CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Just give me a nice parting event for winter and I'll be content. This month is an ice box....gotta take advantage of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Hehhh... there's intangibles about this that make that less confident - warning and so forth .. For one, we are rotting Hades into this air mass today with this unabated Equinox insolation all over SE Canada and northeastern U.S.. One thing I've noticed over the years... the models don't seem to have parameters in them for this sort of 'conditional acceleration' that happens in the spring. They take the initializations and run with it, as though the sun won't modulate (March and April phenomenon)...but the processing doesn't "seem" to include the adulteration of the initialized air when there is 24 to 36 hours of moderation set to take place. The dynamics need to be pretty impressive ...OR, can we get the lion's share at night? that's a possible offset too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 One other thing that's interesting to me ... the wave spacing across N/A is better suited for this one than the last. Despite the vastly inferior mechanical power of this one's total synoptic evolution, perhaps it will be proficient for having a better spatial-temporal relationship in the medium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z GGEM was a big shift back NW as well from the 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 UKIE is definitely less impressive at the surface than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Some surprises in store. This always happens with inverted troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Let's see what the Euro shows...will it Bite??? Will it be more amped up?? Or does it slam the door shut on the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This always happens with inverted troughs. This morning's runs are a little bit more than an inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: This morning's runs are a little bit more than an inverted trough. Yeah its SLP position being further NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: Posting maps without labels should be a bannable offense. 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What the hell is this nonsense? lol. And he never came back in to back it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Let's see what the Euro shows...will it Bite??? Will it be more amped up?? Or does it slam the door shut on the trend? Dont really care that much for it these days as a seal of approval or denial. It is just another piece of guidance, one had to use it strengths and know its weaknesses but not use it as a end all be all like in years past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: This morning's runs are a little but more than an inverted trough. For out east, yea. out here we actually are losing some of the invt look to hand more snow to the se zones, Im a giving person so I dont mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Oh no I get that Berg...was just wondering if it too will jump NW like most other guidance at 12z today? It doesn't carry the weight it used too. But if it does jump on board, it just lends more confidence towards a more region wide event of sorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 28 minutes ago, Morch Madness said: UKIE is definitely less impressive at the surface than 0z Depends where...for far SE MA it was, but the rest of the region it looked better. But it's kind of trivial anyway. I thought aloft it took a step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 12z GEFS a bit more juicy that 06z run. 0.50" for siuthern 1/2 of SNE (inlc all ot CT/RI) 0.75" in SE MA. 1.00" over CC/Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Says the person that just saw like 12-16". No I saw barely 12, and if I wasn't so sick I would drive across town to see all the extra snow everyone else got! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: No I saw barely 12, and if I wasn't so sick I would drive across town to see all the extra snow everyone else got! Maybe you should change your screen name to jellyfishnosnowman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z GEFS a bit more juicy that 06z run. 0.50" for siuthern 1/2 of SNE (inlc all ot CT/RI) 0.75" in SE MA. 1.00" over CC/Islands. If thats right we are looking at a 6-12" for EMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, CarverWX said: If thats right we are looking at a 6-12" for EMA Other factors besides 10:1 on qpf. 4-8" is the play for ema, less for the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Can CC 3 fer Blizz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 The Euro is delayed, fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 We'll end up waiting an hour for it and then it will promptly show a dud solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We'll end up waiting an hour for it and then it will promptly show a dud solution. And then it will be tossed due to said delay issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 37 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Maybe you should change your screen name to jellyfishnosnowman. This is kind of funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Oh weenie boy.... The euro the euro is calling... From run to run.. and down the coastline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Oh weenie boy.... The euro the euro is calling... From run to run.. and down the coastline... DST and a late Euro run is killing me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: DST and a late Euro run is killing me. I hate DST lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I hate DST lol. Once a year after DST kicks in I think to myself... why don't I just become a rip and reader like most in my field. It would make life a lot easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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