Hoosier Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 20 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: I'm not so sure I would be that aggressive yet just on models record flooding from Morris to Henry and 29.0 feet here at PIA which would be the 3rd highest I believe all locations are well below flood stage now the heavy rain band would have to fall perfectly in the basin ....I'm not sure how much they are expecting to fall(I wish they would release that info when they make the river forecast) but a general 3-5 inch expected in other statements....IMO it would have to be more then 3-5 to get to those stages This is assuming the bullseye won't shift 50-100 miles south translation: unless everything is perfect Huge bust potential I can't disagree and was surprised to see those bullish predictions already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 62/50 here with some lightning and light rain. East wind. Concerned about that big blob of a cell near Terre Haute moving ne with svr warnings along the Wabash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadohunter Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Surface cape is forecasted to be capped over KY for next 6 hours. Probably a bust today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Just now, tornadohunter said: Surface cape is forecasted to be capped over KY for next 6 hours. Probably a bust today. Which forecast model is forecasting that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadohunter Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Jim Martin said: Which forecast model is forecasting that? Meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Watch still being considered for much of Western Kentucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, tornadohunter said: Meso Meso what? mesoscale models? Can you please be more specific than this or can you link me to this particular model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadohunter Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Just now, NWLinnCountyIA said: Meso what? mesoscale models? Can you please be more specific than this or can you link me to this particular model? Mesoanalysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Just now, tornadohunter said: Mesoanalysis Just because its capped now doesnt mean it can't or wont erode over the next few hours, unless I'm missing something here. Which is entirely possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadohunter Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Just because its capped now doesnt mean it can't or wont erode over the next few hours, unless I'm missing something here. Which is entirely possible. It has it capped through +6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 The SBCIN and MLCIN are acutally beginning to decrease some currently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, tornadohunter said: It has it capped through +6 hours You're being very vague. Mesoanalysis would be current conditions, are you looking at 6 hour trends perhaps? Because that's not the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 55 minutes ago, Indystorm said: 62/50 here with some lightning and light rain. East wind. Concerned about that big blob of a cell near Terre Haute moving ne with svr warnings along the Wabash. Wish that warm front was a little farther north. Those cells in SE IN are getting interesting if they don't over run it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Yes, we unlike KY are certainly not capped at the moment here in Indy metro. T storm with heavy rain but no wind at present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Initiation looks to have occurred near Humboldt, TN as cloud tops are now pushing 40kft and has had positive growth over the past 15 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Initiation looks to have occurred near Humboldt, TN as cloud tops are now pushing 40kft and has had positive growth over the past 15 minutes or so. Yes, and also in the Carbondate/ Cape Girardeau area too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 WTTV reports 1200 without power in Vigo and Parke counties IN and very strong winds at Bloomington IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 57/54 at Indpls with t storm....78/68 and fair at PAH. Guess where the WF is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Supercell in Carroll Co. Tennessee will be one to watch. Isolated, has the bird-wing look, has tops to 52KFT, and inflow into the storm is quite strong (~60kts at 6KFT). Also in an impressive parameter space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Those 2 cells merged right around Bloomington. Definitely rotation but nothing can get quite tightened up. Had radar indicated tops shoot up over 50k for a moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 And just as I say that it's trying again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Was just going to post that it looked like broad rotation on velocity for the Bloomington cell using NWS radar and wondered if anyone with more detailed radar could confirm. Helicity is off the charts in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 The rotation is broad, if it were to tighten up though could have a pretty good shot at a tornado, the inflow and outflow are really strong with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Just now, Stebo said: The rotation is broad, if it were to tighten up though could have a pretty good shot at a tornado, the inflow and outflow are really strong with the storm. Looks like it's latched onto the warm front and is taking advantage of the increased SRH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 Already lots of thunder and lightning here. Lots more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 The National Weather Service in Indianapolis has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Decatur County in central Indiana... Bartholomew County in central Indiana... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 747 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Columbus, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Elizabethtown and Clifford around 755 PM EDT. Columbus and Newbern around 800 PM EDT. Hartsville and Grammer around 805 PM EDT. Westport and Burney around 810 PM EDT. Letts around 815 PM EDT. This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 60 and 73. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 28, 2017 Share Posted April 28, 2017 And we have a winner! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 29, 2017 Share Posted April 29, 2017 65-74 mph radar detected winds in Brown Co. prior to the tor warning per WTTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 29, 2017 Share Posted April 29, 2017 +Cincinnati area 66/65 with calm wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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