nzucker Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Last night was noticeably warmer than the two previous. I think it may have had to do with cloud cover as it was mostly overcast here last evening. Our house in the north Bronx still got quite chilly...highs in the mid 50s and lows in the mid 40s cooled it down fast. Heating season is over so just have to pile on the blankets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Last night dropped to 38°. I noticed there were some clouds around most of the night, which may have been part of the problem. The winds were calm, at least here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Nice weather despite it being BN. It actually feels like April when April felt more like June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Nice weather despite it being BN. It actually feels like April when April felt more like June. Yep, kind of like the first week of April should be. Wake up in the 30s (here) and by the afternoon it's near 60°. Tomorrow and Thursday look even nicer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 9, 2017 Author Share Posted May 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nice weather despite it being BN. It actually feels like April when April felt more like June. The last few days had the same average temperature as the last week of February around 51 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 10 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yep, kind of like the first week of April should be. Wake up in the 30s (here) and by the afternoon it's near 60°. Tomorrow and Thursday look even nicer. Sunday felt like March or October with the intermittent rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Sunday felt like March or October with the intermittent rain Yesterday could have easily passed for October too. Cloudy and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Was glad to see the storm come back on the 06z PARA GFS as it had lost it the last two runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 don't you usually open a separate thread for coastal or u.l.l. storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, nycwinter said: don't you usually open a separate thread for coastal or u.l.l. storm? It's way too early for that. Maybe Thursday if it looks like a high impact event is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 GFS is still on steroids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: GFS is still on steroids Slow moving soaker once again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Add the CMC to the list. About a 24 hour event of heavy rain for the area. Wind not nearly as strong as on the GFS since it tracks right over the area. It's still good to see some model agreement..and hopefully the trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 The UKMET is close, still out of good range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 12z GEFS mean is 1.25"+ for everyone. That's a pretty big signal at day 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 ****ty mothers day weekend on tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Just now, dmillz25 said: ****ty mothers day weekend on tap I love it. It rains. The ground gets the water. The precip departures go up. I go away to collect drizzle in London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Verbatim 5-6 inches of rain for the city this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Morris said: Verbatim 5-6 inches of rain for the city this weekend. Lets not go overboard. The GFS is relying on a very narrow but intense area of convection to produce that much rain and the chances of that area being nailed down five days out are slim to none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 now that we have a strong greenland block the euro is good again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Heights are a bit higher along the coast, the Euro should track a bit further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 999mb right on the Delmarva coast 18z Saturday. Moderate to heavy rain up to 287. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 998mb 50 miles East of Ocean City, MD Heavy rain from the coast up passed 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 00z Sunday, 997mb just SE of ACY, heavy rain well into Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 03z Sunday surface low is crawling. Firehose remains in place from Monmouth up to almost Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 06z Sunday surface low finally creaps East. 995mb South of the Benchmark. Still raining heavily from EWR North and East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Surface low stalls South of the Twin Forks and then drifts East on Sunday. Doesn't close off at H5 like the GFS. Not as intense of a SLP. Widespread 2-4" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 Much wetter than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2017 Share Posted May 9, 2017 3.4 inches for the city. It's not only the GFS that is going wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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