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April 2017 Observations and Discussions


NJwx85

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
0434 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...

 A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 82 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ TODAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 82 SET IN 1955
TEMPERATURE (F)
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         82R   259 PM  82    1955  60    + 22       
  MINIMUM         48    505 AM  28    1997  42     + 6       
  AVERAGE         65                        51     +14       
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
0434 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...

 A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 82 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ TODAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 82 SET IN 1955

TEMPERATURE (F)
 TODAY
  MAXIMUM         82R   259 PM  82    1955  60    + 22       
  MINIMUM         48    505 AM  28    1997  42     + 6       
  AVERAGE         65                        51     +14       

Probably 84/85 tomorrow

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Very mild night 63 now. Theres a small super warm bubble. A few miles north, urban southern westchester which typically isnt much cooler than here is in the low 50s, upper 40s. Then a few miles south into queens its in the low 50s to upper 40s along the water.

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This morning's low temperature of 61° at Central Park is in line to become the highest minimum temperature on record for April 11. The record is 58°, which was set in 1922 and tied in 1955. The high temperature on 4/11/1922 was 80° and the maximum reading on 4/11/1955 was a record 84°.

As per the MOS, it is extremely likely that the temperature will fall below the 58° minimum from 1922 and 1955 and very unlikely that it will fall below this morning's 61° reading.

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On 4/10/2017 at 7:16 AM, bluewave said:

EPS is hinting that the next 10 days may be the warmest part of the month for us. It's trying to drop the AO later in the month which could mean more backdoor cold front activity and cooler temperatures here.

 

 

eps_ao_00.png.5cef6e28de0f43816058368b74c4c697.png

 

 

pac energy crashes ashore and gives us a ridge anyway

ecmwf-ens_z500a_nhem_11.png

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35 minutes ago, WEATHERBUFF said:

Long range is a crapshoot and no model has done too well beyond a few days.

The EPS advertised this current warm up period back in late March following all the rain it had been showing last week. 

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1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

pac energy crashes ashore and gives us a ridge anyway

ecmwf-ens_z500a_nhem_11.png

Isnt that common as we get later into spring with a drop in the AO? I know the NAO correlation to crappy weather is basically nil by the end of spring but does it work the same for the ao?

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1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Way too early for this type of warmth. I'd be perfectly happy with low to mid 70s, don't need 80s until summer.

And this will probably end up being another top ten warm month. At this point our climo is basically a joke since the baseline has clearly jumped considerably. 

The next chance at 80's after today isn't until Sunday, and that's a one day warm up. The GFS is downright chilly towards the last third of April with highs failing to eclipse 50 degrees for multiple days with three big storm chances over a seven day period, similar to the pattern in which we just left.

 

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