nzucker Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Any sleet mixing in with rain? Rain seemed "loud.." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 8 hours ago, Paragon said: Chris, I guess it matters a lot more out where you are, because that far east a SW wind has a much larger trajectory over open water. Out here it got to 84.6 by 1:30 (and I live about a mile south of Sunrise Highway.) Also, it's more urbanized here. It made it to 84.3 here and I'm about a mile from the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 The original idea of no 80's Friday due to the warm front getting stuck south of us looks like it will win out. Our next chance of 80's will have to wait until the last few days of April or May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: The original idea of no 80's Friday due to the warm front getting stuck south of us looks like it will win out. Our next chance of 80's will have to wait until the last few days of April or May. Yeah, forecast dropped to only 62° for me. Maybe my earlier idea of not seeing any 70's for awhile wasn't so far-fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yeah, forecast dropped to only 62° for me. Maybe my earlier idea of not seeing any 70's for awhile wasn't so far-fetched. Plenty of high pressure to our Northeast with the recent -AO to keep the marine influence going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Reports this AM of lots of icebergs in the shipping lanes this year, the most in a while. That's almost always a result of entrenched HP over Labrador and the Maritimes, and it correlates with a cool spring and summer historically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 9 hours ago, nzucker said: Any sleet mixing in with rain? Rain seemed "loud.." I don't think so but I had loud rain too. I had to go outside to do some stuff and the drops were huge for a while, maybe that was it. 'You' can keep the cool spring because that usually also means wet and unpleasant but I'll take the cool summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 On 4/18/2017 at 4:49 PM, forkyfork said: he's farther SW than almost all of us going to be very far SW to see 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Next 8 days to be about +4degs. (59 vs. 55). FWIW: The CFS sub-weeklies show only BN 5day/10day chunks starting May 5th. The monthlies still have not caved for May however. But,, unless you think we are headed for the warmest year in history, some of the next 8 months are going to surprise as BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Yeah, today was a similar case. Temps were forecast to hit 70 but it looks like they're barely hitting 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Didn't see talk anywhere on this yet- First Atlantic tropical storm of the year has formed. Way out there. Arlene http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/202031.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 35 minutes ago, tdp146 said: Didn't see talk anywhere on this yet- First Atlantic tropical storm of the year has formed. Way out there. Arlene http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/202031.shtml Go to the WeatherBell public video area and see what JB has been saying about this out of season, warm at the base only core low. https://www.weatherbell.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Month could end with three 80 degree days, and maybe put us over the top for #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Absolute downpour right now! Some thunder and lightning as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 ^^ Yep, here too. Looks like there may be even more significant rain around daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 .50-.65" across my general area. Not sure what time, probably near 1am, had a very heavy downpour here. Only lasted 5 minutes but it was cranking, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Classic April backdoor-warm front stall pattern just south of us. One day a small positive departure and the next small negative. The marine influence will prevent several stations from getting an April freeze. ISP is tied for the highest minimum in April at 34 degrees. Only the 5th time at ISP that there was no April freeze since 1964. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Next 8 days keep monthly record alive at +5 (60 vs. 55) 20x4.9 = 98 8x5.0 = 40 or =+138 surplus with two days left to reach +150, ie. +6 on those last two days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Classic April backdoor-warm front stall pattern just south of us. One day a small positive departure and the next small negative. The marine influence will prevent several stations from getting an April freeze. ISP is tied for the highest minimum in April at 34 degrees. Only the 5th time at ISP that there was no April freeze since 1964. Pretty interesting that our whole area hasn't see a Frost or Freeze advisory. Many of us had near freezing temps this month (I got down to 32 on April 8th), but that was before the growing season started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 30 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Pretty interesting that our whole area hasn't see a Frost or Freeze advisory. Many of us had near freezing temps this month (I got down to 32 on April 8th), but that was before the growing season started. This year is the second earliest last freeze of the season in my area of SW Suffolk during the 2000's. My last freeze was back on 3-24. Spring bloom is ahead of schedule here with many spring song birds arriving. Also had the first frog calls of the season. SW Suffolk last spring freezes since 2000: Earliest. .....3-22-06 Average.... 4-4 Latest ......4-18-14 2017.........3-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: This year is the second earliest last freeze of the season in my area of SW Suffolk during the 2000's. My last freeze was back on 3-24. Spring bloom is ahead of schedule here with many spring song birds arriving. Also had the first frog calls of the season. SW Suffolk last spring freezes since 2000: Earliest. .....3-22-06 Average.... 4-4 Latest ......4-18-14 2017.........3-24 I've been hearing the Peepers occasionally for a couple weeks now. That's when you know Spring has arrived. My last freeze was on the night of April 8th (Saturday), which is exceptionally early for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 23 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I've been hearing the Peepers occasionally for a couple weeks now. That's when you know Spring has arrived. My last freeze was on the night of April 8th (Saturday), which is exceptionally early for my area. For only a couple weeks? I was hearing them before the blizzard, maybe because I live along the water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Chilly day with 50F and cloudy. Clearly on the north side of the backdoor front. So much for 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 16 minutes ago, nzucker said: Chilly day with 50F and cloudy. Clearly on the north side of the backdoor front. So much for 80s. What forecast called for 80's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days keep monthly record alive at +5 (60 vs. 55) 20x4.9 = 98 8x5.0 = 40 or =+138 surplus with two days left to reach +150, ie. +6 on those last two days of the month. the signal for late month heat is very strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 21, 2017 Author Share Posted April 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: What forecast called for 80's? Forky was mocking posters for saying the pattern looked average to slightly below average temperature wise and then said it would continue trending warmer and warmer for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Three month NWS outlook was posted yesterday. I'm never sure how accurate or useful these are but AN is probably as good a guess as any. NWS has these three month outlooks out for the next year on the climate prediction page. There inst a single panel that predicts anywhere in the US to be BN for any three month period for the entire year. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions//multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/color/churchill.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Forky was mocking posters for saying the pattern looked average to slightly below average temperature wise and then said it would continue trending warmer and warmer for today. i said next weekend would and it has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the signal for late month heat is very strong i pasted the eps and the board is showing an old gfes image instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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