Morris Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 16 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I agree. Hopefully the ridge begins to build back in after next week. This is a pretty impressive cool period. I know last May started a bit gray and wet too, but the heat quickly arrived by the second week of the month. 2 May's ago was a torch. Last May was below normal until the final week that had an epic torch, erasing the negative departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, Morris said: 2 May's ago was a torch. Last May was below normal until the final week that had an epic torch, erasing the negative departure. You're right, May 2015 was really a surprise coming out of that brutal winter, especially February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, looks like the winds stay up when the cold peaks early next week. Portions of NE/PA Interior SE NY/NW NJ may sneak in one last freeze of the season. Could be the last 30's many see until next fall. Mid to upper 30s in NYC is impressive for the second week of May. I'm pretty sure we will see frost in the burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm loving this cool pattern coming up, a little taste of fall in spring. We have months of heat coming up so I don't get why people are so angry at a couple of cooler weeks in May. May weather shouldn't be too much to ask for in May. I don't want late March weather with a few July-like days sprinkled in. It's really the excess cloudiness and unsettled weather I'm sick of, personally. We've had enough of it already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 2 hours ago, nzucker said: Mid to upper 30s in NYC is impressive for the second week of May. I'm pretty sure we will see frost in the burbs. Unless I'm mistaken 30s in May hasn't happened at NYC in 40 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 5 hours ago, NJwx85 said: Did the 500mb pattern look like this? yes. heights were below normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Unless I'm mistaken 30s in May hasn't happened at NYC in 40 years the last time NYC had 30's in May was May 1st, 1978...1977 and 1976 had temps in the 30's in May...this ties 1880-82 for consecutive years with 30's in May...The 1970's had four years with 30's in May...The most for any decade... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 4 hours ago, Cfa said: May weather shouldn't be too much to ask for in May. I don't want late March weather with a few July-like days sprinkled in. It's really the excess cloudiness and unsettled weather I'm sick of, personally. We've had enough of it already. Honestly, you should just move out of the NE. I know it's easier said than done or just impossible but judging by your posting history, you seem like like you don't enjoy any temperatures below 60. 30's for May is rare but it looks like it's coming. Spring weather can be very flaky in the NE and especially LI. You don't get any regular warmth, day or night, until like mid June out on the Island due to 80% of it being surrounded by cold water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2017 Author Share Posted May 5, 2017 12 hours ago, nzucker said: Mid to upper 30s in NYC is impressive for the second week of May. I'm pretty sure we will see frost in the burbs. The Euro is often overdone on it's raw 2m lows around NYC. So the MOS only has low 40's in NYC. Closest freeze on the MOS is interior locations like BGM. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 61| 57 64| 51 63| 45 56| 43 57| 45 63| 50 68| 53 69 51 69 BINGHAMTON KBGM GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 58| 52 61| 42 47| 31 44| 31 45| 34 53| 40 62| 45 64 43 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro is often overdone on it's raw 2m lows around NYC. So the MOS only has low 40's in NYC. Closest freeze on the MOS is interior locations like BGM. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 61| 57 64| 51 63| 45 56| 43 57| 45 63| 50 68| 53 69 51 69 BINGHAMTON KBGM GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 58| 52 61| 42 47| 31 44| 31 45| 34 53| 40 62| 45 64 43 65 That's still pretty chilly for this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2017 Author Share Posted May 5, 2017 53 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: That's still pretty chilly for this time of year Yeah, low 40's is the coldest NYC has been in May since 1978. The May 2010's monthly minimum so far is 41 degrees. The lowest departure for May should be early next week for NYC and get within a few degrees of -10. The weeklies finally bring the 80's potential back after May 20th. But it's a cooler pattern until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The Euro is often overdone on it's raw 2m lows around NYC. So the MOS only has low 40's in NYC. Closest freeze on the MOS is interior locations like BGM. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 61| 57 64| 51 63| 45 56| 43 57| 45 63| 50 68| 53 69 51 69 BINGHAMTON KBGM GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/05/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 05| SAT 06| SUN 07| MON 08| TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12 CLIMO X/N 58| 52 61| 42 47| 31 44| 31 45| 34 53| 40 62| 45 64 43 65 I'd be surprised if a lot of the normal cold spots like eastern LI, NW NJ, northern Westchester, etc did not get a freeze. Those places were in the upper 20s to low 30s Wednesday night with a much warmer airmass. 