JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Beautiful blue skies to the east, dark skies to the west. My Intellicast app is showing hail with this cell, I guess it's not lying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Temp back up to 63 here, looking forward to the warmer weather coming up this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Severe Thunderstorm Warning Issued... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1 hour ago, JerseyWx said: Beautiful blue skies to the east, dark skies to the west. My Intellicast app is showing hail with this cell, I guess it's not lying. The wind was impresssive, had to be gusts over 40mph. Besides that, the rain wasn't very heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Just had some hail here for a few seconds with the cell that passed through Old Bridge. Really big rain drops also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 On 5/13/2017 at 5:21 PM, uncle W said: so far today's max is 51 in NYC...the record low max for this date is 49 set in 1914...On May 26th-27th, 1914 the temperature reached the mid 90's...The summer of 1914 was cool but had a hot ending with mid 90's again on Sept. 22nd... Saturday was really an impressively cold day for May 13th in the modern era. So many of the record low maxes are from the late 1800s and early 1900s. My dad's car thermometer was reading 46F on Pelham Pkwy at 6pm. Many people turned on the heating last night...that's really late to need heating in NYC proper. Areas just outside the City that radiated better during last week's cool snap are really far below normal for May. A lot of the suburbs have been routinely hitting mid to upper 30s while Central Park rotted in the upper 40s. I believe Isotherm is around -5.5F this month. What is your departure on Staten Is, Uncle or Doncat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 15, 2017 Author Share Posted May 15, 2017 Cool first half of May before the big warm up this week. The coolest departures around the region were further away from the Atlantic and LI Sound. Immediate coastal locations were in the -1 to -2 range with -3 to -4 away from the water influence. POU...-4.9...AVP...-3.1...NYC...-3.6...EWR...-3.9...LGA...-1.2...BDR...-1.5..JFK...-2.0...ISP...-1.5...TTN...-2.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Cool first half of May before the big warm up this week. The coolest departures around the region were further away from the Atlantic and LI Sound. Immediate coastal locations were in the -1 to -2 range with -3 to -4 away from the water influence. POU...-4.9...AVP...-3.1...NYC...-3.6...EWR...-3.9...LGA...-1.2...BDR...-1.5..JFK...-2.0...ISP...-1.5...TTN...-2.7 -3.8 departure here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 15, 2017 Author Share Posted May 15, 2017 19 minutes ago, doncat said: -3.8 departure here. Very unusual temperature pattern this spring with the cold March, record April warmth, and cool first half of May. It could also be the first time in over a decade that the highest May temperatures come a week or more before Memorial Day at places like Newark. Warmest May temperature and date at Newark....2016...96...5-28...2015...91...5-26...2014...88...5-27..2013...94...5-31...2012...92...5-29...2011...92...5-30...2010...95...5-26...2009...87...5-27...2008...87...5/27...2007...94...5/31...2006....94...5-29...2005...84...5-27..2004....92...5-23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Cool first half of May before the big warm up this week. The coolest departures around the region were further away from the Atlantic and LI Sound. Immediate coastal locations were in the -1 to -2 range with -3 to -4 away from the water influence. POU...-4.9...AVP...-3.1...NYC...-3.6...EWR...-3.9...LGA...-1.2...BDR...-1.5..JFK...-2.0...ISP...-1.5...TTN...-2.7 Yeah that -5 at POU will take some effort to flip. The heat in my house has kicked on every single day this month and is still on this morning, it's only ~50*. We're going to need some very warm nights to get us even to normal much less above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 17 hours ago, seanick said: Severe Thunderstorm Warning Issued... odd warning from them yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 Wind advisory issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 May temperature is averaging 56.4 as of yesterday...it will rise a little today...Last year May averaged 56.4 as of the 15th...56.6 as of the 18th...May 2016 ended up averaging 62.8 because of a very warm second half...this year could see another warm second half to May but will it be as warm as last years second half?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 38 minutes ago, qg_omega said: odd warning from them yesterday I think that was issued solely because of the potential for high wind. Had a few strong gusts come through here, luckily there wasn't any damage. With some cells, there was also hail, but they didn't mention it in that particular warning. Still windy today. No advisories from Mt. Holly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 15, 2017 Author Share Posted May 15, 2017 16 minutes ago, uncle W said: May temperature is averaging 56.4 as of yesterday...it will rise a little today...Last year May averaged 56.4 as of the 15th...56.6 as of the 18th...May 2016 ended up averaging 62.8 because of a very warm second half...this year could see another warmsecond half to May but will it be as warm as last years second half?... Models coming around to another -NAO drop after the warm up this week. So the period going into the Memorial Day weekend will be cooler than this week. Where was this pattern during the winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: Models coming around to another -NAO drop after the warm up this week. So the period going into the Memorial Day weekend will be cooler than this week. Where was this pattern during the winter? I was touting this drop a few days ago and I was laughed at. The AO is also forecasted to drop. Bring back the blocking and storminess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 41 minutes ago, bluewave said: Models coming around to another -NAO drop after the warm up this week. So the period going into the Memorial Day weekend will be cooler than this week. Where was this pattern during the winter? the blocking regime we just had has flushed the polar region of anomalous cold so at least we won't have the departures we just did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 15, 2017 Author Share Posted May 15, 2017 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: the blocking regime we just had has flushed the polar region of anomalous cold so at least we won't have the departures we just did And the absolute 500 mb anomalies don't look as strong as the recent drop. Closer to +200 meters instead of the +440 we just experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 Strong signal continues for a return to a blocking regime to close out May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 the problem the last couple of years was the ao/nao was negative when it wasn't needed...especially in October...when the ao/nao went negative we did get decent snows...we got as much snow last year with the ao/nao mostly positive than 1968-69 when the ao was negative 99% 0f the time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 15, 2017 Author Share Posted May 15, 2017 14 minutes ago, uncle W said: the problem the last couple of years was the ao/nao was negative when it wasn't needed...especially in October...when the ao/nao went negative we did get decent snows...we got as much snow last year with the ao/nao mostly positive than 1968-69 when the ao was negative 99% 0f the time... It's pretty rare for the lowest AO readings in both October and May to be lower than the whole DJFM like we got this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 Current temp is 68 after a high of 70 for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Current temp is 68 after a high of 70 for the day. Ron is that your station on WU listed as "Shorecrest" ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 15, 2017 Share Posted May 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, doncat said: Ron is that your station on WU listed as "Shorecrest" ? It is not my own station but it is the one I use for obs since it is in my town, looks like there is also cocorahs reporting station here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Current temp is up to 64 here, looks like a really nice day ahead with highs topping out in the upper 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Hrrr sounding says LGA hits 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 The GFS flips the switch in a big way with a cold frontal passage on Monday as a big trough digs East from the Lakes and another big ULL closes off and moves into New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 Current temp is 77 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 16, 2017 Share Posted May 16, 2017 77 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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