NJwx85 Posted May 12, 2017 Author Share Posted May 12, 2017 The UKMET has shifted towards the idea of developing too late. Still about 50mm in NYC which is nothing to shake a stick at but it really ramps up for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 12, 2017 Author Share Posted May 12, 2017 The Euro is real slow with a few tenths falling after 06z. Looks like 2" is a good expectation from the city East and 1.50" North and West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 12, 2017 Author Share Posted May 12, 2017 Here comes the last minute shift back NW. 15z SREF much wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 12, 2017 Share Posted May 12, 2017 Is there any chance that the rain will hold off until after ~10am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2017 Share Posted May 12, 2017 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: Is there any chance that the rain will hold off until after ~10am? Every model has the rain coming in overnight into the early morning hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 My thoughts are generally 1.5-2.5" near the coast and city, and 0.75"-1.5" well inland. Models earlier this morning looked more impressive with the low development and heavy rain development, but 18z models are generally backing off and developing the low later. It'll be a nasty, windy and wet day regardless. I don't see much back-end rain unless the upper lows develop more than currently. The rain won't be very much behind the low unless winds far aloft can back around via closed 500/700mb lows. If those stay open, there won't be a mechanism to transport moisture around the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 13, 2017 Author Share Posted May 13, 2017 What a soaker on the NAM. Way NW and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: What a soaker on the NAM. Way NW and stronger. Small stream and urban flooding is possible. Ponding of water on roads likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 47 minutes ago, Animal said: Small stream and urban flooding is possible. Ponding of water on roads likely. thanks captain obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Radar indicates that I should see the first drops of rain soon. Going to be interesting to see how deep the puddles get today in the area. Figure could measure a few that are a few inches deep in favored water collection zones. temp 46f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 4 hours ago, Animal said: Radar indicates that I should see the first drops of rain soon. Going to be interesting to see how deep the puddles get today in the area. Figure could measure a few that are a few inches deep in favored water collection zones. temp 46f You measure puddle depth for rainstorms? I've never heard of that. I wouldn't think that would be very accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Nice soaking rain today, even if totals aren't prolific. 47 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Have picked up 0.25" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 13, 2017 Author Share Posted May 13, 2017 Radar looks great. That slug is going to take nearly all day to clear the area as it pivots overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 13, 2017 Author Share Posted May 13, 2017 Latest HRRR keeps it raining through midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Latest HRRR keeps it raining through midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Latest HRRR keeps it raining through midnight. How much in the way of qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 7 hours ago, Animal said: Radar indicates that I should see the first drops of rain soon. Going to be interesting to see how deep the puddles get today in the area. Figure could measure a few that are a few inches deep in favored water collection zones. temp 46f I measured about an inch near the curb 15 mins ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: I measured about an inch near the curb 15 mins ago. Sounds like it was a drift. That seems high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 I've seen curbs that are already inundated. And we've had less than 0.40" so far? Someone could spit in the street here and it'd flood for 40 days and 40 nights. I already have a couple of Mosquito bites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Did you guys know its raining? just wanted to make sure in case the obvious hasn't already been stated, oh wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Sorry, I've been doing hourly puddle obs for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Have picked up 0.25" of rain so far today. Haven't seen a real downpour yet though, just a steady nasty cold rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Sorry, I've been doing hourly puddle obs for this event Did you see its raining! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 1 minute ago, snywx said: Did you see its raining! Yes, I'm over joyed by it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Sorry, I've been doing hourly puddle obs for this event Do we round to the nearest tenth of an inch, or is my traditional method of going down to the thousandth adequate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Lmao this is a good laugh this morning. 0.35" in the bucket so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Do we round to the nearest tenth of an inch, or is my traditional method of going down to the thousandth adequate? Not sure, better check with the Rain King on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Shhhhhhhhhh..be very quiet..its raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 If i clear the board, i can prob inflate my totals a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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