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May 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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1 hour ago, Rtd208 said:

Current temp is 57 here, temperatures should rise pretty quickly this morning.

Probably the first 90 degree readings of the season for the warmer parts of the region today as 850's go above +16C.

 

render-atls09-98f536083ae965b31b0d04811be6f4c6-CIUiiU.png.59822214beeff443393498809084a23f.png

 

 

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57 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Probably the first 90 degree readings of the season for the warmer parts of the region today as 850's go above +16C.

 

render-atls09-98f536083ae965b31b0d04811be6f4c6-CIUiiU.png.59822214beeff443393498809084a23f.png

 

 

 

52 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Yeah I'll probably hit 90 today. Already 67 here

Temp now up to 64 here, so rising pretty quickly. 

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After a boring few days this week guidance flips the switch with storm chances almost everyday beginning on Friday and a possible major system towards the end of next week. Both the Euro and GGEM close off a big ULL with surface low development near the East coast.

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30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Later next week looks like our next chance to pick up a widespread inch or more of rain. Blocking and cool intensity doesn't look like it will be as strong as we just saw. But convection potential could be wild card depending on the track of the low since its late May.

well obvious as were heading toward summer temps won't be as cool as they were before..

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11 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The departures don't look low in addition to the actual temperatures. Current EPS has single digit - days instead of the double digit - last Saturday.

It still has the stormy appeal, and with more instability to work with.

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52 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Later next week looks like our next chance to pick up a widespread inch or more of rain. Blocking and cool intensity doesn't look like it will be as strong as we just saw. But convection potential could be wild card depending on the track of the low since its late May.

The last few runs the ensembles seem less horrifying for Saturday through Monday Memorial Day weekend than they did a few days ago.  The major system may be Thursday or Friday and while we may be "troffy" thereafter it may at least be offshore flow and dry so no concerns of soup or washouts, we'll see. 

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26 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

well obvious as were heading toward summer temps won't be as cool as they were before..

The actual temperatures may not be as cool, but I think he was talking about departures.  Next week the average high in NYC is around 73°-74°, which means the low 60's will now be double digit negative departures.

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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I just hope we can get some decent rain this summer. We have had 3 consecutive super dry summers on the Island 

Some of that will come down to tropical activity later in the summer.   We've largely struck out the last 4-5 yrs with tropical remnants, storms etc.  Hell we can't even get a stalled front the last few summers with a tropical feed....it's been hit/miss T-storms that don't really deliver all that much rain....

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