850s are like -5C Monday night; even with some cloud cover, a lot of suburbs should see frosts and freezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, nzucker said: I'd be surprised if a lot of the normal cold spots like eastern LI, NW NJ, northern Westchester, etc did not get a freeze. Those places were in the upper 20s to low 30s Wednesday night with a much warmer airmass. 850s are like -5C Monday night; even with some cloud cover, a lot of suburbs should see frosts and freezes. I know in northeastern Pa, north of the Avoca area we has a freeze the other night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 there was a high overhead wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, low 40's is the coldest NYC has been in May since 1978. The May 2010's monthly minimum so far is 41 degrees. The lowest departure for May should be early next week for NYC and get within a few degrees of -10. The weeklies finally bring the 80's potential back after May 20th. But it's a cooler pattern until then. The GFS finally starts to hint at warmth around the 18th. BN until then like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2017 Author Share Posted May 5, 2017 10 hours ago, nzucker said: I'd be surprised if a lot of the normal cold spots like eastern LI, NW NJ, northern Westchester, etc did not get a freeze. Those places were in the upper 20s to low 30s Wednesday night with a much warmer airmass. 850s are like -5C Monday night; even with some cloud cover, a lot of suburbs should see frosts and freezes. The winds are forecast to stay up early next week so you may have to get further NW to see a freeze. Even with the radiational cooling this week, only isolated bowls like FOK had a freeze. But isolated spots like FOK can do it if the winds fall more than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 5, 2017 Author Share Posted May 5, 2017 32 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: The GFS finally starts to hint at warmth around the 18th. BN until then like you said. Yeah, once we lose the -AO and +PNA around the 20th it's back to above normal temps again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 after mid month there are very few days that had temps in the 30's for lows in NYC or a max below 50...the 1960's have half of these cold days in late May... dates........max...min... 5/24/1963..........39... 5/19/1976..........38... 5/17/1956..........39... 5/27/1961...47...41... 5/25/1967...46...42... 5/19/1950...48................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 15 hours ago, Cfa said: May weather shouldn't be too much to ask for in May. I don't want late March weather with a few July-like days sprinkled in. It's really the excess cloudiness and unsettled weather I'm sick of, personally. We've had enough of it already. Yeah it hasn't been the temps for me either but the general unsettled wetness has been a problem. I like when we get a couple of dry(ish) weeks in the early spring before it's too warm. As it looks now the end of this month and into the beginning of next month may dry out some but that means it will likely get really warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 last May was similar with the first half near to below average and damp to a hot second half with two 90+ days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 Pouring here, 0.56" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 Up to 1.49" of rain for the day here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 we had what I would call a mini deluge before...it's still raining steady and is adding up quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 Total of 1.76" of rain from this round. Waiting to see what develops later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 6 hours ago, uncle W said: last May was similar with the first half near to below average and damp to a hot second half with two 90+ days... Didn't we have a few exceptionally raw days in early June though? For some reason, I remember high temps not getting out of the 40s for a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, Eduardo said: Didn't we have a few exceptionally raw days in early June though? For some reason, I remember high temps not getting out of the 40s for a day. We had one day where rain caused temps to drop into the mid 50s during the middle of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: We had one day where rain caused temps to drop into the mid 50s during the middle of the day Yeah that MCS I remember that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 Remembering now. That was something. I remember that the rain totals weren't all that impressive considering the radar colors and forky said it was due to melting. Someone quickly find the post.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, Morris said: Remembering now. That was something. I remember that the rain totals weren't all that impressive considering the radar colors and forky said it was due to melting. Someone quickly find the post.... I found it super quickly and my memory isn't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 5, 2017 Share Posted May 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Eduardo said: Didn't we have a few exceptionally raw days in early June though? For some reason, I remember high temps not getting out of the 40s for a day. June 2015 was BN as well. After that was when the torch set in for the long haul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.