Brian5671 Posted May 12, 2017 Share Posted May 12, 2017 4 hours ago, bluewave said: The EPS doesn't have a strong -NAO anytime soon following this drop. It goes positive this week with the warm up and returns closer to neutral beyond that. All our big -NAO drops in recent years have been transient. Also, the -NAO is less correlated to cool/cold and storminess as we head towards summer. We've had some big summer time -NAO's with big time heat ridges here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Have picked up 0.25" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2017 Author Share Posted May 13, 2017 The big weather story this week is how quickly we are going to go from highs in the 50's today to the potential first 90's of the season. I believe this may be the first time since 1996 for such a large temperature rise between May 13-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Up to 0.56" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 EURO likes Wed/Thurs for a +2SD high temp. Not sure what 1SD is around here at this time of the year. Daily high records need to be about +3.5---+4.0SDs. So I will guess a SD is 7 degs., so 73+14 or 87 is doable by the EURO. It quickly returns to normal. Meanwhile the GFS still AN but unsettled for the holiday period, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 On 5/10/2017 at 0:18 PM, ag3 said: This. I hope we either get 4" of rain or nothing. 1"-2" storm is a yawn. We yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Up to 1.07" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 so far today's max is 51 in NYC...the record low max for this date is 49 set in 1914...On May 26th-27th, 1914 the temperature reached the mid 90's...The summer of 1914 was cool but had a hot ending with mid 90's again on Sept. 22nd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 48 now in CI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2017 Share Posted May 13, 2017 Now up to 1.41" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.70" and counting. Currently 46°, which is actually the coolest temp since 4/19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Cfa said: 1.70" and counting. Currently 46°, which is actually the coolest temp since 4/19. Yeah, most of today was in the 40's here, and it's currently 42°. Way BN for mid-May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yeah, most of today was in the 40's here, and it's currently 42°. Way BN for mid-May. Another night in the 30s incoming up here.. Its nonstop now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 This is gonna be quite the swing in temperature the next 5 days. From one extreme to another. Story of the last 20 years or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 2 hours ago, snywx said: Another night in the 30s incoming up here.. Its nonstop now Yeah, we've had way more mornings in the 30's so far this month than we did in the last couple weeks of April lol. Pretty amazing. Of course you're getting even colder than I am. This heat is going to be a shock to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 1.57" total rainfall for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 With today's rain, now have 5.00" for the month and 22.50" for the year which is about 6" above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Next 8 days about +6 now (69 vs. 63). GFS has no 5-day BN period till the one centered on June 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 May should be back to normal by the morning of the 22nd. -3.5x13 = -46. Projected, 6x8 =+48. Next 8 days should cancel out the first 13 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Temps steadily on the rise this morning, currently 59, should be a pretty nice day with temperatures topping out in the mid to upper 60's. Maybe some storms later?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Temps steadily on the rise this morning, currently 59, should be a pretty nice day with temperatures topping out in the mid to upper 60's. Maybe some storms later?? Seems like it. Mount Holly tosses around the idea and mentions that atmospheric conditions are actually pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Beautiful out there.. Sun & 65° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 63 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Looks like some storms may be starting to fire over NE PA moving SE into NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Current temp up to 65 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Looks to miss to my south, but Middlesex should get in on the heavier stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Storm just moved through here, a little thunder & lightning w/gusty winds but otherwise nothing to crazy. Picked up 0.17" of rain, temp down to 57 after a high of 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 70 in Farmingville, LI. Sunny right now but I see it clouding up to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 11 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Storm just moved through here, a little thunder & lightning w/gusty winds but otherwise nothing to crazy. Picked up 0.17" of rain, temp down to 57 after a high of 66 Back up to 66 and sunny behind the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted May 14, 2017 Share Posted May 14, 2017 Thunderstorm now with some small hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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