Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Meanwhile some of you crush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 It also spikes temps after the mid-level lows are all redeveloping to our south and strengthening. Garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 38 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Tough call. The thing Gore has going for it is that place does really well with SE low level flow in both precip production and that upslope should also help keep temps cooler in the mid levels. SE flow from GFL to Gore is a pretty steady 3,000ft rise and I remember growing up skiing there they always did well in those systems where upper level winds are SW but it's SE lower down. Theres a reason the models crank the QPF there. However I also have this feeling we all see more sleet than we think...HippyValley mentioned it and I always feel that way too that in these cases it always seems like the sleet comes faster and further than expected. It will likely wash out but we may see the first half of this system be like a raging sleetstorm for many with pockets of snow...that would be my concern. I wish I could see the Euro 800mb temps. NWS Albany downgrades Warren county to WAWA only calling for 6 inches at Gore..... Doesn't make much sense to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meanwhile some of you crush Meh that shyte was 99.9% prob of 12+ for NYC 36 hours prior to the last storm. The king has officially fallen off his rocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: It also spikes temps after the mid-level lows are all redeveloping to our south and strengthening. Garbage. Hate to say it but based on soundings NAM crushes me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, danstorm said: Meh that shyte was 99.9% prob of 12+ for NYC 36 hours prior to the last storm. The king has officially fallen off his rocker. i used precip type maps for the last storm and said 6-10 for NYC with sleet all from the Euro, you have to look at precip type maps too. in reality it didn't fall off its rocker those who fell for snow maps did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hate to say it but based on soundings NAM crushes me When? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hate to say it but based on soundings NAM crushes me The trend is our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 NAM is still a bit late in redeveloping H7 so it has that initial warm tongue. But man, LOL at what it does on Saturday morning...that's a pretty ridiculous 6 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 NAM clown map fail.. geez those are bad. Just when you think they can't get any clownier, they go ahead and take it to another level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: When? thumper the dumper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM is still a bit late in redeveloping H7 so it has that initial warm tongue. But man, LOL at what it does on Saturday morning...that's a pretty ridiculous 6 hour period. What time are talking about this thing winding down (both out west and east)? I'm seeing lots of differences of opinions on this. I'm thinking I may need to drive all the way to the Pike to get into Boston. More plows, likely less snow. Too bad it's an extra 40 miles each way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: thumper the dumper Yeah, that's the period I'm looking at too, for my 0.1". Plus, I might actually be able to measure it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, that's the period I'm looking at too, for my 0.1". Plus, I might actually be able to measure it. pretty much a 4 hour period of heavy thumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Nam goes crazy for SNE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: thumper the dumper Shear looks good, nice hodo, could use a little more CAPE and we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: pretty much a 4 hour period of heavy thumping If it's right. 3km is much less impressive this far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 I think Readsboro VT - Florida MA is probably the bullseye right now. Might get 12-18" up there on the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 NAM definitely went colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: If it's right. 3km is much less impressive this far south Nah I am not counting on the NAM but these crazy options are all over the place. Maintain my thoughts from last night, we slop, Congrats Dendrite NMA VT NH MAINE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Talk about uncertainty with a forecast, for this area there is a 10" difference on the "most likely" map and the "potential for" maps that BOX issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, Drz1111 said: Shear looks good, nice hodo, could use a little more CAPE and we're in business. Instability for sure, look at that sounding, love that sig as doubtful as it is, when the thunder rolls and the lightning strikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Talk about uncertainty with a forecast, for this area there is a 10" difference on the "most likely" map and the "potential for" maps that BOX issued. I thought were were told to disregard the potential for and at least this much maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Just looking at the change on the tropical tidbits snowfall map for CT, which is a lot of sleet I would assume. 12z did not have much accumulation, 18z has a ton, reminds me of the storm back in February I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Talk about uncertainty with a forecast, for this area there is a 10" difference on the "most likely" map and the "potential for" maps that BOX issued. Sping!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 Snow maps are going to be way off on this storm. That NAM map is not really what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Morch Madness said: Snow maps are going to be way off on this storm. That NAM map is not really what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Morch Madness said: Snow maps are going to be way off on this storm. That NAM map is not really what it shows. Some of these warm layers are pretty marginal so the entire forecast has a lot of uncertainty in it anyway without the confusion of clown maps counting sleet. I think by far the hardest forecast is probably that pike region in MA up to near Rt 2....north of there probably gets croaked either way, taint or no taint....but that band just to the south could see a huge storm...like double digits...or it could just be a nuisance event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 I'll quickly post this as its from my paysite and take it down in 5 minutes. NAM info is freely available but this is the comparison of accumulated snow of 12Z and 18Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: I'll quickly post this as its from my paysite and take it down in 5 minutes. NAM info is freely available but this is the comparison of accumulated snow of 12Z and 18Z NAM Nobody cares if you post the NAM. It's the ECMWF products they freak about, because it isn't publicly accessible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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