bjc0303 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Chinook said: I'm not even sure if there was 900 m2/s2 of effective SRH on 4/27/11. proximity soundings suggested ESRH approaching 1000. Of course on 4/27 these parameters were on a larger scale... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Rotation sw of Vicksburg in new tor warned cell across the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Looking like the tornado risk is going to continue a while longer down south in Louisiana and southeast Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Jim Martin said: Looking like the tornado risk is going to continue a while longer down south in Louisiana and southeast Texas. Good news is they've toned down the wording a bit. A few worrisome cells remain out in front of the line though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Tornado Warning now for the Vicksburg, Mississippi area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Moving into a populated area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 A lot of messy convection blowing up on the south side of that one may prevent it from reaching its potential. Hopefully... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 2, 2017 Author Share Posted April 2, 2017 I don't like the situation surrounding that cell headed for Vicksburg. That mesocyclone is embedded in very high reflectivity and KDP. If there is something there, nobody is probably seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Does make me wonder if gamblers on riverboats on the Mississippi receive a warning or if management provides any shelter in a situation like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 I sure hope there are not many drivers currently there on Interstate 20 there near Vicksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Vicksburg circulation is becoming increasingly diffuse. City itself may luck out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Seeing SpotterNetwork report of possible tornado damage SW of Vicksburg. Report was at 6:15 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Seeing SpotterNetwork report of possible tornado damage SW of Vicksburg. Report was at 6:15 PM CDT. JAN is questioning the validity of the report. Said it's in an area off paved road surfaces and within the river side of a levee (likely not accessible I presume) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Just now, Memphis Weather said: JAN is questioning the validity of the report. Said it's in an area off paved road surfaces and within the river side of a levee (likely not accessible I presume) Ah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 16 minutes ago, Buckeye05 said: Vicksburg circulation is becoming increasingly diffuse. City itself may luck out. A well timed cycle perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 minute ago, mob1 said: A well timed cycle perhaps? Looks like it tried to ramp back up for a frame, but I don't think it actually will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Warren County in west central Mississippi... Northwestern Hinds County in central Mississippi... * Until 745 PM CDT * At 648 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Vicksburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 With this amount of Effective Storm Relative Helicity, the tornado risk looks like it is going to continue for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 Still impressive storm development on visible satellite tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 15 minutes ago, Buckeye05 said: Looks like it tried to ramp back up for a frame, but I don't think it actually will. I have no idea if there's anything on the ground, but it looks pretty decent now as it's in some impressive parameters. It's a shame storm mode is so messy, this could've been an even more impressive event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 Just got on and saw it was a High Risk...why? I read the outlook and still don't get it. SRH is extremely high and what else? There isn't even a single sig report in the prelim. list. I didn't see the radar in the middle of the afternoon but was there any discrete activity where the high risk was outlined? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 Rotation is tightening once again east of Vicksburg. 100% buried in rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: Just got on and saw it was a High Risk...why? I read the outlook and still don't get it. SRH is extremely high and what else? There isn't even a single sig report in the prelim. list. I didn't see the radar in the middle of the afternoon but was there any discrete activity where the high risk was outlined? yes 3 discrete cells with a couple tornado emergencies and debris balls note to all: LCH and SHV often will have delayed LSR;s sometimes they don't pop up for a day or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Torchageddon said: Just got on and saw it was a High Risk...why? I read the outlook and still don't get it. SRH is extremely high and what else? There isn't even a single sig report in the prelim. list. I didn't see the radar in the middle of the afternoon but was there any discrete activity where the high risk was outlined? Give it time. I'll use the example Patrick Marsh did on twitter with 4/26/2016. There were 3 tornado reports day of, ended up with over 40 tornadoes. Also, there are areas that are sparsely populated where the strongest radar signatures were. The reports will come in and I have no doubt that the outlook verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weunice Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 7 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: Just got on and saw it was a High Risk...why? I read the outlook and still don't get it. SRH is extremely high and what else? There isn't even a single sig report in the prelim. list. I didn't see the radar in the middle of the afternoon but was there any discrete activity where the high risk was outlined? The image below shows the tornado emergencies issued (3) -- white icon with the black circle around it. It shows the spotter network reports (the white triangle outlines) and the radar confirmed tornadoes (the slighly transparent red / black icons) ... black was warning indicated LARGE tornadoes. There was definitely some real activity in the high risk area. The BRIGHT red triangle is an LSR. There is a lot we know and none of it is logged as local storm reports yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: Just got on and saw it was a High Risk...why? I read the outlook and still don't get it. SRH is extremely high and what else? There isn't even a single sig report in the prelim. list. I didn't see the radar in the middle of the afternoon but was there any discrete activity where the high risk was outlined? There were most certainly significant tornadoes today. If you weren't following the situation and aren't bothering to read the last few pages, no reason to comment like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 It was warranted, but thinking worst has already taken place. Still significant spinup threat until late evening remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 Thanks for the info guys, I thought there must have been a delay with the reports on the SPC site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, JasonOH said: Give it time. I'll use the example Patrick Marsh did on twitter with 4/26/2016. There were 3 tornado reports day of, ended up with over 40 tornadoes. Also, there are areas that are sparsely populated where the strongest radar signatures were. The reports will come in and I have no doubt that the outlook verified. I'd add that not every high risk area has to turn into a massive event with several dozen tornadoes, particularly in this case with the *relatively* small high risk area as was mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: Thanks for the info guys, I thought there must have been a delay with the reports on the SPC site. Not so much a delay, but I can speak from experience... when you're busy throwing out tons of tornado warnings and follow up statements, writing down reports... getting an actual LSR on the computer out in the middle of the outbreak is the least of your concern. The local offices likely have a ton of LSRs they haven't submitted and will not submit until everything dies down. Its simply not as important as actually warning people about the ongoing threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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