janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 456 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 TXC253-441-282215- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170328T2215Z/ JONES TX-TAYLOR TX- 456 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JONES AND NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTIES... AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER HAWLEY, OR 10 MILES WEST OF ABILENE, AND IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. AT 450 PM TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF DYESS AFB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 456 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 TXC253-441-282215- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170328T2215Z/ JONES TX-TAYLOR TX- 456 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JONES AND NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTIES... AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER HAWLEY, OR 10 MILES WEST OF ABILENE, AND IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. AT 450 PM TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF DYESS AFB. Think they messed up the warning, because Hawley is actually northwest of Abilene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Something is a little off with the locations in the warnings today. Hawley is certainly not west of Abilene and that tornado was between Tye and Merkel. I noticed it on other storms as well, really broadbrushing locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Cells starting to fire sw of Lawton OK ahead of main supercells as was anticipated earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Cells starting to fire sw of Lawton OK ahead of main supercells as was anticipated earlier today. Those look more like WAA associated showers than anything else imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjc0303 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Those look more like WAA associated showers than anything else imo. true - but you often see that as a precursor to more intense convective development. Seems WF development is a slower process as parcels steadily make their way to LFC via isentropic ascent... development not nearly as explosive as dry line dev, considerably more gradual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CGChaser Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 minute ago, bjc0303 said: true - but you often see that as a precursor to more intense convective development. Seems WF development is a slower process as parcels steadily make their way to LFC via isentropic ascent... development not nearly as explosive as dry line dev, considerably more gradual Agreed. Atmosphere is fairly conducive in southern OK at the moment. HRRR now has more semi-discrete cells across portions of southern/central OK rather than a line from 00z-04z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 21 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Think they messed up the warning, because Hawley is actually northwest of Abilene. It's over Hawley now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Supercell with a clear hook about to cross into far Southern TX from Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjc0303 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, bjc0303 said: true - but you often see that as a precursor to more intense convective development. Seems WF development is a slower process as parcels steadily make their way to LFC via isentropic ascent... development not nearly as explosive as dry line dev, considerably more gradual right on cue - more aggressive convective development underway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 537 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 TXC253-417-282245- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170328T2245Z/ JONES TX-SHACKELFORD TX- 537 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR EASTERN JONES AND NORTHWESTERN SHACKELFORD COUNTIES... AT 536 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE STAMFORD MARINA, OR 10 MILES EAST OF STAMFORD, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. AT 535 PM TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 3 MILES SOUTH OF FUNSTON. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Mesoscale Discussion 0357 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0531 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017 Areas affected...Parts of nwrn Texas and adjacent southwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Tornado Watch 95... Valid 282231Z - 290000Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues. SUMMARY...The risk for potentially damaging surface gusts appears likely to increase in association with an evolving mesoscale convective system by 7-9 pm CDT. Tornado potential will probably maximize in this time frame as well, mainly in the isolated discrete supercells. DISCUSSION...Vigorous convective development appears to be in the process of consolidation/growing upscale between Childress and Abilene, aided by forcing for ascent associated with modest low/mid-level warm advection beneath difluent/divergent upper flow. Additional discrete storm development continues to the south and east of this activity, near and southwest of Abilene, in the presence of a moist, weakly capped boundary layer that appears characterized by CAPE up to 2000 J/kg. Low-level hodographs still appear somewhat modest in size, but are expected to substantively enlarge between now and 00-02Z, with southerly 850 mb flow forecast to strengthen in excess of 50 kt. As this occurs, and the evolving convective system and nearby supercells tend to develop north/northeastward, the risk for strong surface gusts is expected to increase across parts of northwest texas into southwestern Oklahoma. Despite some weakness in the high-level flow/length of deep layer hodographs, the environment still appears conducive to the risk for tornadoes. This probably will remain most prominent with the discrete supercells, and the threat may maximize in the 00-02Z time frame, within areas near/between Wichita Falls and Mineral Wells Tx. ..Kerr.. 03/28/2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 small cells developing NNW of FTW along red river.....if anything becomes of these they should be moving due north and into the OKC metro later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 541 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN SHACKELFORD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 615 PM CDT * AT 540 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR AVOCA, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF STAMFORD, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CGChaser Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: small cells developing NNW of FTW along red river.....if anything becomes of these they should be moving due north and into the OKC metro later With this being the environment their working with per HRRR along the border.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 547 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0543 PM TORNADO 1 S FUNSTON 32.74N 99.80W 03/28/2017 JONES TX TRAINED SPOTTER CONE WITH HORIZONTAL VORTEX AND DEBRIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 KFDR VAD is relatively impressive, and will only improve as we go through the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 XC207-253-282315- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170328T2315Z/ HASKELL TX-JONES TX- 551 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN HASKELL AND NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTIES... AT 549 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR STAMFORD, MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Possible tornado near Wellington, TX (east of Amarillo). Storm-relative velocities look pretty strong right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CGChaser Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, jojo762 said: KFDR VAD is relatively impressive, and will only improve as we go through the evening. Do you have a link to these by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, CGChaser said: Do you have a link to these by chance? Sure do. http://autumnsky.us/vad/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Possible CC hole South of Stamford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Confirmed tornado near Wellington, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 601 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 TXC087-483-282330- /O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170328T2330Z/ WHEELER TX-COLLINGSWORTH TX- 601 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WHEELER AND CENTRAL COLLINGSWORTH COUNTIES... AT 601 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF WELLINGTON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgidd8 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Cell on the Mexico border starting to look really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Supercell with strong rotation entering the US from Mexico NW of Del Rio. Just severe warned ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT * AT 607 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER STAMFORD, MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherdemon Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 http://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/curtis.wheat.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Regarding the cell near the TX border, surface obs in Del Rio(just SE of storm) reveal substantial backing and 82/66. Pretty solid surface environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Large violent wedge reported 3 NW of Avoca, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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