Whineminster Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: nam is very good, colder. looks to get the ccb going for king weenieville bos too. domNH said it's a toastur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Do those RPM snow maps factor in temps from non-standard levels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam and rpm are pretty nice tomorrow morning in ern areas. 3km looks pretty solid there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: nam is very good, colder. looks to get the ccb going for king weenieville bos too. Who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 All rain here in Springfield AWT, hoping I won't need to break out the snow thrower for this one. Looking to get some lime down on the lawn, still waiting for the plow piles to finishing melting out. Tomorrow is April 1, I'm hoping to turn the garden over as soon as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who? Ya know, boston. The center of the weenie universe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 EURO was warmer earlier, than colder for the CCB version.....seems to be a theme amongst guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 NAM was def better than previous runs...max warm layer in a place like BED is now only 1C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 3km got colder as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Yeah it was better overall but still much warmer than a lot of other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not panicking....but I think you always have to maintain an open mind because I think that you would agree this science is indeed humbling. You are great about always looking to learn, and that is a trait that you need to have in this hobby. I didn't refer to you Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I didn't refer to you Ray I know....I was just commenting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 I'd hit the 3km NAM. Any weenie snow maps for giggles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Yeah it was better overall but still much warmer than a lot of other guidance. true but that means its coming down so if we can get the rgem to follow....you guys will be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 37 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Life, really...you aren't learning, you're declining. Some unknown person wiser than I once said, "A day I haven't learned something is a day I've wasted." The "at least/most likely/potentially" numbers GYX for my area are zero/4/13. Quite the spread for 12 hours before first flakes. Maybe that's typical for very early/late season snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Here is the evolution of the warmest layer in the 850-700mb section, which contains the problematic warm wedge, from 7pm tonight to 7am Saturday per the 00z EURO. The sleet line is roughly the distinction between light and darker shading....kisses Essex CO, then retreats with the development of CCB....trended towards slightly more aggressive penetration early, but retreated faster once the CCB gets going: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 9 minutes ago, DomNH said: Yeah it was better overall but still much warmer than a lot of other guidance. You think I can squeeze out 12" near Wilton/Greenville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, masonwoods said: You think I can squeeze out 12" near Wilton/Greenville? I would hedge more toward the upper end of a 5-10'' range there but wouldn't be surprised if that area went a little higher. Wouldn't expect it but also wouldn't be a total shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Looking at the SREF soundings - virtually every member has a pretty significant ZR event for the Litchfield Hills tonight. As long as 2m temps are cold enough this is something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 RGEM is coming in colder too through 12 hours. Hopefully that means we can salvage a little more of the WAA portion in the pike region...though I'm still leaning toward a lot of pellets. It actually has some pretty heavy snowfall developing between 1pm and 3pm and ripping for several hours in the afternoon. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is coming in colder too through 12 hours. Hopefully that means we can salvage a little more of the WAA portion in the pike region...though I'm still leaning toward a lot of pellets. It actually has some pretty heavy snowfall developing between 1pm and 3pm and ripping for several hours in the afternoon. I guess we'll see. I think daytime accumulation today is mainly relegated to elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is coming in colder too through 12 hours. Hopefully that means we can salvage a little more of the WAA portion in the pike region...though I'm still leaning toward a lot of pellets. It actually has some pretty heavy snowfall developing between 1pm and 3pm and ripping for several hours in the afternoon. I guess we'll see. Heh. This post pretty much sums up our confidence level. Can't even trust the rgem out 6 hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think daytime accumulation today is mainly relegated to elevations. Agree. I've been steady snow for over an hour now and only a small coating on the edge of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Agree. I've been steady snow for over an hour now and only a small coating on the edge of the woods. What's your temp? Td? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, jbenedet said: What's your temp? Td? No wx station. Wunderground station across the street has 35.1/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Agree. I've been steady snow for over an hour now and only a small coating on the edge of the woods. Same here but just saw a car come down my street, which gains about 500' in two miles, and he had well,over 1" on his roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think daytime accumulation today is mainly relegated to elevations. As long as rates remain garbage, then yeah...RGEM does show some legit heavy snow though for a few hours after 18z so that would accumulate I think in low elevations, but I'm skeptical of the rates it shows that early. I feel like most of the heavier stuff will wait until tonight. It's why I think the front end of this storm could be a pretty big underperformer compared to expectations. I'd probably consider it a win there if you can muster up 3 inches before a pelt-fest a little later. HRRR does show some legit pounding S+ this evening even down to the southern MA border, so that would obviously be good, but I'm not sure if it is too cold. RAP is cold enough for snow too through mid-evening, but a little more precarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Same here but just saw a car come down my street, which gains about 500' in two miles, and he had well,over 1" on his roof. A car roof is going to accumulate better than the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Anyone have the 12z RGEM clown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: A car roof is going to accumulate better than the ground. And cars should never be driven with snow on the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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