thomp2mp Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 some warnings earlier in Central Lower MI, but they have since been cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Looks like more storms trying to form again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Severe storm currently near Sherwood, OH, moving east towards Defiance. Penny size hail & 60 MPH wind possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Probably won't amount to much severe here, warm front stalled and didn't lift into the metro area like models projected. Still a good amount of thunderstorms though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Storm near Cassopolis developing quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Storm near Cassopolis developing quickly You got that right. Cell exploded out of nowhere and many of the cells look healthy off to the west of Ohio. Bulk shear numbers over NW Ohio are just awful at the moment, the only driver really is that strong westerly flow aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Enhanced dropped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Enhanced droppedNever should have been issued.SPC has not done well to start off the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Severe storm north of Fort Wayne, moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Never should have been issued. SPC has not done well to start off the year. There was justification when it was issued, things didn't go as modeled though. Hindsight is always 20/20 after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 I'm just glad our posters in the land of the dying MCS's in se MI, ne IN and nw OH are getting some t storm action at least today. There will be plenty of other opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 There was justification when it was issued, things didn't go as modeled though. Hindsight is always 20/20 after the fact.Guidance never looked that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Just now, Chicago Storm said: Guidance never looked that great. Looked good enough for an enhanced for wind. This was never a tornado event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 First one of these of the day MIC023-149-202045- /O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-170420T2045Z/ St. Joseph MI-Branch MI- 417 PM EDT THU APR 20 2017 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL ST. JOSEPH AND WESTERN BRANCH COUNTIES... At 416 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Three Rivers, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Sturgis, Three Rivers, Bronson, Constantine, Centreville, Colon, Nottawa, Fawn River, Burr Oak, Gilead, Sherwood, Fairfax, Wasepi, Findley, Matteson Lake, Fishers Lake and Clear Lake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4202 8513 4176 8515 4176 8522 4185 8574 4198 8573 TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 273DEG 29KT 4192 8565 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Indystorm said: I'm just glad our posters in the land of the dying MCS's in se MI, ne IN and nw OH are getting some t storm action at least today. There will be plenty of other opportunities. Yeah today is a good day up here, glad to add the soil moisture for later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Stebo said: Looked good enough for an enhanced for wind. This was never a tornado event. I thought the differential heating and low-level helicity might have been enough for a warm front spin up in detroit-windsor area. Oh well. Everything just ended up disjointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Just now, OSUmetstud said: I thought the differential heating and low-level helicity might have been enough for a warm front spin up in detroit-windsor area. Oh well. Everything just ended up disjointed. Likewise, stuff just fired too quickly today which the models didn't have a handle on. That threw everything for a loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Just now, Stebo said: Likewise, stuff just fired too quickly today which the models didn't have a handle on. That threw everything for a loop. yep. elevated stuff had a lot of staying pattern and that impulse timing right now was not great. Maybe some decent storms with the lancing-kalamazoo line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Just now, OSUmetstud said: yep. elevated stuff had a lot of staying pattern and that impulse timing right now was not great. Maybe some decent storms with the lancing-kalamazoo line? Might get something decent there but as it moves east this side of the state has been completely worked over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 KTOL had TSRA and 46 kt wind gusts. It was almost a severe storm, in terms of pure wind speed. Otherwise, barely organized as a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadohunter Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 East of van wert at 17:00 est Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Findlay cell looks like a heck of a hailer with a decent updraft. May have to head on down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 If parameters had been more favorable today could really have been interesting. I think I have counted three separate lines of storms in the affected area today even with multicellular clusters. Sometimes this has happened with our biggest outbreaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Tornado warning northeast of Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Tornado warning northeast of Indy. Heading out to see if I can see anything to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Heading out to see if I can see anything to the north. The circulation looked decent... wouldn't be shocked if something was on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The circulation looked decent... wouldn't be shocked if something was on the ground. The cell sw of the city has been increasing in organization as well, also has some big time hail with it. Radar detecting 3-4" hail with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 1 hour ago, Indystorm said: I'm just glad our posters in the land of the dying MCS's in se MI, ne IN and nw OH are getting some t storm action at least today. There will be plenty of other opportunities. Yep. The peak of severe weather season isn't for another 2 months. This is the equivalent of a November snowstorm busting. Yes, it's unfortunate, but anything at all would have pretty much been a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 1 hour ago, Stebo said: Looked good enough for an enhanced for wind. This was never a tornado event. Even guidance progged lapse rates and cloud cover would be an issue. I think the SPC was banking on strong forcing / shear compensating for it. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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