SR Airglow Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 I'm thinking 3-6" is a safe middle ground forecast for BOS right now, but I'd be more worried about being low rather than high. Generally I'd say BOX has the right idea with their map and their watches right now - someone in NEMA into NH is going to get smoked though. Going 3-6" for CT hills, 1-3" Hartford north, slush south of there for my forecast tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, SR Airglow said: I'm thinking 3-6" is a safe middle ground forecast for BOS right now, but I'd be more worried about being low rather than high. Generally I'd say BOX has the right idea with their map and their watches right now - someone in NEMA into NH is going to get smoked though. Going 3-6" for CT hills, 1-3" Hartford north, slush south of there for my forecast tonight. 3-6" for Boston is the safe call, but I prefer the right call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just thinking the same, exact thing. That was definitely the Titanic. This wasn't some refugee raft made of bamboo. He sank that mother effer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: That was definitely the Titanic. This wasn't some refugee raft made of bamboo. He sank that mother effer. When did he finally admit it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 I'm not sure saying CT is out of the game is the correct way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I'm not sure saying CT is out of the game is the correct way to go. I think I had you with some...either 1-3 or 3-6"..forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 3-6" for Boston is the safe call, but I prefer the right call. I could also easily see it being 1-3" of slop with a ton of rain in the middle if the rates are lousy or the column is a hair warmer than predicted(or even if we miss a band and end up in lighter precip for a while - 0.03" per hour isn't going to get it done here). I definitely think you've got a shot at verifying a 6-12" there, but I'd feel a lot more comfortable with those numbers a bit further inland or with one more cold tick. So I'm hedging my bets for now. I really hope you're right though. I'm recerting WFA this weekend so I'm stuck in Boston unless they cancel due to weather and then I can head north and actually put this snow to good use Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, SR Airglow said: I could also easily see it being 1-3" of slop with a ton of rain in the middle if the rates are lousy or the column is a hair warmer than predicted(or even if we miss a band and end up in lighter precip for a while - 0.03" per hour isn't going to get it done here). I definitely think you've got a shot at verifying a 6-12" there, but I'd feel a lot more comfortable with those numbers a bit further inland or with one more cold tick. So I'm hedging my bets for now. I just hedge towards experience when models struggle. We'll see...either call makes sense. I think you have a better shot of verifying at Logan, than downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When did he finally admit it? Last minute maybe? I'll never forget Harvey though. JC Monahan talked about how there could be a few inches of snow in the interior on her noon broadcast. The euro came in 15 minutes later and Harvey tweets "growing confidence in a major snowstorm for the Boston area." As if to say, move over...Daddy is in the house. From what I hear, Harvey is staying for awhile. Very happy to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Last minute maybe? I'll never forget Harvey though. JC Monahan talked about how there could be a few inches of snow in the interior on her noon broadcast. The euro came in 15 minutes later and Harvey tweets "growing confidence in a major snowstorm for the Boston area." As if to say, move over...Daddy is in the house. From what I hear, Harvey is staying for awhile. Very happy to hear. Thank god...its like a Brady/ BB dynamic,.....you know the end is coming, but you just dissociate as best you can- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think I had you with some...either 1-3 or 3-6"..forget. There just seems to be this idea from a few mets here that CT sees nothing . I don't see how we don't end up with minimum few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thank god...its like a Brady/ BB dynamic,.....you know the end is coming, but you just dissociate as best you can- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: There just seems to be this idea from a few mets here that CT sees nothing . I don't see how we don't end up with minimum few inches 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: There just seems to be this idea from a few mets here that CT sees nothing . I don't see how we don't end up with minimum few inches You have to understand how close it is Though. I don't think you'll see nothing, but temps aloft definitely het concerning. It's a real tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: He is THE only OCM that I will watch....and its playing with fire because I fear slipping, and falling into a Wankum telecast..gotta fear sleet to get the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He is THE only OCM that I will watch....and its playing with fire because I fear slipping, and falling into a Wankum telecast..gotta fear sleet to get the goods. If he ends up on, I just click my heels together and repeat to myself... "Harv made the maps", "Harv made the maps"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like DT is a good met, but just lacks any semblance of a grasp of NE climo, therefore he sucks here. I think Pete B is an awful met. PB is so efffin' stubborn. I think he knows his science but just doesn't apply himself. The 70s and 80s were the glory days of Boston mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You have to understand how close it is Though. I don't think you'll see nothing, but temps aloft definitely het concerning. It's a real tough call. Which is why Ct to the Pike is hands down the hardest call. Literally could be 6-12+ or all sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He is THE only OCM that I will watch....and its playing with fire because I fear slipping, and falling into a Wankum telecast..gotta fear sleet to get the goods. Yep, some non-elevated non-weenie area that dances with the devil but doesn't flip is going to see 12''+. I'd be lying if I said I didn't hope it was ASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There just seems to be this idea from a few mets here that CT sees nothing . I don't see how we don't end up with minimum few inches Here it is..from last night: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just thinking the same, exact thing. I actually almost mentioned that storm to him on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FB from DT, and some people at work lol Cant wait to own b*tches. Dt said a couple of weeks ago that no one but NNE Mts would see snow the rest of the Spring. These southern Mets need to stick to their climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dt said a couple of weeks ago that no one but NNE Mts would see snow the rest of the Spring. These southern Mets need to stick to their climo I went for a big March, but I honestly thought it was over a few days ago...wasn't even watching until I saw Kev's FB post on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If he ends up on, I just click my heels together and repeat to myself... "Harv made the maps", "Harv made the maps"... He's the best OCM here. He gets the regional climo stuff. He actually questioned the big Feb 2010 bust. That was the mid Atlantic blizzard that ordered schools off here for 2" of snow on the grass. He was saying how can you get good snow was no height falls? I think we actually had height rises in that. Long story short, height falls have to do with a few things. Dynamics like strong WAA and PVA are two of them. That was when Ekster pointed out the veering and then backing of winds aloft. That is a no no. Backing means subsidence and cold air advection. You want a veering wind profile on soundings. Anyways he sort of saw this through old school meteorology and was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Nice torch evening at 50 herebwith already solid overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just now, CTValleySnowMan said: Nice torch evening at 50 herebwith already solid overcast. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Ray is in rare form tonight. That's good mojo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Nice torch evening at 50 herebwith already solid overcast. Everyone in SNE is warm tonight From BOS to ORH to BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Just looking again at the rgem and Nam and it looks like the timing sped up again. Precip is knocking on boston's door around 8 a.m tomorrow. Looks like a case of isentropic lift. I think Boston sees moderate precip before noon tomorrow and a start time around 8 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreBomb Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Looks like the extended HRRR is coming in colder again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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