poolz1 Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 33.8 for the low here...patchy frost on the roof. Ready for summer weather and for the rivers to recover from this horrid spring. Already looking at weeks until things are suitable for the kayak. My fishing gear still has winter dust on it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 That is one impressive BLOCK this week. Love that west based BLOCKING. Hope we get a -NAO like that in early January. Just wanted to get on the board early. WinterWxLuver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 Dodged both the freeze and frost this am. Low was 32.8 and wind stayed in the 5 mph range to help keep frost from forming. Currently 33.9 degrees at 7:45 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 its fricken chilly. seat warmers were needed this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 Hit exactly 34.0 degrees this AM! Up to 50 already in Purcellville, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: That is one impressive BLOCK this week. Love that west based BLOCKING. Hope we get a -NAO like that in early January. Just wanted to get on the board early. WinterWxLuver. LOL. patchy frost out here this morning. I'd expect tomorrow morning to be more widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 Sounds like things may be more progressive this week/weekend then earlier thought reading LWX's AFD... doesn't seem like the low will be cut off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1241 PM EDT Mon May 8 2017 MDZ003>005-503-505-VAZ027>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508- WVZ051>053-090045- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0002.170509T0600Z-170509T1300Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northwest Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 1241 PM EDT Mon May 8 2017 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has issued a Frost Advisory, which is in effect from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday. * TEMPERATURES...In the low to mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 58 and full sun. Awesome day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 This weather sucks. Bring me warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 Also, 35 was my low this morning. 61 for a high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 21 minutes ago, mappy said: This weather sucks. Bring me warmth. Looks like the models are split... which sucks. Some keep us in the same pattern we are in now and others bring back the 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 23 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like the models are split... which sucks. Some keep us in the same pattern we are in now and others bring back the 80s Hope the latter are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 8, 2017 Share Posted May 8, 2017 I vote for zippoSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 4 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Model war of sorts between the op Euro and Gfs for late week as far as qpf. Euro has DC getting a solid 2 inches and gfs has zippo . As Yoda was saying Gfs definitely looks more progressive at 500mb compared to Euro. If this was happening 3 months ago there would be a whole lotta euro huggin up in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 38 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 34 and frostySent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Low of 43.8. Beautiful, crisp morning. We'll be dying for these in Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Made it below freezing by a little with a 31.4 low, not a record, that is 30 from 1980. Still nice. High was 61 yesterday. Those that were exalting the 'May in Feb' weather, how you enjoying the reverse? Next year enjoy and be happy with the Feb weather in Feb and I'll cheer on May weather in May. Until then this is AWESOME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 13 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: Made it below freezing by a little with a 31.4 low, not a record, that is 30 from 1980. Still nice. High was 61 yesterday. Those that were exalting the 'May in Feb' weather, how you enjoying the reverse? Next year enjoy and be happy with the Feb weather in Feb and I'll cheer on May weather in May. Until then this is AWESOME! Um, no one was doing that? People tend to want winter in winter and spring in spring. This weather is as stupid as the stupid warmth in February was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 28 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Um, no one was doing that? People tend to want winter in winter and spring in spring. This weather is as stupid as the stupid warmth in February was. Not going to start anything, but I'll just reference page 13 of Feb ob thread and leave it at that, there are many more........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 My lowest obs at my house was 36 with patchy frost. Pretty awesome for May. Hoping to get the garden in this weekend. GrnspgVal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Just looked at the 6z GFS. Certainly some changes regarding the weekend, but without access, I have no idea whether it's showing something like the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Hmmm... haven't seen the Maddox Frontal named in a lil while... from this afternoon's LWX AFD Quote The pattern that evolves for the end of the week (and into the weekend, see Long Term) very much resembles the Maddox Frontal heavy rain setup, where ridging develops aloft across the southeastern US, and a boundary remains quasi-stationary from the Ohio Valley and into the southern Mid-Atlantic states, with weak waves of low pressure moving along it, bounded by high pressure across northern New England. Winds aloft are expected to be roughly parallel to the front, with warm air advection/veering occurring in the vicinity of the frontal boundary. This is then expected to be capped off by a stronger wave/coastal low developing over the weekend. There is still much uncertainty with the position of the boundary and aforementioned surface waves, but the pattern is conducive for heavy rain from the Ohio Valley eastward into the Mid-Atlantic states, and there is broad model/ensemble support for 1 to locally 3" of rainfall near/over the region. Current depiction/climo may favor the Ohio Valley into WV and into central/western VA. Thursday will see the approach of another wave of low pressure along the frontal boundary, with chances for showers and even some thunderstorms increasing by late in the day, especially across western areas. These will increase in coverage and become potentially heavy at times Thursday night as wave of low pressure pushes eastward. Uncertainty remains as to where the axis of heavier rain will develop, and its possible it sets up over southwestern VA and into WV. Highs Thursday likely in the 60s, lows Thursday night in the 40s to near 50F. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A stalled front just south of the area will continue to provide a path for multiple waves of low pressure passing near or over the area late in the week into the weekend. One such wave likely departs the area during the first half of Friday. Another (stronger) wave moves in quickly on its heels Friday night into Saturday. Becoming a little concerned with the overall pattern which resembles that of a Maddox Frontal setup; easterly flow at the surface to westerly at 500 mb indicates warm air advection/isentropic lift. 500 mb flow parallel to the boundary indicates potential training bands of precipitation. PWATS around 1.25 inches during this time and warm cloud layers of 12-14 kft would likely result in very efficient warm rain processes/enhanced rainfall rates. Model ensemble probabilities indicate 30-50 percent odds of 2 inches or more of rainfall during this time. All of this coupled with heavy rain late last week and antecedent periods of showers Thursday into Friday could spell a flooding risk for at least parts of the area into the first half of the weekend. As such, will add a mention of flooding potential to the HWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 lol Mount Holly's take is a tad different- Better chances and probably the wettest period of the long term is Fri night thru Sat night as the low approaches and deepens over the area. Frequent rains which could be 1 to 2 inches in some areas. Pops were raised in these periods with Pops in the likely range for some zones attm. Temperatures will remain below normal. Decreasing chc for showers Sun, but still the possibility for some across the north Sun morning as the low will be slow to move away. The three main models are not in terrific agreement however. The GFS is rather wet for the first half of the day, the CMC is showery, and the Canadian is mostly dry. Overall, a mostly cloudy , cool and breezy conditions expected much of Sunday. Highest chc for showers are probably north. Temperatures a few degrees below normal. Improving conditions Mon, then good weather with milder temperatures expected Tue/Wed. Readings near normal Tue then a few degrees above normal Wed. Probably a mostly dry period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 They meant to say euro not CMC/Canadian twice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Cool and drizzle here all day. Temperature hovering around 50. Oh how I wish I was 100 miles north or south. The rainy and cloudy weather is getting a bit old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Feels like winter out there . 32 when I left this am with lots frost. I guess this means no pool parties at Mappys anytime soon Ha, pool isn't even open yet. Have a busted outside spigot that needs fixing so we can fill the pool. Plumber due out on Thursday, so hopefully this weekend if the weather allows we can get it open. Usually have it open by now to regulate before Memorial Day. Gonna be cutting it close this year it seems. Life keeps getting in the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: 12z Gefs mean qpf through Sunday. ..Some pretty hefty individual members in there as well. 18z goes nuts with 3+ over most of the area. It's a where was this setup 2 months ago type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 10, 2017 Share Posted May 10, 2017 This kind of setup gets me all kinds of excited. Heavy rain is my favorite convective mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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