty awesome gravity waves in central/western Oklahoma. You can also start to see the upper level clouds start to bend more to the north and west as the main upper level low approaches the area and modifies the flow. 

Its going to be interesting to see how this one plays out. The 18z initiation isn't close to ideal, but we'll have to see if things quickly grow and congeal from here on out, despite come capping left in Oklahoma. 

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Sitting in Watonga, Oklahoma waiting on the show to begin. Easy north and south options, but thinking it will be too messy up by the KS border with convection down in far SW OK trying to grow upscale quickly. Honestly, this doesn't look like a high risk TOR setup right now, but a few tornadoes are likely. 

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1 minute ago, andyhb said:

That storm near Gould, OK already has a very large area of inflow.

Everything remaining nicely discrete so far, lets see how long that will last... Baseball sized hail already on this storm.

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First of the day...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
158 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Jackson County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  West central Kiowa County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Central Greer County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  East central Harmon County in southwestern Oklahoma...

* Until 245 PM CDT
    
* At 158 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Duke, moving northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Mangum, Granite, Willow, Duke, Brinkman, Hester, Altus-Lugert Lake
  and McQueen.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
158 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Jackson County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  West central Kiowa County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Central Greer County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  East central Harmon County in southwestern Oklahoma...

* Until 245 PM CDT
    
* At 158 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

tw.png

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON...WEST CENTRAL KIOWA AND CENTRAL GREER
COUNTIES...
    
At 204 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Duke, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and two inch hail. 

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Mangum, Granite, Willow, Duke, Brinkman, Hester and Altus-Lugert
Lake.
 

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