donsutherland1 Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 41 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Isnt that common as we get later into spring with a drop in the AO? I know the NAO correlation to crappy weather is basically nil by the end of spring but does it work the same for the ao? The reversal between the customary AO-Temperature relationship takes place in late summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Up to 86, with a 44 dp, nice stuff. The local FDs busy with brush fires this afternoon 88/40. Another 41 degree range after a low of 47 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The EPS advertised this current warm up period back in late March following all the rain it had been showing last week. I guess sooner or later they will get it, but their track record has'nt been that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 88/40. Another 41 degree range after a low of 47 this morning. Its 88 by you?? That's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Way too early for this type of warmth. I'd be perfectly happy with low to mid 70s, don't need 80s until summer. And this will probably end up being another top ten warm month. At this point our climo is basically a joke since the baseline has clearly jumped considerably. If we add about 2 or 3 degrees to each month's climo we will get the true average for today's climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 Made it up to 70 at 11:30am at my home station in Sheepshead Bay before the sea breeze kicked in. 65 now RH 58%. 88 with RH of 18 at Montgomery Field Orange County as of the 3pm NWS roundup. Quite a contrast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 2 hours ago, BxEngine said: Isnt that common as we get later into spring with a drop in the AO? I know the NAO correlation to crappy weather is basically nil by the end of spring but does it work the same for the ao? in this case it's the pacific. the west coast/alaska is the one place that can screw with our correlations. feb 15 had a very positive ao but favorable pac ridging overrode it and we froze. feb 2012 had a a -ao but pna troughing overrode it and we torched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 38 minutes ago, psv88 said: Its 88 by you?? That's insane. Yeah, I think I'll lose my snow cover today Its toasty but with the DP in the low 40's this is the type of heat I'll take if I have to have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 It's 59 here. I truly hate the Atlantic Ocean during spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 4th earliest in the year that Albany reached 87 degrees or higher. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 504 PM EDT TUE APR 11 2017 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ALBANY NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 87 DEGREES WAS SET AT ALBANY NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 82 SET IN 2011 AND 1945. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 84.5° here. Easily a May or June day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: 84.5° here. Easily a May or June day. The record high of 85 at FWN is nearly +30 on the day for the high. 85 would still be a +4 on July 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The reversal between the customary AO-Temperature relationship takes place in late summer. I was always curious as to what causes this phenomenon. Wavelength variation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2017 Share Posted April 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, Eduardo said: I was always curious as to what causes this phenomenon. Wavelength variation? It might be that the ocean is at its warmest then so the onshore flow cooling from the -AO/-NAO backdoor cold fronts is reduced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 On 4/9/2017 at 11:37 PM, nzucker said: May 10, 2010 is the latest 32F I've witnessed in Dobbs Ferry (ironically in one of the warmest springs on record), but I'm sure there were later freezes in past years. Memorial Day is probably the cut-off for the latest historical freeze in southern Westchester...we got close in 2013 with IP falling that weekend while NH/ME had snow. Yeah, I checked the records for the COOP station nearest to me, and it appears 33F was reached as late as May 25th. Last freezing temperature was the 20th. Yesterday 81 and today 83 here. It seems like we've been doing the "second week of April 80F dance" almost every year lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 74 was all she wrote out here. Beautiful day. South of the LIE stayed in the 60s. I drove north on the Sagtikos and watched the temp keep rising. Pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Current temp is still 71 here. Looks like my high was 85 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 High of 81. Down to 63 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 15 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: This morning's low temperature of 61° at Central Park is in line to become the highest minimum temperature on record for April 11. The record is 58°, which was set in 1922 and tied in 1955. The high temperature on 4/11/1922 was 80° and the maximum reading on 4/11/1955 was a record 84°. As per the MOS, it is extremely likely that the temperature will fall below the 58° minimum from 1922 and 1955 and very unlikely that it will fall below this morning's 61° reading. Looks like 61 will hold for the new record. We are just setting record high mins left and right these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Spring 80 degree warmth at places like Newark is 2 weeks earlier than it was in the 1980's. The average first 80 of the year at Newark was 4-21 during the 1980's. For the most recent 10 year interval it's closer to 4-7. So at the current pace of warming, the first 80 of the season on average may arrive at Newark in late March in another 30 years. After the earliest 80 last year on March 9th, it's possible within 30 years Newark sees an 80 degree reading near the end of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 68 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 Models were generally too dry for today. Looks like a heavier shower or possibly a thunderstorm just popped over Morris and Somerset Counties on a good projection to hit the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, psv88 said: 68 already Today is already the warmest so far this week for South Shore areas with the more offshore flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 And sure enough just picked up two lighting strikes over Great Swamp wildlife refuge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Some strips of heavy rain in Northern NJ. Quick down pour (about a minute) and then it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Some strips of heavy rain in Northern NJ. Quick down pour (about a minute) and then it's done. That's a nice thunderstorm developing almost on top of you. It's expanding in coverage as it slowly moves East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: That's a nice thunderstorm developing almost on top of you. It's expanding in coverage as it slowly moves East. Yep, it's expanding and strengthening ever so slightly to the east of me. Looks like there's another band coming this way, not as strong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Some strips of heavy rain in Northern NJ. Quick down pour (about a minute) and then it's done. Just had a loud thunder now, came out of nowhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Just had a loud thunder now, came out of nowhere Perhaps you missed my earlier posts when I said that lightning strikes were showing up in your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 27 minutes ago, bluewave said: Today is already the warmest so far this week for South Shore areas with the more offshore flow. Nice. 71 here now, short of yesterday's 74. I dont know how you live down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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