Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 Models trended from heavy rain and storms here to nothing, the Michigan two-step is almost complete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 9 minutes ago, Stebo said: Models trended from heavy rain and storms here to nothing, the Michigan two-step is almost complete. I got missed by the complex overnight. We'll see about tonight... I think I'll get something but there's a chance that the real excitement is north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 Just now, Hoosier said: I got missed by the complex overnight. We'll see about tonight... I think I'll get something but there's a chance that the real excitement is north. Nah this one gets you and then rides the border or just a hair south to Fort Wayne and Columbus. Amazing how this area is just finding any way possible to get missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stebo said: Nah this one gets you and then rides the border or just a hair south to Fort Wayne and Columbus. Amazing how this area is just finding any way possible to get missed. ^ This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stebo said: Nah this one gets you and then rides the border or just a hair south to Fort Wayne and Columbus. Amazing how this area is just finding any way possible to get missed. By real excitement, I'm talking multiple inches of rain or severe weather. If I get less than 1" from garden variety storms, that is not too exciting to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 I purposely didn't wash my car because I was positive it would pour tomorrow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: By real excitement, I'm talking multiple inches of rain or severe weather. If I get less than 1" from garden variety storms, that is not too exciting to me. You'll get severe weather at the very least, it might come through around midnight though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 Lol new day 2 moves SLGT almost to the border, should be right out of the state tomorrow morning, maybe marginal will go with it like yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 Just now, Stebo said: Lol new day 2 moves SLGT almost to the border, should be right out of the state tomorrow morning, maybe marginal will go with it like yesterday. Not surprising given the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 I went back through the logs at work for the month, only 1 shift with thunderstorms for myself and 3 shifts total for the month. June was pretty similar as well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Not surprising given the trends. No its not, I know one thing, it is time to flush this pattern. To hell with NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 15 minutes ago, Stebo said: Lol new day 2 moves SLGT almost to the border, should be right out of the state tomorrow morning, maybe marginal will go with it like yesterday. Yup. Three days of slight risk, all three times shoved to the South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 4 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I like living in SE MI. The economy is doing pretty good in the state but up north where the true beauty is jobs are more scarce. That's how it is in any rural area. I like Chicago but wouldn't want to live there. I visit fairly often though. We have slightly more winter weather in Detroit overall when you break down the stats, we get slightly less cold on a cold winter night and slightly less hot on a hot summer day, but i think the biggest thing you would actually notice is more winter sun in Chicago. You also have to look at the big picture. Is Chicago better for severe overall? Severe is just too hard to keep track of so I don't know. Not sure but definitely this year they are. My brother couldn't believe how dry out lawns were when he came home in early July. Said it was lush and green in chicago. As far as the bolded, oh yes by far (even without pulling up the stats). At least the Chicago *area* is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 3 hours ago, Stebo said: I went back through the logs at work for the month, only 1 shift with thunderstorms for myself and 3 shifts total for the month. June was pretty similar as well too. Sad part is, we're doing much better to-date (based on storm reports) than we were last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2017 Share Posted July 21, 2017 Just now, Powerball said: Sad part is, we're doing much better to-date (based on storm reports) than we were last season. Less on severe warnings and thunderstorms though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Not even a drop of rain here, let alone severe weather. Looks like Lucy's going to try it with the Football again on Sunday. Yeah right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 3 hours ago, Powerball said: Not even a drop of rain here, let alone severe weather. Looks like Lucy's going to try it with the Football again on Sunday. Yeah right. Haha yeah. Not too sure why the SPC made such a large slight risk (think marginal would've been more than sufficient) and again, not sure why Michigan is even included - can't find any guidance that shows severe weather over the area let alone convection in general. Everything I see is South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 4 hours ago, Powerball said: Not even a drop of rain here, let alone severe weather. Looks like Lucy's going to try it with the Football again on Sunday. Yeah right. Another chance during the week perhaps? What will be the fail mode for SE MI this time? Bad timing only to have things refire farther south the next day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Another chance during the week perhaps? What will be the fail mode for SE MI this time? Bad timing only to have things refire farther south the next day? Coming through at 2AM in decaying form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 35 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Another chance during the week perhaps? What will be the fail mode for SE MI this time? Bad timing only to have things refire farther south the next day? That seems to be the money shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 For whatever reason, SPC continues to maintain the slight risk for tomorrow despite little model support for it. Between strong mid-level drying and being in the Left-Rear Quadrant of the upper jet, very little's going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 32 minutes ago, Powerball said: For whatever reason, SPC continues to maintain the slight risk for tomorrow despite little model support for it. Between strong mid-level drying and being in the Left-Rear Quadrant of the upper jet, very little's going to happen. SPC actually agrees with the model support issue, but still feels the environment is ripe for storms to fire. We'll see. "Models seem to be less aggressive with convective coverage in Illinois/Indiana and vicinity, although the background synoptic environment supports clusters/bands of storms in these areas with an appreciable wind/hail threat into the evening." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Not many people are talking about this, but the header on TropicalTidbits said that the GFS was updated in some fashion on July 19th. Browsing through the GFS surface temp anomalies, I am guessing now the GFS is seeing the urban heat islands (around the world? around the USA?) Check out the temp anomalies of some 4-5 deg C in Atlanta above the background temp anomaly. 4-5 deg C is a lot, perhaps too much. I wonder if the new GFS is too warm with surface temperatures. That would be new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 Today is 83 years since the hottest temperature was recorded at Midway Airport in Chicago. Here's a map of area readings from WGN which shows how a lake breeze impacted high temps, particularly on the 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 On 7/22/2017 at 2:05 PM, IWXwx said: SPC actually agrees with the model support issue, but still feels the environment is ripe for storms to fire. We'll see. "Models seem to be less aggressive with convective coverage in Illinois/Indiana and vicinity, although the background synoptic environment supports clusters/bands of storms in these areas with an appreciable wind/hail threat into the evening." As expected (and progged by the models), very little happened locally. Things were a bit more active in other parts of the subforum, but certainly not slight risk-worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 15 minutes ago, Powerball said: As expected (and progged by the models), very little happened locally. Things were a bit more active in other parts of the subforum, but certainly not slight risk-worthy. I'm not so sure. I think a slight was justified as there were close to 30 filtered severe reports in the area as of last update (hard to see them all on the map since they are close together, but I went through the text). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 8 hours ago, Hoosier said: Today is 83 years since the hottest temperature was recorded at Midway Airport in Chicago. Here's a map of area readings from WGN which shows how a lake breeze impacted high temps, particularly on the 23rd. Interesting. It was hotter in Chicago than Detroit, but today's is the anniversary of our hottest temp on record, 105F! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 Another brutal late July day in New England. I think even michsnowfreak would get depressed by this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 25, 2017 Share Posted July 25, 2017 10 hours ago, Hoosier said: Another brutal late July day in New England. I think even michsnowfreak would get depressed by this. That's crazy. Look at Boston and yet they have had a hotter July than us. But this is their 2nd day like this this month. They obviously have been on more of a roller coaster than us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Came across this earlier figured I would share: http://livestormchasers.com/2017/07/24/breaking-news-an-individual-posing-as-a-national-weather-service-employee-is-asking-for-personal-information-nws-says-read-more/ Pretty dumb move to impersonate a NWS employee, but this guy was around Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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