jrips27 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FFC now says a dusting south of the WWA in N GA. Maybe the 12z/18Z runs had bad data, but wow. I have a feeling they will be playing catch up with this one. Don't they always? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FFC now says a dusting south of the WWA in N GA. Maybe the 12z/18Z runs had bad data, but wow. I have a feeling they will be playing catch up with this one. I would expect them to wait until after the 0z runs. It's Christmas and not many people are going to be checking weather updates tomorrow morning. They may be better served letting this one be a Christmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Tonight...Snow likely after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows around 30. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 60 percent. Christmas Day...Rain and snow likely. Snow accumulation around 1 inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Saturday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Sunday...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow in the morning...then a chance of rain and snow in the afternoon. Windy. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. I am hoping that there will be more than an inch up here, from reading the latest up to .5 qpf for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brent Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Don't they always? LOL Ugh posted in the other thread, I'm 20 miles northwest of LaGrange in Alabama and hoping for a surprise. Encouraged by the trends today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LOL Ugh posted in the other thread, I'm 20 miles northwest of LaGrange in Alabama and hoping for a surprise. Encouraged by the trends today... I'm in West Georgia and hoping for a surprise as well. I would love several inches but a dusting would be great too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I tell ya Brent and GeorgiaWX, I am forecasting flurries here in the Columbus/Auburn area... We may be pleasantly surprised tomorrow.... it's going to be fun to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 FFC is too slow on EVERYTHING!!!! I think the CSG to MCN to AGS line will see 1-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Eric Thomas: We are very confident this will be an episode of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I am loving the trends today. Even if it were to turn out not to be a big, big storm, it has sure been exciting to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brent Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I tell ya Brent and GeorgiaWX, I am forecasting flurries here in the Columbus/Auburn area... We may be pleasantly surprised tomorrow.... it's going to be fun to watch! I want more than flurries. 1/2 inch or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I am loving the trends today. Even if it were to turn out not to be a big, big storm, it has sure been exciting to follow. This has been emotionally exhausting. I swear I get way to emotionally involved with snow sometimes. It's just a labor of love which I cannot explain. At least I get a nice vacation in England starting New Year's Eve to wind down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Mike Maze on WRAL-Raleigh just said there 'might be' accumulating snow in Atlanta tomorrow. Didn't talk about any numbers here in the local area, other than it could be heavier East of I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 so this could end up like the Euro had in the first place? maybe a little less. per the GFS QPF IMBY .75-1.00 WoW!!!!! if that verifies i will be one happy man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Let me say something... Channel 2 has the worst maps! Plus, Cheeze and Delta all saying that ATL eastward over to Athens getting a nice snow... you think those bozos have said anything about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This has been emotionally exhausting. I swear I get way to emotionally involved with snow sometimes. It's just a labor of love which I cannot explain. At least I get a nice vacation in England starting New Year's Eve to wind down. What are Triad tv mets saying tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Mike Maze on WRAL-Raleigh just said there 'might be' accumulating snow in Atlanta tomorrow. Didn't talk about any numbers here in the local area, other than it could be heavier East of I95. Are they even looking at the model runs this afternoon and evening? Raleigh and east could get hit hard according to the latest model runs, and people are really going to be caught offguard. This is between 1 and 1.25 for Raleigh and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Are they even looking at the model runs this afternoon and evening? Raleigh and east could get hit hard according to the latest model runs, and people are really going to be caught offguard. This is between 1 and 1.25 for Raleigh and east. He did mention that if the track is further west the amounts would go up. At this time he can't base his entire forecast off of the gfs. So far the gfs has to be considered the outlier since no other models have that type of track or qpf. I'm not saying the gfs is wrong, I'm just saying they're other models that have far less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Are they even looking at the model runs this afternoon and evening? Raleigh and east could get hit hard according to the latest model runs, and people are really going to be caught offguard. This is between 1 and 1.25 for Raleigh and east. fortunately xmas day night is not a huge travel time for folks, although they maybe staying at their inlaws a little longer than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Are they even looking at the model runs this afternoon and evening? Raleigh and east could get hit hard according to the latest model runs, and people are really going to be caught offguard. This is between 1 and 1.25 for Raleigh and east. With the demands of live ongoing broadcast tv, do they have time to examine all the latest models and data? I would think they are not peering at every bit of new data that comes out during the live tv news block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 What are Triad tv mets saying tonight? Eric Chilton is a little more bullish (1" to 2" in the Triad) than Van Denton (dusting to 1" in the Triad). I think they're both going to be about an inch or two short. Snow-wise of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 With the demands of live ongoing broadcast tv, do they have time to examine all the latest models and data? I would think they are not peering at every bit of new data that comes out during the live tv news block. id imagine the major channels the staff increases in these times, or at last some intern is on a laptop in the back room model tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 With the demands of live ongoing broadcast tv, do they have time to examine all the latest models and data? I would think they are not peering at every bit of new data that comes out during the live tv news block. For those in the RDU area here is an interesting article on the models WRAL uses. http://www.wral.com/weather/story/8821667/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Merry Christmas guys! I can't think of a better Christmas present for a bunch of Weater Weenies like us is for this thing to come back and give us all a "real" white Christmas exceeding the official 1" threshold. I'm holding my breath and might even leave Santa a little of the sacrement just for good measure.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What is the RPM model that Tom Skilling talks about all the time? He seems to really give credence to RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just looking at the latest RUC runs, I'm seeing it continue to amplify the ridge out west, while having the northern stream shortwave dig down a little bit more.... could mean that the 00z runs of the nam and gfs might even be more amplified! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 We're already at our forecast low of 28° at KJNX... and it's no where near 'mostly cloudy'. I'm sure the clouds will thicken and temps will rise after falling a little more, but any little bit of cooling helps for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canes2614 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The Mets are going to be more than an inch or two off, they are being conservative until things are certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why does the radar not look impressive on the southern end of the precip, whereas the northern portion is more expansive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doppler5 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why does the radar not look impressive on the southern end of the precip, whereas the northern portion is more expansive? The northern portion is close to the upper low, where the atmosphere is less stable. The surface low along the southern end is still fairly weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why does the radar not look impressive on the southern end of the precip, whereas the northern portion is more expansive? Southern stream is more convective precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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