Stormlover74 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 12:55 PM, Will - Rutgers said: Radar echoes not particularly crazy but it's pouring sheets of wind-driven heavy rain in New Brunswick. Expand Yeah noticed that as well, went from light to downpourish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 This current batch of rain looks to clear the area between 1 and 2pm. The latest run of the HRRR wants to develop somewhat persistent showers thereafter, especially from the city and North. The convection for tonight should hold off until at least 9-10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 Radar has dried up around here in the last hour. Not much falling, but it's windier all the sudden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 0z Euro is much drier overall for this weekend...when compared to yesterday's 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.24" in the park as of 10:02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.38" today, now 5.40" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25, 2017 Author Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 1:39 PM, Brian5671 said: 0z Euro is much drier overall for this weekend...when compared to yesterday's 12z run. Expand Intervals of clouds and sun with a SE to E flow sand some scattered showers. Or much like every weekend going back to mid- April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:32 PM, bluewave said: Intervals of clouds and sun with a SE to E flow sand some scattered showers. Or much like every weekend going back to mid- April. Expand not the best, but serviceable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 Been raining heavy for a better part of the morning. Most local stations are .45"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 1:23 PM, Brian5671 said: Radar has dried up around here in the last hour. Not much falling, but it's windier all the sudden Expand Pouring hard here despite not much of a radar return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:37 PM, NJwx85 said: Pouring hard here despite not much of a radar return. Expand The rains here remind me of a tropical system-very small droplets. Goes from nothing to heavy back to nothing in seconds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 back edge on a NW TO SE line coming through Philly-we'll see how far north it gets before a pivot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 Some clearing starting to show up in the Mid-Atlantic. Need this warm front to clear the area in order to enhance the activity for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:37 PM, NJwx85 said: Pouring hard here despite not much of a radar return. Expand What do you think about tomorrow afternoon and evening in terms of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:41 PM, JerseyWx said: What do you think about tomorrow afternoon and evening in terms of rain? Expand I think tomorrow afternoon looks good for the most part. I'd go with about a 20% chance of showers, but you won't see any widespread rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 Sitting at 0.49", again these totals of around a half inch were well modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 The back edge should clear the area around noon or slightly after... then should be a mainly dry afternoon before the rain comes back in tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:19 PM, NortheastPAWx said: 0.38" today, now 5.40" for the month. Expand 0.44" today...6.23" for month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:43 PM, NJwx85 said: I think tomorrow afternoon looks good for the most part. I'd go with about a 20% chance of showers, but you won't see any widespread rain. Expand Thanks. I haven't seen any model runs, but Mount Holly agrees and only mentions a small chance for scattered showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25, 2017 Author Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:33 PM, Brian5671 said: not the best, but serviceable. Expand Lighter beach traffic than usual heading to the shores for Memorial Day weekend with the cooler onshore flow near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:53 PM, bluewave said: Lighter beach traffic than usual heading to the shores for Memorial Day weekend with the cooler onshore flow near the coast. Expand The beaches should be stuck in the 60's on Saturday and possibly the 50's on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.47" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 The 12z RGEM hammers interior NJ and the Hudson Valley tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:47 PM, JerseyWx said: Thanks. I haven't seen any model runs, but Mount Holly agrees and only mentions a small chance for scattered showers. Expand There could be some leftover rain in the morning but things should clear out eventually. The afternoon looks good like I said. There could be some activity on Saturday night, Sunday and Monday depending on which guidance you prefer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 3:08 PM, NJwx85 said: There could be some leftover rain in the morning but things should clear out eventually. The afternoon looks good like I said. There could be some activity on Saturday night, Sunday and Monday depending on which guidance you prefer. Expand Yeah, the morning I don't mind, so long as the afternoon and into the evening is fairly nice. The weekend seems to be a toss-up like you said. It is getting windy here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 Not really a beach weekend unless your VA beach or south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 3:05 PM, NJwx85 said: The 12z RGEM hammers interior NJ and the Hudson Valley tonight. Expand Very convective look on the RGEM and NAM-some will get a quick inch and others will be shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 3:45 PM, Brian5671 said: Very convective look on the RGEM and NAM-some will get a quick inch and others will be shut out. Expand 12z GFS is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 0.34" in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25, 2017 Author Share Posted May 25, 2017 On 5/25/2017 at 2:58 PM, NJwx85 said: The beaches should be stuck in the 60's on Saturday and possibly the 50's on Sunday. Expand Very unusual temperature pattern this spring. Cold March...record warm April...transient record warmth around mid-May...cooler pattern heading into Memorial Day weekend like start of month. Not very many examples of a spring like this in the past. These extremes keep rewriting the climo playbook around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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