IrishRob17 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:31 PM, NJwx85 said: Do you feel the need to nitpick everything I post? Expand Just trying to keep it real for those who don't check themselves. In my opinion the HRRR does not show multiple lines of storms moving through the area. We can agree to disagree and let others check for themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:34 PM, IrishRob17 said: Just trying to keep it real for those who don't check themselves. In my opinion the HRRR does not show multiple lines of storms moving through the area. We can agree to disagree and let others check for themselves. Expand Not sure if you're looking at the free version on Tropical Tidbits or a paid version. The free version doesn't have the same resolution to see what I'm looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:36 PM, NJwx85 said: Not sure if you're looking at the free version on Tropical Tidbits or a paid version. The free version doesn't have the same resolution to see what I'm looking at. Expand Fair enough, I don't pay for maps. We'll see what happens then I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:38 PM, IrishRob17 said: Fair enough, I don't pay for maps. We'll see what happens then I suppose. Expand FWIW it's already going to be wrong because it has the first cluster of storms already approaching the city and right now all that's out there is one rogue shower over Rockland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:40 PM, NJwx85 said: FWIW it's already going to be wrong because it has the first cluster of storms already approaching the city and right now all that's out there is one rogue shower over Rockland. Expand Rgem has been consistently showing a line of storms forming near NYC/LI and dropping it south later this evening. Let's see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:41 PM, ag3 said: Rgem has been consistently showing a line of storms forming near NYC/LI and dropping it south later this evening. Let's see. Expand Yeah it makes sense given our proximity to the cold front, moderate shear and strong instability. Limiting factor appears to be moisture as humidity is only about 40%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:43 PM, NJwx85 said: Yeah it makes sense given our proximity to the cold front, moderate shear and strong instability. Limiting factor appears to be moisture as humidity is only about 40%. Expand Following the Rgem for years, when it is consistently showing the same solutions (inside of 24 hours), it usually schools the rest of the suite. It's the only model available that could be right when it's the big outlier. We'll see if that happens again today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:44 PM, ag3 said: Following the Rgem for years, when it is consistently showing the same solutions (inside of 24 hours), it usually schools the rest of the suite. It's the only model available that could be right when it's the big outlier. We'll see if that happens again today. Expand Well it's not really a big outlier, the RAP, GGEM, GFS and GGEM all have activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:45 PM, NJwx85 said: Well it's not really a big outlier, the RAP, GGEM, GFS and GGEM all have activity. Expand GFS had nothing until today. Rgem has been bullish from 36 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 5:45 PM, ag3 said: GFS had nothing until today. Expand Yes that's true, I was referring to the 12z GFS. I wouldn't expect a global model to pick up on it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Literally watched as this cell more or less formed over this way about an hour ago. Didn't drop any rain until East of the area, but looks like it could be cycling up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Official heatwave here. It briefly hit 90°, but dropped off since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 The Euro has some activity today too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 94... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 3 hot days and our monthly negative departure is gone (depending on how low we get before midnight) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 93 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 6:05 PM, Stormlover74 said: 3 hot days and our monthly negative departure is gone (depending on how low we get before midnight) Expand Well if you think about it, 94 degrees is about as abnormal as 48 degrees this time of year, so I guess it all balances itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 We must be mixing out, dew point here is down to 60 and the drying continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Select Record High Temperatures (Through 2 PM): Bridgeport: 87° (old record: 86°, 1998 Islip: 89° (old record: 87°, 1998 Providence: 91° (old record: 89°, 1906) Westhampton: 86° (old record: 77°, 2002) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 19, 2017 Author Share Posted May 19, 2017 I believe this is the earliest official heatwave since 4/16-4/18 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 6:18 PM, bluewave said: I believe this is the earliest official heatwave since 4/16-4/18 2002. Expand there's an analog for a hot summer...2002 sizzled. Especially August. We had 8 or 9 90's degree days in a row at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Big washout on the Euro for the middle of next week after heavy rain on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Thunderhead south of me over the sound...RGEM FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Literally watching this cell miss me not more than two miles to the North. Nice storm structure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 More records getting broken like they're nothing and the extremes continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Well looks like I am going to be close to ground zero for the trailing cell which looks even more impressive. No CTG lightning strikes showing up yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 just missed a storm up here in the Poconos...the last three days were 90 or higher in Central Park...Some other very warm three days before May 20th... 4/16-18/2002...92 96 91 4/17-19/1976...91 96 92 5/02-04/2001...90 90 92 5/05-07/1930...89 91 91 5/07-09/2000...93 91 91 5/07-09/1970...90 93 88 5/09-11/1896...91 92 91 5/19-21/1962...89 99 90 5/17-19/2017...90 92 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 Not bad, that Bergen/Rockland County cell now has 35,000' updrafts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 92. Not fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 On 5/19/2017 at 6:18 PM, bluewave said: I believe this is the earliest official heatwave since 4/16-4/18 2002. Expand I had one IMBY 4/25/09-4/28/09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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