JerseyWx Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1 hour ago, rgwp96 said: 1.78 total This was a really good event for the metro. There were some solid downpours last night that lasted quite awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 26, 2017 Author Share Posted May 26, 2017 The heavy thunderstorms last night pushed the area into the top 20 wettest springs on record. NYC...#20 EWR..#19 LGA....#18 JFK...#6 BDR...#19 ISP....#20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 The 00z GGEM and 12z NAM are close to washouts for Monday. The Euro is a bit faster, but has significant rains Sunday night into Monday morning. The 06z GFS is focused a tick further South but problematic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: The 00z GGEM and 12z NAM are close to washouts for Monday. The Euro is a bit faster, but has significant rains Sunday night into Monday morning. The 06z GFS is focused a tick further South but problematic. any blocking? with no blocking, the faster solutions might be more in line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 I know a few of the LI folks on here are thinking about the Jones Beach Air Show this weekend. Really hope we don't get these low level clouds/showers during the 1Pm/2PM time frame Saturday. That's the grand finale with the blue angels or thunder birds (I think thunder birds this year?). Same thing happened last year when a wall of fog crashed into the beach literally as the blue angels were about to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Just now, Brian5671 said: any blocking? with no blocking, the faster solutions might be more in line. Some weak blocking. Another trough is building East so it's just a matter of how quickly it progresses. Even the NAM would salvage the afternoon, especially West of the Hudson, but I wouldn't want it to slow down any further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 The GGEM would rain out a lot of parades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1.10" total Several lightning strikes none close last night, first since April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 the rain can kindly F off for monday please. sick of this non sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Sneaky storm threat today. NAM and HRRR have some widely scattered storms from Noon on. You can see some initiation as we speak over NE PA. Actually have some surface based instability in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Mosquitoes this summer are going to be a b**ch. finished with about an inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1.28" was the final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1.67" final here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Mosquitoes this summer are going to be a b**ch. They already are around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 The 12z GFS is well North for Saturday. 0.25"+ for everyone South of 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 The 12z GFS is very slow for Monday. Doesn't look like a great day. Basically wants to stall the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 18 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The 12z GFS is very slow for Monday. Doesn't look like a great day. Basically wants to stall the front. not much rain verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1 hour ago, tdp146 said: I know a few of the LI folks on here are thinking about the Jones Beach Air Show this weekend. Really hope we don't get these low level clouds/showers during the 1Pm/2PM time frame Saturday. That's the grand finale with the blue angels or thunder birds (I think thunder birds this year?). Same thing happened last year when a wall of fog crashed into the beach literally as the blue angels were about to show up. I see no risk at all Saturday. Worst case scenario if that rain shield held together better is a deck at 3000 but that's not low enough for a cancellation. I think it needs to be below 800 or so for them to cancel it. In 2013 or 14 they held it when it was 50s both days and overcast at 1500-2000. Sunday is more at risk I think, models are really gung ho on low cigs Sunday AM. They clear it out by 15Z right now but as we know that doesn't always happen. I'm skeptical of low ceilings tomorrow night to an extent because we have offshore flow at all levels here for the next 24-30 hours. Often times models try to bring low clouds back in too quickly after we have offshore flow for that long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: I see no risk at all Saturday. Worst case scenario if that rain shield held together better is a deck at 3000 but that's not low enough for a cancellation. I think it needs to be below 800 or so for them to cancel it. In 2013 or 14 they held it when it was 50s both days and overcast at 1500-2000. Sunday is more at risk I think, models are really gung ho on low cigs Sunday AM. They clear it out by 15Z right now but as we know that doesn't always happen. I'm skeptical of low ceilings tomorrow night to an extent because we have offshore flow at all levels here for the next 24-30 hours. Often times models try to bring low clouds back in too quickly after we have offshore flow for that long Goose, I appreciate the thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1.20" for the event and 7" now for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 12z Euro much drier for Monday-some light AM showers, generally .25 or less for most locales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12z Euro much drier for Monday-some light AM showers, generally .25 or less for most locales. I wouldn't be spiking any footballs yet. The Euro is not a nice day for Monday. It doesn't have to be pouring rain to cause problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: I wouldn't be spiking any footballs yet. The Euro is not a nice day for Monday. It doesn't have to be pouring rain to cause problems. Not spiking anything, but seeing it trend drier is good. Parades could be an issue but the PM would be dry...kind of like today. I'm hosting 20 adults and 20 kids on Monday-hoping to GOD we're outside LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 21 hours ago, forkyfork said: .79 in springfield so far another .79 last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 18z NAM slowed down again for Monday. Brings through a heavier burst of rain between 12z and 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 4 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Mosquitoes this summer are going to be a b**ch. finished with about an inch here. 4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: They already are around here. Here too. Bug and tick repellant has been critical this year. We've really dialed in the essential oil cocktail spray that we use and it works equally well on mosquitoes as on ticks. Eucalyptus, lavender, tea tree and cedarwood. You can add a mint too. It's great, you watch ticks and other bugs jump off your feet and legs and the skeeters and gnats swarm around your face and head but don't land on you. 6-8 drops of each mixed with water into a ~8 ounce spray bottle, give yourself a good spray down from your head to your toes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 Yikes, 1-2" on the NAM on Monday, pretty much an all day washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The convection last night may be the heaviest we see for a while around here. 12Z Euro has a quieter pattern the next week with no extremes of heat or rainfall. The EPS mean is about four times as wet as the OP. I'm sure the OP will trend wetter. Every time the models have tried to dry us out in the long range it eventually trended wetter. Only exception I can think of was the recent heatwave that last three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 26, 2017 Share Posted May 26, 2017 9 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Here too. Bug and tick repellant has been critical this year. We've really dialed in the essential oil cocktail spray that we use and it works equally well on mosquitoes as on ticks. Eucalyptus, lavender, tea tree and cedarwood. You can add a mint too. It's great, you watch ticks and other bugs jump off your feet and legs and the skeeters and gnats swarm around your face and head but don't land on you. 6-8 drops of each mixed with water into a ~8 ounce spray bottle, give yourself a good spray down from your head to your toes. Nice recipe. I use Repel and it works great too. I don't like using DEET at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.