Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:36 PM, Ginx snewx said: I could see you getting 3 of slop but Congrats MPM HUNCHIE PETE DENDRITE PF JEFFAFAF and all the rest of the guys and gals North of the Pike. however I am not convinced that this doesn't end up a low ratio storm between route poop and I 90 at low elevations. WAWA and Weenie hill will probably do well. I wouldn't lock anything up in Rays hood either. Like I said before I could see this ending up warmer. Expand Fair enough.. but I still don't think we are done trending south . Probably why Dryslot stopped posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough.. but I still don't think we are done trending south . Probably why Dryslot stopped posting Expand no he didn't? Here is the rub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough.. but I still don't think we are done trending south . Probably why Dryslot stopped posting Expand lol wut? Dryslot is lining up a grand slam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:41 PM, Ginx snewx said: no he didn't? Here is the rub Expand Most of the qpf misses up there unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Most of the qpf misses up there unfortunately Expand Do you even look? he has 1.5 with deeper cold than any of us, lol wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Most of the qpf misses up there unfortunately Expand On the GFS... that the ship you want to sail with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:42 PM, powderfreak said: lol wut? Dryslot is lining up a grand slam. Expand I'd trade with him right now a million times over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:45 PM, Ginx snewx said: I'd trade with him right now a million times over Expand I would too...I think SE ME is getting crushed. Did DIT get an early sample of those special brownies they'll be selling in Mass soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Will say this as Phil Klotz just tweeted out, Atlantic has certainly flipped, best time of year for the NE MASS coast to cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:44 PM, Ginx snewx said: Do you even look? he has 1.5 with deeper cold than any of us, lol wut Expand So ride the Euro only? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hear is a neat trick. Take the elevator to the top of the Prudential Center with a thermometer in hand, and let me know what it reads on Friday night.....that is if visibility is great enough to read it. #h925tempsmatter Expand 925mb isn't that low, is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Tickling north, north, north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So ride the Euro only? Expand Always in this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:56 PM, Ginx snewx said: Always in this setup Expand Fair enough and good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:52 PM, JC-CT said: 925mb isn't that low, is it? Expand standard heights 1000 MB, 364 ft, 111 m. 925 MB, 2498 ft, so if sea level is 1000 take off 364 Pru is a measly 749 feet, so figure its probably at 975 mb or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough and good luck Expand Another day left to look at, tick tick warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 The always reliable RGEM past 36 hours bumped solidly north with snowfall QPF from 12z to 18z... edit: bumped more north out west and not much change towards BOS. 12z 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:52 PM, JC-CT said: 925mb isn't that low, is it? Expand Yeah but if it's -3 or -4 at 925, it's not gonna be in the 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:52 PM, JC-CT said: 925mb isn't that low, is it? Expand I thought it was normally around 2,500ft or that's what I use at the mountain. Like 2,500-2,750ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hmmm. GFS ticked colder again Expand A lot of guidance has actually ticked colder today while precip has gotten more robust. Better mid level centers help. But not sure how much further south it will cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hmmm. GFS ticked colder again Expand Some pretty big differences developing as we get closer. Be interesting to see if the GFS scores the coup or if it gets its arse handed to it by the EURO/GGEM/mesos like in the big mid-March blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:08 PM, powderfreak said: Some pretty big differences developing as we get closer. Be interesting to see if the GFS scores the coup or if it gets its arse handed to it by the EURO/GGEM/mesos like in the big mid-March blizzard. Expand I was wrong. It bumped north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:36 PM, Ginx snewx said: I could see you getting 3 of slop but Congrats MPM HUNCHIE PETE DENDRITE PF JEFFAFAF and all the rest of the guys and gals North of the Pike. however I am not convinced that this doesn't end up a low ratio storm between route poop and I 90 at low elevations. WAWA and Weenie hill will probably do well. I wouldn't lock anything up in Rays hood either. Like I said before I could see this ending up warmer. Expand Well yeah, it's almost April with an "ok" high placement and possible ticks N still very much on the table. This could still be white rain to the MA/VT border although I doubt that happens. My expectations are very much in check. If I had another 800' of elevation I would be more confident. I'll go all in this time tomorrow if it still looks like warning snows here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 9:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough.. but I still don't think we are done trending south . Probably why Dryslot stopped posting Expand Work and dinner....lol, I'm not placing many of my eggs in the GFS basket, Although it did start to get somewhat of a clue @18z, But still the model that's the furthest south, GFS fell on its face up here the last big event, Euro owned it and its probably going to again, But you always say to toss it its garbage, But i understand, It shows the most for your BY, Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:12 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Well yeah, it's almost April with an "ok" high placement and possible ticks N still very much on the table. This could still be white rain to the MA/VT border although I doubt that happens. My expectations are very much in check. If I had another 800' of elevation I would be more confident. I'll go all in this time tomorrow if it still looks like warning snows here. Expand I think you're golden...especially once the coastal low takes over and nighttime rolls around. Friday afternoon might be interesting... the low levels below 1,000ft are pretty warm so I wonder if some start off as rain or rain/snow mix. Or even wet-bulb processes bring snow down to start, then it goes to rain, before heavy snow takes over in the evening. Hard to say if the models are under-estimating the low level warmth on Friday afternoon...it is the time of year for temps to get 35-45F but -3C at 925mb should keep it under 40F with clouds and virga moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 I'd lock this run in. Of course it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Caveats on the 18z rgem given its range but that's fricken toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hmmm. GFS ticked colder again Expand Some pretty big differences developing as we get closer. Be interesting to see if the GFS scores the coup or if it gets its arse handed to it by the EURO/GGEM/mesos like in the big mid-March blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:18 PM, powderfreak said: I think you're golden...especially once the coastal low takes over and nighttime rolls around. Friday afternoon might be interesting... the low levels below 1,000ft are pretty warm so I wonder if some start off as rain or rain/snow mix. Or even wet-bulb processes bring snow down to start, then it goes to rain, before heavy snow takes over in the evening. Hard to say if the models are under-estimating the low level warmth on Friday afternoon...it is the time of year for temps to get 35-45F but -3C at 925mb should keep it under 40F with clouds and virga moving in. Expand I could see this being 8-10" for MPM and Hubbie and 4-6" for Greenfield with identical qpf. Either way, should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 10:27 PM, powderfreak said: Some pretty big differences developing as we get closer. Be interesting to see if the GFS scores the coup or if it gets its arse handed to it by the EURO/GGEM/mesos like in the big mid-March blizzard. Expand Yup, hard not to lean that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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