psv88 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 0.37 in the bucket, an inch looks doable. 40 and winds gusting to 35. Miserable day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: I am really happy to have that new station in Wantagh. It's the first professional quality station right along the South Shore of Nassau. It's in a slightly open elevated location down near the bay so it will be a great site for measuring the max winds in this area. True, although Republic Airport is pretty much on the Nassau/Suffolk border and right along the Southern State Parkway, so its a decent station for you guys as well. Northern Suffolk really has a dearth of solid reporting stations. ISP/FRG/FOK are all too far south. There are no ASOS stations north of the LIE east of LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 6, 2017 Author Share Posted April 6, 2017 14 minutes ago, psv88 said: True, although Republic Airport is pretty much on the Nassau/Suffolk border and right along the Southern State Parkway, so its a decent station for you guys as well. Northern Suffolk really has a dearth of solid reporting stations. ISP/FRG/FOK are all too far south. There are no ASOS stations north of the LIE east of LGA. We never had a professional quality station south of Merrick road before to sample the strongest winds that occur along the South Shore. We had to rely on sporadic reports from the coast guard and wunderground stations which were spotty at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: True, although Republic Airport is pretty much on the Nassau/Suffolk border and right along the Southern State Parkway, so its a decent station for you guys as well. Northern Suffolk really has a dearth of solid reporting stations. ISP/FRG/FOK are all too far south. There are no ASOS stations north of the LIE east of LGA. Mesonet in Southold:http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=SOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 The HRRR got a bit wetter, who knows, I agree that it looks like the convection to our SW will go more towards E PA. Maybe parts of NNJ can get in on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The HRRR got a bit wetter, who knows, I agree that it looks like the convection to our SW will go more towards E PA. Maybe parts of NNJ can get in on it. It is picking up on those convective showers currently developing south of LI and moving due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I expected the radar to look more impressive this morning than it does currently. We'll see what may develop during the day. its 38° w/ drizzle here lol.. 0.11" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Mesonet in Southold:http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=SOUT Southhold is 50-60 miles from Western Suffolk, similar distance between Manhattan and Norwalk, CT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 14 minutes ago, psv88 said: It is picking up on those convective showers currently developing south of LI and moving due north. we're getting into some of that action now...squally type showers. Not sure what gets us later-the stuff offshore is going to mostly miss...precip in PA is moving north or even a bit NNW....guess some more action develops as the low gets deeper.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 The 12z RGEM looks good for this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: we're getting into some of that action now...squally type showers. Not sure what gets us later-the stuff offshore is going to mostly miss...precip in PA is moving north or even a bit NNW....guess some more action develops as the low gets deeper.... while impressive on radar, those showers arent dropping that much rain, only 0.06 additional so far after a few squalls moved through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 You can tell yanks is secretly panicking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 minute ago, danstorm said: You can tell yanks is secretly panicking Thanks for the expert analysis red tagger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Storms are really blowing up now over Eastern VA. I think that's where our steady rains will come from this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 46 minutes ago, bluewave said: We never had a professional quality station south of Merrick road before to sample the strongest winds that occur along the South Shore. We had to rely on sporadic reports from the coast guard and wunderground stations which were spotty at best. You know I'm excited about it. It's about a mile from my house. It will represent sea breeze info and Ambrose jet events well. This area gets some intense afternoon wind events during the early warm season. The fact that it's gusting to 40 now is a great sign. I wouldn't have throught we were gusting much above 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Strong winds kicking in here. One of the windiest winters/springs I can remember in awhile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 NYC east crushed on the RGEM later - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: NYC east crushed on the RGEM later - It blows up a squall line once it moves NE of Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 14z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: its 38° w/ drizzle here lol.. 0.11" so far 40 deg. here with drizzle. 0.09 in the bucket so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 until 1953 March and April did not have many years with a combined total of 12" of rainfall for the two months...1953 had near 14" for the two months...1980 had over 18" and 1983 over 24"...2007 had 18"...after today NYC could have 8-9" with over three weeks left in the month...12" is a possibility if this wet pattern keeps up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Things are really heating up in the DC and BWI metros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 we should get some heavier showers later in the day...this weather makes me want to curse...since this is a family show I won't... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: GFS has the instability briefly working down to the surface over Long Island later this afternoon. That's probably when the strongest winds and heaviest rains will occur. 700-500 lapse rate: 7.00 C/km ThetaE index: 10.47 C Layer 850.0- 550.0 mb Conv cond level (CCL): 991.01 mb = 9.34 m = 30.65 ft Mean mixing ratio: 10.18 g/kg Conv temperature: 14.01 C = 57.21 F Cap Strength: 2.10 C Lifted Index: -0.39 C Risk: Thunderstorms probable Lifted Index @300 mb: 3.79 C Lifted Index @700 mb: 1.25 C Showalter Index: -1.50 C Risk: Thunderstorms probable Total Totals Index: 52.97 C Risk: Scattered heavy thunderstorms The radar is exploding now over DC and just East with Severe warnings starting to pop up. I think that's the beginning of our squall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: The radar is exploding now over DC and just East with Severe warnings starting to pop up. I think that's the beginning of our squall line. need to see some action develop further east-that action is moving North and will hit eastern PA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: need to see some action develop further east-that action is moving North and will hit eastern PA.... It's supposed to gradually build East and fill in. You can see that going on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: need to see some action develop further east-that action is moving North and will hit eastern PA.... yeah its rotating to the north and back to the nw line of showers just developed over central nj and is moving north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Anyone know about tomorrow weather? I have a lot of outdoor events between 12-7pm that won't be able to work out in the rain, but some models have no rain and some have it being light rain? Any takers and should I cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Steady light rain in central Orange County with nothing showing on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Anyone know about tomorrow weather? I have a lot of outdoor events between 12-7pm that won't be able to work out in the rain, but some models have no rain and some have it being light rain? Any takers and should I cancel Light rain is a good bet, even the GFS has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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