Santa Clause Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Still a lot of wheels in motion, but looking like North Georgia will be spared the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: This seems like a titanic bust for ATL. I don't see what the local mets are around here. It's been pouring since 8:30am this morning nearly nonstop. Aside from some pea sized hail it's been just a boat load of rain. Is something else supposed to form later back into AL? Yeah, they just issued tornado watch for NRN AL, through TN and KY. Look for storms to form in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 1 minute ago, LithiaWx said: This seems like a titanic bust for ATL. I don't see what the local mets are around here. It's been pouring since 8:30am this morning nearly nonstop. Aside from some pea sized hail it's been just a boat load of rain. Is something else supposed to form later back into AL? If I'm not mistaken Atlanta should at the very least get something out of the frontal passage tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: This seems like a titanic bust for ATL. I don't see what the local mets are around here. It's been pouring since 8:30am this morning nearly nonstop. Aside from some pea sized hail it's been just a boat load of rain. Is something else supposed to form later back into AL? Way to early to call it a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Just now, Wmsptwx said: Still a lot of wheels in motion, but looking like North Georgia will be spared the worst. I don't think it's over for NRN GA or AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Just now, Wmsptwx said: Still a lot of wheels in motion, but looking like North Georgia will be spared the worst. Too early to make that call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Still a lot of wheels in motion, but looking like North Georgia will be spared the worst. Way too early for this dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Also from the NWS Birmingham office from just a few minutes ago: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 23 minutes ago, weatherextreme said: Saw this from another site, and had to do a double face palm How awful, does she not remember 4/27/11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 1 minute ago, kayman said: Also from the NWS Birmingham office from just a few minutes ago: Wind direction is... interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 This was yesterday's GSP discussion at 2:47 PM The NAM is developing a moist/stable insitu wedge, which lasts throughout the period. This is not supported by the other op models nor the ens guidance. Thus the NAM will be treated as an outlier and will count on a good amount of destabilization during the afternoon Well I have a temp of 59.2 at the moment and light/moderate rain.NAM wins again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 If you're calling a bust this early, you didn't even take the time to read the watch information and should probably stop posting. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: This was yesterday's GSP discussion at 2:47 PM The NAM is developing a moist/stable insitu wedge, which lasts throughout the period. This is not supported by the other op models nor the ens guidance. Thus the NAM will be treated as an outlier and will count on a good amount of destabilization during the afternoon Well I have a temp of 59.2 at the moment and light/moderate rain.NAM wins again. The low level south winds are going to push this insitu wedge out by this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: If you're calling a bust this early, you didn't even take the time to read the watch information and should probably stop posting. Nah, It's pretty safe to say parts of North GA are going to bust compared to what we were looking at yesterday. Nobody said a word about the high risk down farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Jesus Christ, some of you guys are just as bad as that lady on Spann's page. Didn't know 2:30 local time was the new 10pm after the frontal passage.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Just now, LithiaWx said: Nah, It's pretty safe to say parts of North GA are going to bust compared to what we were looking at yesterday. Nobody said a word about the high risk down farther south. Sure maybe somewhat less of a threat, for now. But it's clearing just to the west of you. Calling it a bust though is somewhat irresponsible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 It is rocking and rolling here in Greenville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Either really ballsy or just stupid to call a bust when you have a line of discrete cells about to form to your west. And the High Risk means nothing. The atmosphere does not read the SPC discussions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Initiation begins in another 30-60 mins. Also, South GA was in the moderate hatched area since yesterday. What kind of revisionist history are you engaging in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Please let the pros do their jobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 73/69 now at Birmingham...That alone should tell you something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryHavoc Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Without fail, someone on AWX calls bust before 3pm on a high risk day... even in the presence of multiple early day tornado emergencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: Nah, It's pretty safe to say parts of North GA are going to bust compared to what we were looking at yesterday. Nobody said a word about the high risk down farther south. Many forecasters have said of the strong probability of a lull period after the morning convection because the LLJ is going to start pushing it east/northeast. The main disturbance, which is a a dryline-like feature, is moving east now in MS. Also I would go out a limb and say that the SPC might have been very premature with the high risk prediction for South and Central GA and SC with only 2 cells that are supercellular in nature. My advice to you is to watch the what happens between East MS and I-65 corridor in AL in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Reminds me of last year with this storm system that Spann was covering some people were crying bust. However, just not to long after all the bust cries, the weather system started to ramp up with several tornadoes reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 1 minute ago, kayman said: Many forecasters have said strong probability of a lull period after the morning convection because the LLJ is going to start pushing it east/northeast. The main disturbance, which is a a dryline-like feature in MS. Also I would go out a limb and say that the SPC might have been very premature with the high risk prediction for South and Central GA and SC with only 2 cells that are supercellular in nature. My advice to you is to watch the what happens between East MS and I-65 corridor in AL in the next few hours. Meh, we will see. I'm not saying if the High risk verifies or not. The threat does seem diminished here from what we were looking at yesterday. There were lots of colorful maps showing huge potential here that seems to have been shifted well south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 That lone cell moving through Carroll County is generating some amazing thunder. Skies cleared a bit but still lots of thin cloud cover. That one will hit here (me) in about 15 minutes and but I suspect if there's any real activity it will be from the one behind, currently south of Anniston, AL, that will have had more time to chew on the heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Cell east of Birmingham is getting going - also the cell in Carrollton, GA is looking like it's gaining strength Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: Meh, we will see. I'm not saying if the High risk verifies or not. The threat does seem diminished here from what we were looking at yesterday. There were lots of colorful maps showing huge potential here that seems to have been shifted well south and east. You can go to COD yourself and look at the NAM and HRRR if you still want to see the big colors on the SIGTOR and SRH maps. 12Z NAM has SIGTORs over 10 along I-20 still, with 7+ values over downtown ATL at like 9PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 To clarify I was speaking of the cold wedge in far north GA, not any other area of concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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