wxsniss Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Ahhhh busy Friday at work FTL for following disco / guidance... Lots to catch up on. I posted yesterday early thoughts of Boston 3-6" and mostly from CCB, have no idea how that's trended and won't opine until I review stuff. Replies to my prior posts early this morning: Ray: excellent FINAL map. For Boston (sorry for mby focus... it's the climo I have most experience with), 4-8" is very reasonable. Definite +bust potential if CCB trends more robust. It all comes down to the 6am-1p-ish period and how quickly we can wash out the junk warmth that comes in tonight, and if the mature system lingers a bit more Saturday. Same for northeast MA where 14" might bust low along MA/NH border into northeast MA if CCB really goes to town. Iceberg: I know you're "just" a hobbyist as am I, but you have sure stepped up your game this season with great posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Fox25 just showed a map, max of 6-10" north of rt 2 pretty much all of VT and NH. methinks they are going to bust low, especially in the southern Greens mtns and Monadnocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Severe statements showing up now near Norfolk, good sign for dynamics later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: I know, but I'm a hop, skip, and a jump from him. It's been snowing here for 5 hours. I know, it's the wonder of nature baby. It is pretty amazing how the dry air is holding tough on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 hrrr keeps cooling for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: hrrr keeps cooling for CT. Snow line is pushing south with each run....might get to see my last flakes for the year. I have basketball at 7 am, so might be perfect timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: lol that would be dumfounding to my good neighbor sin Tolland county, slams me as part of the CCB. Don't know if anyone is paying attention but both NAMS print out over an inch of freezing rain for ORH County Gets me too. Not sure what you mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 RAP really warmed up..Brings sleet to SNH border and still sleeting at 7:00AM tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: I know, but I'm a hop, skip, and a jump from him. It's been snowing here for 5 hours. Crippling virga. Snowing pretty good now, but not hard enough to stick to pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 17 minutes ago, White Rain said: The NWS map has us over to weenie ridge in 6-8" and places like pepperell as 12-18". Do you think it will play out like that? I'd be shocked if the gradient was that tight between Princeton and Pepperall. So much is going to depend on what happens after about 06-09z overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 About an inch so far in Reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 I think icing is going to a pretty big issue for the hills from about ORH to NE CT tonight. It's down 32.3 here with a little ice on the branches starting to coat up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: RAP really warmed up..Brings sleet to SNH border and still sleeting at 7:00AM tomorrow Wouldn't really surprised me. CC melting layer is creeping in that direction, and aircraft soundings were only about -1C above MHT an hour ago. Hard to tell what saturation was since they don't measure it, but it should have been pretty close if not fully saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think icing is going to a pretty big issue for the hills from about ORH to NE CT tonight. It's down 32.3 here with a little ice on the branches starting to form Sure could be. 31/29 in Norfolk now with straight ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Looks like the IP has made it to EEN...pushing RUT-AFN-FIT now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 RGEM looks pretty similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Sure could be. 31/29 in Norfolk now with straight ZR. NAM is pretty crazy with ZR for ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like the IP has made it to EEN...pushing RUT-AFN-FIT now. Think it's time to pull the plug on my sleet-free dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: NAM is pretty crazy with ZR for ORH ASOS says straight FZRA there now. 0.04" on the FZRA sensor so far (I think the general rule of thumb is take about a third of that value for the radial accretion). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Think it's time to pull the plug on my sleet-free dreams. I just updated the forecast to throw some in for you. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 I amended things a bit post euro...10-16" here. 8-12" Boston 12-20 higher els Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: I just updated the forecast to throw some in for you. Sorry. The writing is on the wall lol. Stil think we rip 5-10'' tomorrow in the CCB though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: ASOS says straight FZRA there now. 0.04" on the FZRA sensor so far (I think the general rule of thumb is take about a third of that value for the radial accretion). Why is that the case for radial accretion? That's what we measure, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: The writing is on the wall lol. Stil think we rip 5-10'' tomorrow in the CCB though. Front end has looked like sh** to me for about a day now. The key is gonna be after about 2 or 3am tonight. Hpefully things collapse SE nicely between that time and 6-7am...if that happens, then I think a lot of people will pile up the snow pretty quickly. I just want to avoid a scenario where it takes forever to wash out the elevated warm layer until like 9 or 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: ASOS says straight FZRA there now. 0.04" on the FZRA sensor so far (I think the general rule of thumb is take about a third of that value for the radial accretion). You're referring to the METAR code for accretion...i.e. I1003, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, DomNH said: The writing is on the wall lol. Stil think we rip 5-10'' tomorrow in the CCB though. Yeah it changed my snow amounts like 0.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Front end has looked like sh** to me for about a day now. The key is gonna be after about 2 or 3am tonight. Hpefully things collapse SE nicely between that time and 6-7am...if that happens, then I think a lot of people will pile up the snow pretty quickly. I just want to avoid a scenario where it takes forever to wash out the elevated warm layer until like 9 or 10am. Yeah you'd hope it'd be a fast transition back to snow with the way the mid-levels look, but going to have to wait and see. If we ping for only a few hours and don't waste a ton of QPF then game on for bigger numbers. Just don't want to waste any of the CCB on pl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Why is that the case for radial accretion? That's what we measure, right? The sensor and study was based off flat surface accretion, which obviously doesn't have the same runoff issues. So they correlated it to radial accretion because that's what we measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Yeah you'd hope it'd be a fast transition back to snow with the way the mid-levels look, but going to have to wait and see. If we ping for only a few hours and don't waste a ton of QPF then game on for bigger numbers. Just don't want to waste any of the CCB on pl Sleet in the middle of a storm for a couple hours is actually pretty cool plus it will probably save you power issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Sleet in the middle of a storm for a couple hours is actually pretty cool plus it will probably save you power issues. Buried lines ftw...I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.