Quincy Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 10 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Was wondering if something else would pop... as GOES-16 shows some other substantial CU south of where the current storm is that looks like it was about to go. Looking WNW from Edmond now, the cu field looks rather healthy and is gaining more height. Definitely attempting to break the cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 9 minutes ago, Quincy said: Looking WNW from Edmond now, the cu field looks rather healthy and is gaining more height. Definitely attempting to break the cap. CU line on the GOES 16 rapid-scan seems to be growing fast south to I-40. Should see initiation of that activity by 7PM CT. I still find it disconcerting that the HRRR wants to absolutely smack my home with nasty hail (OUN). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 SPC went with a fairly large severe thunderstorm watch over a tornado watch for today. Extends from south of OKC to near the KC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Station near Enid malfunctioned slightly lol... Enid, Enid Woodring Regional Airport (KWDG) Lat: 36.38°NLon: 97.79°WElev: 1168ft. Mostly Cloudy and Windy 72°F 22°C Humidity 69% Wind Speed NW 1985 mph Barometer 29.40 in Dewpoint 61°F (16°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Last update 25 Apr 5:47 pm CDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Looking NW from Edmond at 6:04 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Looks like new CI north of OKC near Guthrie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misstertwister Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Well, these CU went up fast over here by me in Edmond. Anyone look at 18Z run for Sat? About to coach a tee ball game and momma giving me bad looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, Quincy said: Looking NW from Edmond at 6:04 p.m. OMG, is that a metal tornado coming out of the clouds? Run for your lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Currently north of Oklahoma City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 25, 2017 Share Posted April 25, 2017 Cells really going up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 A downward trend in the short term. Areas to watch later would be south of Oklahoma City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Line segment ongoing northeast of OKC. Cold front has passed the city. Large T/Td spreads with the 00z OUN sounding, although there's a nice, vertically veering wind profile. Some post-frontal convection is trying to form. Pretty meh, unless things change in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Can you send me a link to where you got that sounding there Quincy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Can you send me a link to where you got that sounding there Quincy? That's from The University of Wyoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Just now, 1900hurricane said: That's from The University of Wyoming. Thanks sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Near Pawnee, Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoJo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Might not be in the central subforum area, but this one nasty sounding for the Pittsburgh PA Area on Thursday, SPC has no risk area for here, but it will be smart to put an Slight or Enhanced based on the consistency of showing an alright severe potential with the First storm system down in the OK/KS area now Regarding tonight, I won't be shocked if we see some tornadoes this evening in NE OK/SE KS area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Just now, JoJo said: Might not be in the central subforum area, but this one nasty sounding for the Pittsburgh PA Area on Thursday, SPC has no risk area for here, but it will be smart to put an Slight or Enhanced based on the consistency of showing an alright severe potential with the First storm system down in the OK/KS area now Regarding tonight, I won't be shocked if we see some tornadoes this evening in NE OK/SE KS area Convectively contaminated you can tell because of the Omega values being off the charts on the left hand side of the sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoJo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Convectively contaminated you can tell because of the Omega values being off the charts on the left hand side of the sounding. Well yeah i do see that, but i was looking into the forecasts and trends, seems to be isolated lone storms in this environment. I think there might be an weak cap presence through the day. All i can say this is an conditional but potentially significant severe in this kind of environment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Just now, JoJo said: Well yeah i do see that, but i was looking into the forecasts and trends, seems to be isolated lone storms in this environment. I think there might be an weak cap presence through the day. All i can say this is an conditional but potentially significant severe in this kind of environment Yeah I looked, I see what you are saying, but that storm modulates the environment around it enhancing the parameters which is why you are seeing what you see there. I do think there might be a risk area around there albeit a conditional one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoJo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Just now, Stebo said: Yeah I looked, I see what you are saying, but that storm modulates the environment around it enhancing the parameters which is why you are seeing what you see there. I do think there might be a risk area around there albeit a conditional one. Yes i agree 100% but living in this part of the country, some this conditional type of events drop an few tornadoes (strong one or two) The greatest example is 2003 out east of Harrisburg they got an F3 (if occurred today it would have been an EF4) that's the only way to describe a whole house being swept off an foundation and thrown into a lake around 50-75 Yds of east of the concrete slab Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 SBCINH quickly increasing. Storm mode looks to stay linear south of US-412. HRRR has done a great job with convective mode, although storms did initiate slightly ahead of schedule. May have a brief window for a tornado (next couple of hours) in far northeastern OK/adjacent KS where storms are a bit more cellular in nature and shear vectors are not as parallel with the front as they are to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 To be honest I don't want tonight to do very much, anything to lessen the front blasting south is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Quincy said: SBCINH quickly increasing. Storm mode looks to stay linear south of US-412. HRRR has done a great job with convective mode, although storms did initiate slightly ahead of schedule. May have a brief window for a tornado (next couple of hours) in far northeastern OK/adjacent KS where storms are a bit more cellular in nature and shear vectors are not as parallel with the front as they are to the south. From SPC... IN ADDITION TO THESE STORMS, CELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH ALONG/WEST OF THE BOUNDARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA DEPICT MID-LEVEL PRECIPITATION TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST OF OKC, SUGGESTING IMPROVED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING IMPULSE. THIS ASCENT WILL FURTHER REDUCE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH THIS EVENING. IN TURN, SUSTAINED SURFACE-BASED UPDRAFTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 21 minutes ago, Stebo said: To be honest I don't want tonight to do very much, anything to lessen the front blasting south is a good thing. I feel like the front is going to crash regardless... So i'd rather actually get more intense DMC tonight and cold pools that help accelerate the front tonight than tomorrow. Speed everything up a few hours perhaps. Also anyone know what's with that convection down south by Duncan, OK? Inhibition making it look funky? Reminds me more of WAA showers than frontal storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Slightly OT question for this group: I'm going chasing for the first time later this week. The only lens I currently have is the kit lens that came with my digital camera body (that's I mostly use for Astrophotography). It's your typical, not particularly fast wide to mid-zoom lens. I have a budget for one new lens to buy tomorrow before I fly out - about $200-250. Would it be more useful to get a fast, wide angle prime lens or an inexpensive longer zoom (which won't be particularly fast, given the price point I'm playing at). TYIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Semi-discrete development now in southern Oklahoma, near Bray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 South of Bray, Oklahoma. Rotation on radar starting to increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 26, 2017 Share Posted April 26, 2017 Cell east of OKC is starting to look interesting... Headed toward Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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