Animal Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 big Ticket rain event in NE Sussex County, NJ Storm total 1.21 inches of water. Yup ask yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 um...wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 14, 2017 Author Share Posted May 14, 2017 It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Looks like 2.05" will be the final here. The general model consensus of around 2" worked well. Seems we've been having one of these type of days every May lately, namely, highs barely cracking 50F. Mid 40s with a raw, gusty wind now and mist. What a night for mid May; feels more like Thanksgiving period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 29 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early! Super early here like 4pm. Event total 1.55" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Storm is literally crawling through here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.57" total rainfall for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 14, 2017 Author Share Posted May 14, 2017 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: Super early here like 4pm. Event total 1.55" Okay you don't live anywhere near here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 14, 2017 Author Share Posted May 14, 2017 9 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Storm is literally crawling through here I've been saying that all day. The back edge was near Philly 8 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 45 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It's still raining here. Glad it was supposed to be over early! Dude..storm has been done for hours. stop telling yourself you were right with this rain storm. Page 1 your post made a call out that it was a bustorama. any decent rain cruised past the area as a cold breeze like a fart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Slightly over 1.50" as of midnight. Not a bad storm here, enough to keep things very lush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, Animal said: Dude..storm has been done for hours. stop telling yourself you were right with this rain storm. Page 1 your post made a call out that it was a bustorama. any decent rain cruised past the area as a cold breeze like a fart. Dude the storm is just about done here now. People were saying it was going to end at 4 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.74" at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Just now, dmillz25 said: Dude the storm is just about done here now. People were saying it was going to end at 4 pm Well that was foolish. I was getting clipped hard at 4 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Still raining here and I have 1.69" so far, nothing crazy but definitely a solid rainstorm. I don't understand why everyone is so confrontational here, the storm crawled very slowly west to east so some people in our forum area could have a 6+ hour difference between end times, technically everyone was right and let's leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.68 here in Sheepshead Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Okay you don't live anywhere near here. True but it ALSO was not suppose to end until the early morning hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1 hour ago, RedSky said: True but it ALSO was not suppose to end until the early morning hours here. Yeah, it really put on the brakes around philly. Just a little too late for you. Once the pivot started it was a done deal around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 3 hours ago, Isotherm said: Looks like 2.05" will be the final here. The general model consensus of around 2" worked well. Seems we've been having one of these type of days every May lately, namely, highs barely cracking 50F. Mid 40s with a raw, gusty wind now and mist. What a night for mid May; feels more like Thanksgiving period. Monmouth County ftw with a nor'easter yet again haha. Can't lose no matter what time of year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 ..1.60" as of 630am..boy, this would have been one helluva snowstorm..20 degrees below seasonal norms would have made this a powder fest with blowing and drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds. Lifted Index @700 mb: -1.18 C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Finished with 2.00" exactly. No bust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 48 minutes ago, bluewave said: Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds. Lifted Index @700 mb: -1.18 C Agree. Just enough CAPE, low wet-bulb zero and decent cloud-level shear. Nothing severe but a few folks should get some pea-size hail. Looks like we all convect once we hit 65 degrees or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 27 minutes ago, Drz1111 said: Agree. Just enough CAPE, low wet-bulb zero and decent cloud-level shear. Nothing severe but a few folks should get some pea-size hail. Looks like we all convect once we hit 65 degrees or so. It should be one of those days when we get great views of the developing CB's against a deep blue sky for a dramatic look with the low dews and no haze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, bluewave said: It should be one of those days when we get great views of the developing CB's against a deep blue sky for a dramatic look with the low dews and no haze. Sounds like the perfect opportunity to fly my drone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 On 5/11/2017 at 0:10 PM, forkyfork said: i think this will be pedestrian for us Nailed it once again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Nice low topped convection signal later this afternoon as the UL swings through with the potential for small hail and gusty winds. Lifted Index @700 mb: -1.18 C Mt Holly NWS mentions hail is possible in the morning AFD rt max lies just northwest in southeast Ontario, and it will dig southeastward today. Large-scale lift will commence downstream of the system in the northern Mid-Atlantic and New England. The associated upper low features cold air (e.g., the 00Z NAM forecasts around -25 C at 500 mb at KBGM at 18Z today), enabling steepening midlevel lapse rates and a thermodynamic environment increasingly support of convection this afternoon. Moreover, freezing levels are quite low (7000-8500 feet), which suggest small hail is a threat with any convection that develops. In addition, the combination of increasingly dry air in the midlevels and a well-mixed boundary layer (especially if skies remain partially sunny) would permit downward momentum transfer of stronger winds aloft. Though small hail/gusty winds are certainly possible, uncertainty remains regarding coverage, so hesitated to include mention of either of these in the forecast at this point. Notably, convection would be low-topped, so lightning may be relatively limited despite the presence of boundary-layer based instability. Nevertheless, chances are high enough to include mention in the grids, particularly north of an Allentown to Belmar line. High-resolution convection-allowing model guidance is consistent in developing scattered convection in northeast Pennsylvania early this afternoon, progressing it southeastward through east-central PA and northern/central NJ through early this evening. There are some indications more isolated convection could develop as far south as the Delmarva Peninsula (as suggested by recent RAP simulations, in addition to the WRF-ARW). Brought PoPs farther southward today and increased them to high chance to likely north of I-78/I-195. The other main concern today is winds. As the vort max makes the move into our region this afternoon, an associated surface boundary (more of a surface trough with associated wind shift/dew point drop) will sweep southeastward through the area. Strong mixing, aided by rapid pressure rises upstream, will promote a brief (approximately 3- hour) period of strong wind gusts immediately behind the wind shift (generally during the late afternoon). Hi-res models are not overly impressive with gusts (a peak around 22-27 kts, generally), but operational models are somewhat more gung-ho, particularly the 00Z GFS (via BUFKIT soundings). I did not go as aggressively as the 27- 32 kt gusts progged by the GFS, but gusts of 30 to 40 mph are not out of the question late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.75" for the storm total in Muttontown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Finished with 1.14" here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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