RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Well, we need alot of work here, it is still a long shot even with a close call on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I think the best zone to be in right now is probably the monadnocks to S VT....at least in terms of being pretty "safe" for a warning snowfall...further north is def safe from mixing, but could be a bit light on QPF. N ORH county to Hippyvalley's region is probably a pretty good spot too. Gets a bit dicey down toward the pike and southern MA border and perhaps adjacent N RI/N CT, but the stakes are quite high there because I think that region has a pretty high ceiling being firehosed by the CCB after the WCB precip...so if they can stay mostly snow, there's big upside. Yup I'd agree entirely with that. I'd say best spot is like a box that goes from GFL-LCI down to RT 2 and back for near 100% chance of warning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man am I feeling good. This is going to be my long awaited blue bomb Blue balls is all you are going to get. You are working yourself up, getting teased only to be let down. Don't get sucked in too hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, Cold Miser said: Blue balls is all you are going to get. You are working yourself up, getting teased only to be let down. Don't get sucked in too hard. He'll get 4 and wonder why his elevation didnt give him another 6 like ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 All jokes aside, DIT can do really well here. This is the type of stuff he can post pics of his road covered with 6" on the deck while Ryan throws his bluetooth keyboard at his monitors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: All jokes aside, DIT can do really well here. This is the type of stuff he can post pics of his road covered with 6" on the deck while Ryan throws his bluetooth keyboard at his monitors. lol. True. Although at this far out I would say at least the upper half of CT is not out of the picture yet for plowable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 29, 2017 Author Share Posted March 29, 2017 47 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Tip, Add April 8 1982. Extremely impressive blizzard, mid winter type storm all the way to the coast. I believe Boston broke all kinds of records, low temp record, lowest high temp record. Got down to 16F. May 1977 storm was amazing. Trees in full leave. Did lots of damage metro Boston I think that is the storm when Will got abandoned outside in a sled when he was a little weenie... he has never recovered from that trauma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha I think the models are in pretty good agreement overall with this. Of course the biggest bust potential is on the mix line in SNE. Up north here its like is it 3-4" or is it 6-8". Well GFS gives me maybe 2 inches while the GEM is showing 14 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Tip, Add April 8 1982. Extremely impressive blizzard, mid winter type storm all the way to the coast. I believe Boston broke all kinds of records, low temp record, lowest high temp record. Got down to 16F. May 1977 storm was amazing. Trees in full leave. Did lots of damage metro Boston The April storm buried places all the way down to the Mason Dixon line....big cold outbreak right before it hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 31 minutes ago, qg_omega said: ill take that please That looks like a raw, open wound that's not responding to the medicine of spring. I'm about to turn or for my mama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 27 minutes ago, klw said: Well GFS gives me maybe 2 inches while the GEM is showing 14 for me. Yeah your region has some uncertainty on qpf, and the pike region to N CT/RI has the temp uncertainty. I do think overall though, the guidance is in pretty good agreement...it's just that small shifts in these "uncertain" zones will have large sensible wx impacts. Like if you're in Stratton, VT or Jaffrey, NH, most of these solutions are pretty similarly hammering you with 8-12"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Pro thoughts on euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pro thoughts on euro? Colder through 60 hours. It looks more robust with precip too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 47 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yup I'd agree entirely with that. I'd say best spot is like a box that goes from GFL-LCI down to RT 2 and back for near 100% chance of warning snows. wouldn't call any area 100% yet, main concern is 700 to 900mb temps in my mind, not so much QPF as it looks sufficient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 12z Euro going to be pretty robust this run, Better look at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Gonna be a nice storm regardless for nct on north. better than the raw cold rain bs we been under even if I am under thy cold rain for this haha. Good luck to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 That's a really nice look aloft. It's a pretty huge crushing north of the pike. I personally wish it would cool just a smidge more (though it was a little colder than 00z)...but hard to hate that look otherwise. Big dynamic processes...both WCB and CCB go right over SNE and part of CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Oye, That's a lot of snow into CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 GFS is on Revis island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS is on Revis island. Your reverse psychology Kevin-style has worked pretty brilliantly in this event for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 GFS late again to the party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 A good 1-2"+ qpf on the euro, For the ones that stay all snow, Its going to be a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: You're reverse psychology Kevin-style has worked pretty brilliantly in this event for you. Heh...I don't want the snow, but I do expect some. My hunch is still that this trends more favorably for you and Hubby versus me, but it's honestly not reverse psychology. I don't feel like I've made a lot of posts poopooing the event for C NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Central CT still looking like a no go for this or up in the air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: A good 1-2"+ qpf on the euro, For what areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, db306 said: Central CT still looking like a no go for this or up in the air? It starts as some snow, but the bulk is north of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 minute ago, db306 said: Central CT still looking like a no go for this or up in the air? Move north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Heh...I don't want the snow, but I do expect some. My hunch is still that this trends more favorably for you and Hubby versus me, but it's honestly not reverse psychology. I don't feel like I've made a lot of posts poopooing the event for C NH. We'll have to create a new category just for you...proclaiming you don't want snow and are dying for the chickens to have open pathways...and then get dumped on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 minute ago, klw said: For what areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Move north. Too cold and snowy up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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